People, every show

Ari Wallach

Founder and Executive Director, Longpath Labs. On 1 show, 1 appearance. The Shows tab opens the full record on each.

founderhostauthorexecutiveacademic@AriW ↗LinkedIn ↗longpath.org ↗Wikipedia ↗

Ari Wallach is a futurist, social systems strategist, and the founder of Longpath Labs. He authored the book Longpath and hosted the PBS documentary series A Brief History of the Future.

1shows
1appearances
12statements
4resolved
2supported
1contradicted
50%fully supported

Everything Ari Wallach said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.

MASTERS OF SCALE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wallach: Algorithmic decisions today will dictate human trajectory for 300 years
“The decisions that we make right now over the next, gosh, five, 10 years, even five months, which I know is very short term, but even at the algorithmic level, are going to dictate the course of our species, I think, for two to 300 years.”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 17:13 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
Wallach: AI leaders wield Oppenheimer-level power to create and destroy
“This is the same level of power and the ability to both create and the ability to destroy that we're dealing with. And what I, that's what I took away from Oppenheimer. I was like, wow, that much power with one individual, one small set of individuals. That's …”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 23:09 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
MASTERS OF SCALE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wallach: The climate trajectory is surprisingly better than projected five years ago
“We've already seen the curve bend towards the better. If current trends continue, the planet and the biosphere we're on will be not amazing, but better than I thought even five years ago.”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 13:30 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
Wallach: Artificial intelligence optimizes for the near-term interests of its owners
“It seems to be optimizing for near-term business interests within a small group of owners.”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 22:16 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
Wallach: Media does a disservice covering AI like horse-race politics
“Journalism is doing a disservice by covering one of the most consequential aspects of our reality today in that way.”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 23:39 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
Wallach: Futurists map macro trends rather than predicting specific events
“What they don't do, or at least what they shouldn't do is predict the future and tell you what's going to happen tomorrow. What futures do is they look at the major trends, the mega trends, the macro trends that are occurring.”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 1:21 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
MASTERS OF SCALE Assertion Supported
Wallach: Connecting with your future self boosts retirement savings and health
“And then they've shown with very minor interventions, looking daily at a photo of yourself aged 10 years, writing a letter to your future self. These are not huge huge interventions. They'll put them back into the machine, and you know exactly what happens. Wh…”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 6:14 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
Wallach: Mundane LLM training choices will have long-term human impacts
“The decisions that they make could be people in a boardroom saying, do we go with this LLM or do we go to this one? Do we know, do we scrape Reddit for how we're going to train our models, for instance, and scrape X? Or are we going to scrape something else? T…”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 9:50 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
MASTERS OF SCALE Assertion Contradicted
Wallach: People refuse to plan for the future when confronting their death
“When we did the kind of the, we did the bench research on this, When people are forced to think about the world after they are no longer in it, they lock up, they refuse to do it, they refuse to future.”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 26:09 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
Wallach: Death awareness, unlike death anxiety, expands focus to future generations
“When you're death anxious, you very much focus on the short term. You very much focus on the lifespan of Bob's birth to death, understandably. When you're death aware, you open the aperture of the decisions that you make for future generations, and you're not …”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 26:28 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
MASTERS OF SCALE Assertion Supported
Wallach: The brain views its future self as a stranger
“And they'll put people into an fMRI machine, and they'll say, okay, think of your current self right now, and a certain part of the brain will light up. And they'll say, okay, think of this famous actor, you know, whatever. They'll say Matt Damon or Angelina J…”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 5:44 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
MASTERS OF SCALE Assertion Partly supported
Wallach: Most of the world's longest-running companies are in Japan
“When you look at the companies that are the longest running companies on earth, A majority of them are in Japan, B, they're over a thousand years old, and they're run in a very specific way.”
Ari Wallach Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 11:53 2024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale

One line per show, most statements first. The link opens Ari's full record on that show: the calibration, argument clarity, speaking style and every statement made there.

ShowRole thereEpsStatementsRecord
MASTERS OF SCALELEDGER Founder and Executive Director, Longpath Labs 1 12 50% 2/4 full record on Masters of Scale →
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