“What they don't do, or at least what they shouldn't do is predict the future and tell you what's going to happen tomorrow. What futures do is they look at the major trends, the mega trends, the macro trends that are occurring.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
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More from Ari Wallach
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Wallach: Algorithmic decisions today will dictate human trajectory for 300 years
“The decisions that we make right now over the next, gosh, five, 10 years, even five months, which I know is very short term, but even at the algorithmic level, are going to dictate the course of our species, I think, for two to 300 years.”
Ari WallachApr 8, 2024▶ 17:132024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
Opinion
Wallach: AI leaders wield Oppenheimer-level power to create and destroy
“This is the same level of power and the ability to both create and the ability to destroy that we're dealing with. And what I, that's what I took away from Oppenheimer. I was like, wow, that much power with one individual, one small set of individuals. That's …”
Ari WallachApr 8, 2024▶ 23:092024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Wallach: The climate trajectory is surprisingly better than projected five years ago
“We've already seen the curve bend towards the better. If current trends continue, the planet and the biosphere we're on will be not amazing, but better than I thought even five years ago.”
Ari WallachApr 8, 2024▶ 13:302024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
Opinion
Wallach: Artificial intelligence optimizes for the near-term interests of its owners
“It seems to be optimizing for near-term business interests within a small group of owners.”
Ari WallachApr 8, 2024▶ 22:162024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
Opinion
Wallach: Media does a disservice covering AI like horse-race politics
“Journalism is doing a disservice by covering one of the most consequential aspects of our reality today in that way.”
Ari WallachApr 8, 2024▶ 23:392024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
AssertionSupported
Wallach: Connecting with your future self boosts retirement savings and health
“And then they've shown with very minor interventions, looking daily at a photo of yourself aged 10 years, writing a letter to your future self. These are not huge huge interventions. They'll put them back into the machine, and you know exactly what happens. Wh…”
Ari WallachApr 8, 2024▶ 6:142024 is the most significant time in human history (with futurist Ari Wallach) | Masters of Scale
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