The Calls, every show
Every prediction date on 44 shows that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.
shows 
every show 44 of 44
Everyone Jason Lemkin (127)Chamath Palihapitiya (119)Rory O'Driscoll (115)Jason Calacanis (78)David Sacks (69)David Friedberg (63)Harry Stebbings (47)David Senra (45)Brad Gerstner (43)Alex Kantrowitz (38)John Coogan (37)Shaan Puri (36)
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The record (18) every resolved claim →
Coogan: Robotaxis will definitely have cameras monitoring passengers
“If you get in a robo taxi, there's definitely going to be a camera on you.”
Coogan: Data centers will use 500K tons of copper annually soon
“Data centers broadly will be using half a million tons of copper annually in a few years.”
Coogan: Humanity will invest half a trillion in AI by 2029
“If you just ask me, like, Will humanity invest half a trillion dollars in AI over the next four years? I'd be like, absolutely.”
Coogan: Anthropic's next major cluster will run on Amazon
“I believe Anthropic is pretty tightly hitched to Amazon, and I think the next big cluster from Anthropic will be powered by Amazon for the most part”
Coogan: Character.ai will be built on third-party APIs
“Character will be built on top of other APIs.”
Coogan: 'Ghost ship' startup acquisitions will become an increasingly common pattern
“I don't think this will be the last go ship we see. I think it's like a new pattern and we're just going to see this more and more.”
Coogan: Novo Nordisk supply will eventually severely limit compounded GLP-1s
“It may take a few more quarters, but Novo Nordisk will eventually produce enough supply to end the shortage of its drug. When that happens, despite their efforts to influence public opinion, Compounded versions will likely be severely limited.”
Coogan: OpenAI will introduce free-tier ads and up to $2,000/mo subscriptions
“Clearly all of that product stuff's getting ironed out and they're going to have ads in the free version all the way up to a 2000 dollar a month tier or 200 dollar a month tier.”
Coogan: AI apps will dynamically route user prompts across models automatically
“Very quickly, they're going to be able to put a router in front of that and dynamically decide, oh, this is a question that needs to go to oh, one. This is a question that needs to go to four. Four O or whatever, and all of that will become extracted.”
Coogan: A SpaceX IPO is coming around September or October 2026
“So, maybe September, maybe October, but, ah, it's coming.”
Coogan: Johor to match Northern Virginia data center capacity within years
“They're like a couple years away from having the same amount of Energy capacity as Northern Virginia, where like all the major AWS hubs are.”
Coogan: Anthropic won't air all four Super Bowl ads due to $80M cost
“Someone ran the numbers, and if they did all, if they aired all four, it would be something like eighty million dollars or something. I don't think that they're gonna run all four.”
Musk's DOGE Vehicle Will Likely Face Congressional or Legal Challenges
“I think the exact structure of Doge is evolving, and I think we'll go through a couple different maybe, maybe congressional or legal challenges, but it is evolving.”
Coogan: No AI-produced film will receive an Oscar nomination in 2025
“Not gonna happen in twenty-twenty-five, but probably soon.”
Coogan: Tesla will finally deliver the new Roadster in 2025
“I think this is the year he's going to deliver it. It's been forever delayed, but now like everything's clear. Stocks at all time highs. Like he's got all the approvals and stuff. Like he needs a new halo car.”
Coogan: TikTok ban is happening unless Trump overrides it
“There is a law that's passed that should ban TikTok. It's happening unless Trump overrides it.”
Coogan: Startup will demo an armed humanoid robot within six months
“I was predicting that within the next six months, I think that there will be a startup that will take one of these humanoid robots Even if it's tele-operated, give it an AR-fifteen, like a machine gun or a rifle, and just do a demo of like what this would look…”