The Ledger, every show
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.
shows 




every show 44 of 44
Helberg: DeepSeek lied about compute capacity and distilled ChatGPT weights
“The main takeaways of how DeepSeq achieved the performance its performance was Incremental efficiency gains. They lied about their compute capacity because they have a billion dollar cluster, and they distilled ChatGPT's model weights.”
Helberg: Belt and Road countries frequently default, yielding equity to China
“It is Chinese workers, Chinese companies, you know, and a lot of the times it's Chinese equity because the debt converts to equity if, you know, the host country defaults. They do a lot of the times.”
Helberg: China is actively decoupling from the US and de-risking failure points
“China is on a path to decoupling from us and de-risking all of its single points of failure.”
Helberg: France Has Long Lacked an Actual Right-Wing Government Option
“Frankly, in France for a long time, I think one of the frustrations that the public has had is that the options that a lot of people have had in politics is a left, is a left wing leftist government and a right wing leftist government. And there has lacked, yo…”
Helberg: Pax Silica Countries Are Growing 4% YoY Versus 1% for G7
“The Paxilica countries are growing roughly around four percent year on year compared to G seven countries that are growing somewhere in the zone of one percent.”
Helberg: US Software Companies Objectively Lead China in AI Model Development
“With that being said, our software companies are better by a lot. I mean, it's, we are objectively leading in, in AI and in model development.”
Helberg: China Criminalized Due Diligence on Official Economic Indicators
“You know, their data is really falsified, and they actually tried to hide their books so much so that they've made it illegal for people within China to ask too many questions or do due diligence on their economic indicators.”
Helberg: Philippines is granting 4,000 acres for forward-deployed industrial base
“We made this arrangement with them where they are granting us 4000 acres, which is obviously very substantial. It's a third of the size of Manhattan. To do a very large industrial build out that's one of a kind that, that helps combine the predictability and c…”
Helberg: Pax Silica's private-sector model is more ethical than state-led alliances
“And because we're approaching it by putting our companies in the driver's seat it's actually, you know, in, in a lot of ways, it's much more ethical because the deal is structured in a way that's really meant to be you know, a true joint venture and one that w…”
Helberg: AI is driving over a third of US GDP growth
“You know, the American economy has been proven incredibly resilient, and a big part of that is AI being this incredible, you know, incredibly strong economic force that is already fueling over a third of our economic GDP growth right here in the US.”
Helberg: Replicating Semiconductor Fabs Abroad Makes No Sense Before US Completion
“There's a whole host of reasons why it wouldn't necessarily make sense to try to replicate that elsewhere because it's highly technical. The global talent supply of talent available in that area is very finite and limited. And it's also extremely capital inten…”
Helberg: US will resolve minerals pricing issue before term ends
“And I'm incredibly confident that we actually will resolve the pricing issue For the minerals market before the end of this administration.”
Helberg: State Department will use VC investments to guide government capital
“We actually would really love for the venture capital ecosystem to help be part of the solution because I think, you know, you guys are better positioned to assess, you know, who are the best players in the space. And we can take that, you know, as an importan…”
Helberg: Regulating model distillation is critical to protecting AI investments
“The whole model distillation debate, which is super important to actually protect the economic value of these hundreds of billions of dollars in investments in AI companies.”
Helberg: US CapEx is over 2% of GDP and will probably double next year
“Massive CapEx investment, as you guys know that has really picked up in a statistically significant way. It's over two percent of GDP right now, and it's probably gonna double by next year.”
Helberg: AI infrastructure accounted for one point of US GDP growth
“I, I've seen analysis that has, ah, that basically says that it's added a full point of GDP just for AI in the last year which is a lot because the economy grew three percent, so if a third of that came from AI infrastructure, that's that, that's a lot.”
Helberg: DoD off-take agreements and price floors can break China's rare earth monopoly
“The solution to help put the genie back in the bottle is, I think actually the DoD's deal with MP Materials offers a good template, which is you need an anchor buyer and an end customer, and you need a price floor. So you need to agree with the supplier, in th…”
Helberg: AI productivity will erode developing nations' labor cost advantage
“If we increase productivity, it will totally erode the competitive advantages in labor costs that developing countries have, and we have an opportunity to re-industrialize.”
Helberg: AI Will Drive Companies to Increase Output Rather Than Lay Off Workers
“And I actually think companies will choose, far from laying off workers, I think companies will choose to increase output. Because if they don't, their competitors will.”
Helberg: AI first-movers will drive a 'Second Great Divergence' over lagging economies
“I think we're going to, we're likely to see a second great divergence. So, for the first time since the first industrial revolution, I think we're gonna see the economies that are first movers in integrating AI into their economy reap massive productivity and …”
Helberg: EU AI Act ensures Europe will not be a first mover in AI
“I think the AI act is basically single-handedly ensuring that Europe will not be a first mover in AI, because it's now subject to these incredibly punitive set of rules”
Helberg: Nuclear energy offers the best path for US power expansion
“I think we need nuclear energy. There's no doubt in my mind that nuclear energy is, offers the best path.”
Helberg: US must signal CFIUS won't block trusted foreign energy investment
“Has to basically signal to the market that the Committee on Foreign Investment in the US, CFIUS, will not block foreign investment, you know, from trusted partners into this sector.”
