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SOURCERY Assertion Partly supported
Moore: Frontier tech companies are growing 100% at multi-billion-dollar run rates
“I mean, these companies are compounding it over a hundred percent year over year in the billions of run rate. We have never seen that before, right?”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 10:50 Why Bucky Moore Joined $30 Billion AUM Megafund Lightspeed · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
20VC Prediction Held up
Moore: SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic will reach multi-trillion dollar outcomes
“We're talking about going from talking about 30 to fifty billion dollar outcomes to multi-trillion dollar outcomes in the form of SpaceX or OpenAI or Anthropic.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 2:27 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Moore: OpenAI blocked investors in enterprise search startup Glean
“OpenAI famously saying, hey, if you're an investor in Glean, you don't get to be an investor in OpenAI, which would foreshadow they plan to play in that space.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 7:43 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Held up
Moore: AI code generation startups face heavy threat from model providers
“I'd certainly be a little nervous about how the code gen stuff is going to play out today, because it seems like that is just far and away the killer use case for LLMs and therefore the one that these big model providers are going to lean into next from an app…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 8:25 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: Only five to six mega VC platforms will dominate the market
“It doesn't appear as though the supply of capital from platforms like the one that I've just joined or some of the others that we've talked about is going to go up in, in, in size. And so again, you could argue that these five to six firms kind of have this ca…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 11:46 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: AI companies replacing human labor will yield unprecedented scale
“These software companies that are not just augmenting, but in some cases replacing the work that humans do and the budget allocated towards paying them for that work, these companies are going to get bigger, right?”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 16:32 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moore: Enterprise CIOs face termination threats over AI adoption
“If you go and talk to a CIO or a CTO of a large enterprise today, they're furiously seeking out ways to apply AI to their business. And the reason for that is because their CEO and their board told them, you're going to get fired because the entire fate of our…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 29:36 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe May 2030
Moore: Every frontier AI lab will build business and consumer products
“It seems very likely to me that in some form or another, Every single one of these frontier model labs will begin building both business and consumer facing products.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 51:56 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: VC will consolidate into a barbell structure
“I see a world in which both ends of the barbell really, really continue to rise, meaning small dedicated specialist firms on one end and large platforms on the other end. And I think that uncanny valley in between is is, is going to be an increasingly challeng…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 1:00:11 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: SpaceX, Anduril, OpenAI, and Anthropic could reach trillion-dollar valuations
“These companies that could be worth trillions of dollars someday. The SpaceX's, the Anduril's, the OpenAI's, the Anthropics.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 1:11 Why Bucky Moore Joined $30 Billion AUM Megafund Lightspeed · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moore: Certain VC funds use high valuations as a lever to win
“There are definitely certain funds that come to mind that I won't name who have decided the strategy that they're going to employ is to use valuation as a lever to win.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 29:43 Why Bucky Moore Joined $30 Billion AUM Megafund Lightspeed · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
20VC Assertion Supported
Moore: AI model providers hit billions in run rate growing over 100%
“We're talking about billions of dollars of run rate growing in excess of a hundred percent year over year. I don't think we've ever seen that before, right? Like you talk about ServiceNow doing, you know, billions of dollars in ARR and growing, you know, 20, 3…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 5:39 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: Frontier tech giants may stay private long-term on private demand
“If we really are talking about companies that are going to get to some level of AGI such that they're going to be, you know, not just multi-trillions, but potentially larger than that. If we're talking about how Starlink and, you know, the kind of assets being…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 12:57 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: Spreadsheet investors will be pushed into later stages
“And so my view is that these spreadsheet investors are just going to keep getting pushed later and later stage.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 19:55 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: AI progress will continue as research labs find new scaling dimensions
“And right now that appears to be very unlikely, at least in the near term, but at some point it could happen. But I also have just learned to never bet against human ingenuity, and given the best and the brightest are now so heavily concentrated concentrated i…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 56:45 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bucky Moore: Venture liquidity constraints are not a permanent structural issue
“I do not think it's a permanent structural challenge because I believe that in the same way that great entrepreneurs flock towards white space, there will be solutions and new products that get devised by investment managers to solve for these liquidity challe…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 59:41 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: AI agents will likely use both native protocols and human web browsing
“There's a version of this actually happening kind of in AI agents as well, which is, like, will the agents browse the internet like humans do, which is sort of the humanoid side of things, or will we be Changing how the internet works so that agents can intera…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 43:41 Why Bucky Moore Joined $30 Billion AUM Megafund Lightspeed · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moore: Kleiner Perkins treated investing in competitors as a strict red line
“When we were at Kleiner Perkins, it was something that we, it was kind of a red line that we wouldn't cross. And the reason for that is because we invested in so few companies and we go so deep with each of those companies that In our mind, it was just too har…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 9:23 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moore: Countless talented founders are currently trapped in mediocre startups
“There are countless companies in the industry right now where you have really talented founders working on something that's kind of working, but maybe not working to the degree that they hope. And in some sense, they're kind of stuck with it.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 25:10 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bucky Moore: Top venture returns come from concentrating capital in seed winners
“If you look at some of the best venture investments in history, they've been these seed investments in these companies that have gone on to grow really, really large, and they've come from an investor who's continued to concentrate more and more capital in tha…”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 48:50 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moore: Multi-stage VC firms actively seek collaboration with seed funds
“I can tell you that none of the multistage firms that I know well do anything but seek to be very collaborative and follow what the C firms are doing very closely for that reason.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 49:34 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Moore: Clay experienced 5-6 years of stagnant growth before taking off
“Clay is this company that's growing very, very fast on the sales tech side. And if I'm not mistaken, it was like five or six years of very little to no growth before before it took off.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 26:40 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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