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Every prediction date on 44 shows that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

shows every show 44 of 44
every show
16held up → 5didn’t hold up → 1partly held up →
76%of resolved predictions held up
Everyone Jason Lemkin (127)Chamath Palihapitiya (119)Rory O'Driscoll (115)Jason Calacanis (78)David Sacks (69)David Friedberg (63)Harry Stebbings (47)David Senra (45)Brad Gerstner (43)Alex Kantrowitz (38)John Coogan (37)Shaan Puri (36)
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The record (22) every resolved claim →

MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Puri: Companies will launch supplements to remove bodily microplastics
“I also think, by the way, for Plastic Free Everything, that there's gotta be a supplement that people are gonna try to sell that's going to, like, remove the plastic from your balls and your bloodstream. I think people are gonna get on the, you know, Every cat…”
Shaan Puri Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 30:25 6 under-the-radar trends (+ our business ideas)
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Colleges will spin out athletic departments to private equity
“I think what's going to happen is again, it's uncharted territory. You don't know exactly how it's going to play out, but I think the short version is the college will spin out the program. Their athletics program is its own business entity. They'll sell equit…”
Shaan Puri Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 7:14 We spent 48 hours with MrBeast + 11 Billionaires
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Shaan Puri predicts clean tampon startups will reach $100M in revenue
“There will be, trust me, there will be one, there will be two, there will be three that are in this category. Like, the current incumbents will either adapt or be replaced by alternatives that are gonna That are going to play on these health concerns.”
Shaan Puri Jul 22, 2024 ▶ 36:17 Business Brainstorm: SAT Prep Cartoons, The Onion For Millennial Moms & More
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Puri: Legacy consulting giants will acquire billion-dollar AI-specific practices
“I believe that there's going to be billion dollar consulting companies that are specifically just about AI that the big consulting companies, Deloitte, PwC, McKinsey, et cetera, they're going to need to buy They're going to acquire practices that, that do this…”
Shaan Puri Oct 12, 2023 ▶ 17:52 10 AI Startup Ideas in 43 Minutes (#506)
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Puri: AI agents will create self-executing to-do lists
“And what I realized was that's not going to stop at just cars, that the biggest opportunity is the self-doing to-do list, just like we have the self-driving car. And what's a self-doing to-do list? The self-doing to-do list is going to be, well, all of our pro…”
Shaan Puri Oct 12, 2023 ▶ 36:07 10 AI Startup Ideas in 43 Minutes (#506)
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Didn’t hold up
Puri: Sora will be the fastest app to reach 100M downloads
“I think this is going to be the most downloaded app in the history of the world in a short period of time. So I think it'll be like the fastest to get to a hundred million downloads.”
Shaan Puri Oct 3, 2025 ▶ 4:02 The App That’ll Be Bigger Than TikTok
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Shaan Puri: Meta is preparing to add screens to its smart glasses
“I think they're about to make them good, bad. And what good, bad is they, they're putting like a screen in it.”
Shaan Puri Oct 3, 2025 ▶ 42:23 The App That’ll Be Bigger Than TikTok
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Shaan Puri: The AI email assistant market will be an absolute bloodbath
“I do feel undoubtedly that email inboxes are going to start to have AI in them and the AI is going to help you process, categorize summarize your emails in a way and respond, help you with the responses. The problem is Do I really believe that you are going to…”
Shaan Puri Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 1:16:49 6 College Students Pitch Us Their Startups | MFM Shark Tank
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Puri: Developers will scrape Spotify to train open-source AI music models
“Somebody's about to do that for music. They're about to download all the music. They're about to go download all the music off Spotify. And then they're going to train an engine to say, Hey, create new music. This is what music is. Create new music. And that's…”
Shaan Puri Oct 18, 2022 ▶ 1:01:02 9 Business Ideas To Profit From The 2022 A.I. Gold Rush (Using Dall-E & GPT3) (#376)
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Puri believes Friend.tech is not the long-term winning crypto social network
“Frontech, I think is like another kind of like attempt. I don't think it's probably the one but I do think over the long haul, somebody will do that.”
