Venture Returns

topic on 3 shows · 7 statements across 7 episodes

Innovators & Investors All-In 20VC

7 statements about Venture Returns, every show

20VC Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Venture returns over last 5 years massively trailed public markets
“The truth is the venture return over the last five years has been massively lower than the public market returns.”
Rory O'Driscoll Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 1:06:39 Why VC Today is Worse than 2021 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Morgan: Market size matters more than founder caliber in venture outcomes
“In fact if you look through history, the most important thing is how big is the market they're going after. But right after that is the founder.”
Howard Morgan Sep 2, 2025 ▶ 8:44 Howard Morgan on AI, Global Venture Investing & Founder Insights | NVCA Award Recipient Series
20VC Insight
Clarkson: LPs must commit consistently because venture markets cannot be timed
“There is a very long history of looking at venture returns, which says if you're not in the market, you just don't know how to call the exit, so you have to be consistent about committing.”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 10:21 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Frank Rotman: Non-Unlimited TAM Startups Must Achieve Low-Scale Profitability
“Companies need to learn to make money at low levels of scale, right? Either you're in an unlimited TAM market where you can justify putting capital into the business and continuing to pour capital into the business. I think some SaaS companies Like, the TAMs a…”
Frank Rotman Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 15:34 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Mid-tier VC firms lacking media distribution will see bad returns
“If you're a traditional firm, you know, pick your organization, which neither has brands nor has distribution. What are you doing? Well, you're probably forced to just pay the highest price. And so those returns for those folks in the middle get really bad, I …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 6, 2021 ▶ 18:16 E21: Media misalignment, subjects controlling narratives & more with bestie guestie Draymond Green
20VC Insight
Early-stage investing offers the highest probability of generating venture-scale returns
“So we think that the ability to generate venture returns, quote unquote, you have the greatest chance at the early stage.”
Apurva Mehta Aug 17, 2020 ▶ 9:33 20VC: Why Entrepreneurs Care Less About Firm Brand at Seed, How LPs Should Think About GP Commit & How The World of LPs and Fundraising Will Change Post COVID with Apurva Mehta, Managing Partner @ Summit Peak Investments
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Gurley: Most Multi-Decade VC Returns Accrue at Cycle Ends
“The vast majority of the average returns over a multi-decade window are right at the end of the cycle.”
Bill Gurley Jun 24, 2019 ▶ 8:40 20VC: Benchmark's Bill Gurley on 5 Traits Benchmark Look For When Adding To The Partnership, Why The Abundance of Capital Is Today's Biggest Challenge in VC & The Right Way To Think About Market Size When Assessing Opportunities

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