Uncertainty
topic on 5 shows · 7 statements across 7 episodes
American Optimist 
the Knowledge Project 
Masters of Scale 
Capital Allocators 
the MAD Podcast
7 statements about Uncertainty, every show
Perel: Play is the most important mammalian adaptation for practicing uncertainty
“Play is the most important adaptation for uncertainty. It is the way we practice uncertainty is by playing.”
Ross: Uncertainty is paralyzing for business, whether news is good or bad
“Business can adjust to good news. It can adjust to bad news. But uncertainty is a paralyzing thing for business.”
Mervosh: Growing capacity for uncertainty expands ability to navigate complexity
“The work of the hero is to embrace a relationship to uncertainty, to understand that the more you grow your capacity for uncertainty and complexity, the more you have ability to navigate terrains in whole new ways when the uncertainty is a doorway, not a probl…”
Duke: Uncertainty and luck untether outcome quality from decision quality
“Uncertainty, luck, hidden information, all of the stuff that makes our judgment so subjective, that untethers the quality of outcomes from the quality of decisions, that I can feel having this influence on the way I make decisions.”
Mervosh: Expanding capacity for uncertainty enhances ability to navigate complexity
“The more you're, you grow your capacity for uncertainty and complexity, the more you have ability to navigate terrains and whole new ways when the uncertainty is a doorway. Not a problem to be eliminated”
Ben Vigoda: Machine learning variables must include uncertainty and error bars
“Every variable that you're trying to infer in a program should come with an uncertainty. Neural networks today are just, they're just a number in the neuron. It's like an activation level. But you need error bars around those numbers.”
Collison: Startup uncertainty is frustrating because time prevents gathering available info
“I think it's a more frustrating kind of uncertainty where it's actually not necessary, but the thing that's sort of limited is your, is essentially the cost of obtaining further information, reducing that uncertainty. And so you're left in this sort of dissati…”