Shaan Puri Oct 17, 2023 ▶ 17:52 Our 2020 Predictions For OpenAI Came True… Here’s What’s Next (#508)
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Puri: Labubu will hit $2B to $3B in revenue next year
“So, I actually expect that over the next year, this thing goes even, the star kind of goes viral now, but it burns out, and it hits a two billion or three billion in, in revenue.”
Shaan Puri Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 16:35 How this dumb doll makes $2M per day
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Shaan Puri predicts Kevin Systrom's news app Artifact will fail
“I don't think people want to read a bunch of news in the same way that they're willing to like swipe through mindless videos for entertainment. And so I think that's where Has this problem that a lot of Silicon Valley ideas have, which is they try to sell you …”
Shaan Puri Feb 3, 2023 ▶ 2:06 The Boys React: Tech Layoffs, IG Founder Starts A New Company & More Tech News (#415)
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Puri: Natural language AI will generate full animations and video
“You're just going to be able to say things and it's going to be able to create what you're saying. So you're going to be able to say, okay, what if Donald Trump was talking to, you know, whatever, Barack Obama, and then Donald jumped in the air and he said thi…”
Shaan Puri May 1, 2020 ▶ 6:44 What Does It Take To Become Rich? How Some People Make Millions! My First Million Podcast 04-02-2020
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Puri predicts Donald Trump will win the 2024 presidential election
“I think Donald Trump's gonna win.”
Shaan Puri Sep 7, 2023 ▶ 38:15 Buffett’s Money Wisdom, Galloway’s $100M Advice & Why Newsletters Suck (#493)
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Puri: AI will soon power a viral personality test or astrology app
“I think that's going to happen very soon. And this, we'll look back at this clip and be like, dude, he called it. John called it that that was going to happen. It has to happen.”
Shaan Puri Sep 19, 2023 ▶ 57:08 Brainstorming +$1M Business Ideas With Soylent's Co-Founder | ft. John Coogan (#496)
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Partly held up
Puri: OpenStore has a very good shot of reaching a $1B valuation
“With this guy's track record, Square, Opendoor with Jack Abraham's track record, there's a very good shot that this ends up being, being worth more, more than a billion dollars.”
Shaan Puri Sep 17, 2021 ▶ 36:51 12 Startups Where Stock Grants Can Make You a Millionaire | My First Million #220
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Didn’t hold up
Puri: Thrasio will go public at a $10B valuation
“They're going to go public at a ten billion dollar valuation.”
Shaan Puri Sep 17, 2021 ▶ 37:21 12 Startups Where Stock Grants Can Make You a Millionaire | My First Million #220
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Didn’t hold up
Puri: Peak will reach $100M in sales within three years
“I think there'll be I think there'll be at a hundred million in sales in the next three years. That's my prediction, my bet.”
Shaan Puri May 13, 2021 ▶ 11:37 How Virtual Horses are Making Millions & A Potential 9-Figure Company | My First Million #181
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Puri predicts UserTesting will IPO within 12 to 24 months
“User testing has become a very large company, hundreds of millions in revenue, and will go public, you know, probably in the next 12 to 24 months is my guess.”
Shaan Puri May 13, 2021 ▶ 33:01 How Virtual Horses are Making Millions & A Potential 9-Figure Company | My First Million #181
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Held up
Shaan Puri: More companies will put treasury reserves in Bitcoin within a year
“It's likely that there are more companies out there and it'll take them six months to a year to make this move, but they will take a portion of their treasury reserves and they'll move it into Bitcoin.”
Shaan Puri Mar 17, 2021 ▶ 1:08:38 MFM #161: Why Michael Saylor Believes Bitcoin is Hope
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Didn’t hold up
Puri: Strip Mall Guy will hit 100K Twitter followers within six months
“By the way, he's at 22,000 followers now. He's at I bet you he's at a hundred in less than six months.”
Shaan Puri Sep 15, 2021 ▶ 21:47 Why You Should Take a Think Week Like Bill Gates | My First Million #218
TOP FOUNDERS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Puri: Blab's audience will be larger than any cable TV network
“And so what we're going to do is we're going to gather the biggest audience we can. And I believe that that will end up being bigger than Any cable TV network out there.”
Shaan Puri Mar 4, 2016 ▶ 9:31 Blab goal is 7% week over week growth. Here's how the Founder will do it with Shaan Puri CEO of Blab Episode 185
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