Research Scientists

other on 2 shows · 2 statements across 2 episodes

No Priors Big Technology

2 statements about Research Scientists, every show

NO PRIORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Guo: Researchers have predicted ASI is 18 months away for five years
“The data I have is that a number of very smart and even very self-aware research scientists have felt that, you know, there was some knee in the curve on recursive self-improvement or ASI, 18 months away, every 18 months for the last five years.”
Sarah Guo Aug 6, 2026 ▶ 19:09 Chasing Trillion-Dollar Companies, Founder Ambition, Token Budgets, & Regulatory Capture
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brockman: OpenAI Automating Its Own Research Scientists' End-to-End Workflows
“And at a practical level, I think I would view it as ex, is taking the full end to end of what one of our research scientists does and be able to do that in Silicon.”
Greg Brockman Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 31:02 OpenAI President Greg Brockman: AI Self-Improvement, The Superapp Bet, Path To AGI, Scaling Compute

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