US Inflation

topic on 2 shows · 7 statements across 7 episodes

Capital Allocators All-In

7 statements about US Inflation, every show

ALL-IN Prediction Partly held up
Palihapitiya predicts US inflation will drop further over next six months
“What's going to happen over the next six months, it's mostly in the bag and meaning we talked about this before, but there's a lag effect on a handful of components, specifically rents, which when you roll them into this inflation rate, you're going to see it …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 1:17:38 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ivascyn: PIMCO expects US core inflation in high 2% range by year-end
“In the spread sectors, our base case economic view is reasonably constructive. U.S. Inflation heading back down to the high two level on the core side at the end of the year. Based on recent constructive economic data, slow growth, basically a fifty-fifty chan…”
Dan Ivascyn Feb 20, 2023 ▶ 30:20 Dan Ivascyn – Fixed Income in the Limelight Again (Capital Allocators, EP.298)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
New York Yankees equity compounded at 9.7% annually over 115 years
“Over the last, I think it's 115 years, US inflation has run at an annualized rate of around, I think it's 3.1%. US public equities have compounded at around a 5.9%. And equity in the New York Yankees has compounded at 9.7% per year for a 115 years.”
Ian Charles Dec 6, 2021 ▶ 32:16 Ian Charles & Doc O'Connor – Investing in Sports Teams at Arctos Sports Partners (Capital Allocators, EP.225)
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya: Rising US inflation is the beginning of a persistent trend
“So I think that it's a it's this is the beginning of a persistence.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 13, 2021 ▶ 45:09 E55: Valuing crypto projects, Rivian worth $100B+, inflation: causes and corrections and more
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rieder: US inflation will normalize to around 2% once reopening fades
“But if you normalize airfare, lodging, growth of used cars, et cetera, you're going to run at two-ish percent, maybe a little higher. But I think they're right on the transitory thing generally.”
Rick Rieder Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 37:05 Rick Rieder – BlackRock (Manager Meetings, EP.08)
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath predicts recent U.S. inflation surge is a temporary head fake
“I think this whole inflation thing is a head fake.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 13, 2021 ▶ 57:42 E35: Biogen's controversial Alzheimer's drug approval, the billionaire space race, Bitcoin & more
ALL-IN Prediction Partly held up
Chamath Palihapitiya predicts Biden's spending will drive inflation and commodity prices higher
“It feels like we're entering an era of spend, spend, spend. And that was an opinion of mine, which I believe is actually fairly accurate. I do think it will drive inflation. I do think it'll drive commodity prices. And I think on balance, I do think it will su…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 27, 2021 ▶ 19:21 E27: The Great Inflation Debate, Amazon gets spicy on Twitter, rethinking supply chains & more

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