Helberg: Meeting 2030s US data center power demand definitely runs through nuclear
“Some statistics say that our data center capacity will require us to double our overall electricity production in the 20 thirties. We could, I think it's possible to do that, and Sarah, you pointed out that if we want to re-industrialize, you know, the, those …”
Helberg: US CapEx Surge Could Lift GDP Growth to 3% to 5%
“We're moving to this new world where it's, we're gonna be a high investment economy that's basically gonna invest between Two and four percent of GDP in private capex investment, which is massive. The growth band could pretend, you know, a high productivity, a…”
Helberg: US is executing global deals in energy, minerals, and infrastructure
“And that's why we're doing deals around the world on energy, on minerals, and on infrastructure, and it's incredibly exciting about the progress we've made.”
Helberg: US Signed Deal for 4,000-Acre AI Industrial Park in Philippines
“Just last week we signed a historic deal with the Philippines, 4000 acres, right next to Subic Bay where we're gonna build a first-of-its-kind AI-native industrial park, and the goal is really to secure inputs that are vital for American and global supply chai…”
Helberg: No technology in human history has caused mass unemployment
“In the history of human civilization, we have never encountered a time when you had a technology that led to mass unemployment.”
Helberg: China Resembles Late-1970s Soviet Union with Low Growth and Tech Power
“And so the interesting thing is that they are actually entering a phase where they're becoming a little bit more akin to, you know, where the Soviet Union was back in the late seventies, which is low growth, but still very, very technologically formidable.”
Helberg: Trump maintains a very good rapport with Xi Jinping
“The president has been clear that he wants to have a positive impact. Constructive relationship with Xi Jinping, and he does. They actually have a very good rapport.”
Helberg: Pax Silica economic security coalition now includes 14 countries
“Paxilica is an economic security coalition that now has 14 countries, and the idea is really to have an ecosystems-based approach to our supply chains, and specifically the AI supply chain.”
Helberg: US has extreme concentration risk across non-chip AI hardware inputs
“And our concentration risk as a country is incredibly high for basically all of those inputs.”
Helberg: Central planning causes massive waste in China's Belt and Road
“There is, there's a lot of waste in the Belt and Road Initiative, and, you know, mainly it's because whenever you have you know, central planning and really government bureaucrats effectively, you know, Allocating large pools of capital. There's a lot of waste…”
Helberg: Framing US as established power misjudges its underdog operational identity
“Alison Graham wrote this book years ago called The Thucydides Trapped, where he kind of characterized America as the established power, and he characterized China as the rising power. And I actually think, you know, one of the really big flaws in that whole li…”
Helberg: US relies 90% on Chinese minerals and Taiwanese semiconductors
“We have 90% reliance on critical minerals that are refined in China, on semiconductors that are manufactured in Taiwan.”
Helberg: Israel has larger GDP and stronger military than Nigeria from tech
“Nigeria is a huge country from a population standpoint, and Israel, a tiny country that's smaller than New Jersey, has a bigger GDP and a stronger military, and it's all because of technology.”
Helberg: Administration Policies Are 'Shock Therapy' to Enable US Builders
“Fundamentally, the policies of the administration, I would argue, have really amounted to shock therapy to help facilitate building in America as much as possible, removing roadblocks through deregulation through lowering taxes and lowering the tax burden, pro…”
Helberg: Israel Outperforms Nigeria in GDP and Military Power Despite Population Gap
“You can see that with a country like Israel that has less than twenty million people that has a bigger GDP and a stronger military than Nigeria that has a quarter billion people and it just goes to show how tiny Israel actually has a larger economy than a quar…”
Helberg: US is currently seeing five percent productivity growth
“I mean, we're at five percent productivity growth.”
Helberg: The PC revolution displaced 3.5M jobs but created 19M
“If you look at the computer revolution, people would have said that personal computers would have put a lot of secretaries out of work, but in reality, the PC revolution gave birth to the software industry, and it displays three and a half million jobs, but it…”
Helberg: US aims for Pax Silica hubs in every hemisphere by year-end
“We want to have one in every hemisphere. We think it makes a lot of sense and we obviously want them to be connected. And so we're having lots of really great conversations with a number of our partners. We hoped, we hope to basically reach that goal before th…”
Helberg: US foreign industrial bases will ultimately operate as commercial services
“The answer has been trying to work in lockstep with our private companies and our builders to build platforms that are commercially viable and that will can ultimately live outside of the government as a private service. And so the forward deployed industrial …”
Helberg: Pax Silica targets June rollout with 4-5 major strategic lines
“We're thinking about making a big play in the logistics space in partnership with large, you know, corporates. And in June we're looking at potentially doing a broader rollout where we're going to roll out four or five different big lines of effort.”
Helberg: US Re-Industrialization Inevitably Requires High Automation
“If we narrow the gap between what we consume and what we produce, we will re-industrialize America because that will be a massive re-industrialization plan that will inevitably include a lot of, you know, semi-autonomy or full autonomy. And because if we indus…”
Helberg: Early Trump executive order set goal to quadruple domestic nuclear energy
“From memory, it was actually one of the first executive orders that the president signed that where they said that they wanted to quadruple our domestic nuclear supply.”
Helberg: China emerged as a rare earth superpower around 2015
“China only emerged as a rare earth mining superpower about 10 years ago. It came out in twenty-fifteen with its Made in China twenty-twenty-five plan, and from that date onwards, we actually saw China's refining activity of rare earth materials skyrocket.”