Reconciliation Bill

topic on 5 shows · 10 statements across 10 episodes

BG2 Pod American Optimist Sourcery All-In TBPN

10 statements about Reconciliation Bill, every show

AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Partly supported
Vought: Reconciliation bill's $1.5T mandatory cuts nearly double 1997 record
“There's a one in .5 trillion dollar in savings to mandatory reforms, which is some of the big structural drivers that we have. If you looked at the biggest mandatory reform in history, it would have been 1997 and eight hundred billion dollars adjusted For infl…”
Russ Vaught Jul 22, 2025 ▶ 12:37 New Face of DOGE Agenda Explains the Big Beautiful Bill · Joe Lonsdale
SOURCERY Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Jul 2025
Little: Reconciliation Bill Allocates $450M for Maritime Software and AI
“And there's a huge part of the reconciliation bill, about four hundred and fifty million, that recognizes that we need to be able to use software and AI to be able to accelerate that journey.”
Greg Little Jul 22, 2025 ▶ 5:39 How Palantir Is Modernizing the Military With AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
ALL-IN Opinion
Sacks: Republicans commit political suicide if they fail to pass reconciliation bill
“I think that Republicans would be committing political suicide if they don't.”
David Sacks Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 1:22:55 Tucker Carlson: ICE Raids, LA Riots, Strong Economic Data, Politicized Fed, War with Iran?
BG2 Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Failing to pass reconciliation bill causes $4T tax hike
“In the absence of that, you get a four trillion dollar tax increase and markets go a lot lower.”
Brad Gerstner Jun 6, 2025 ▶ 49:52 China, AI Immigration, Rare Earths & Chips, Tariffs, Markets | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Sacks: Senate rules prohibit including DOGE discretionary cuts in reconciliation bills
“Reconciliation bills can only deal with what's called mandatory spending. They can't deal with what's called discretionary spending. And since the doge cuts apply to discretionary spending, they just can't be dealt with in a reconciliation bill.”
David Sacks May 31, 2025 ▶ 54:10 AI Doom vs Boom, EA Cult Returns, BBB Upside, US Steel and Golden Votes
BG2 Prediction Held up
Gerstner: Reconciliation bill will likely increase the US federal deficit
“But I suspect when you look at this package, right, and again, I'm just saying based upon how the Congressional Budget Office will score it, and this is kind of arcane scoring, but it will probably increase the deficit, and at best it would reduce it by a hund…”
Brad Gerstner May 22, 2025 ▶ 36:18 AI, Middle East, China, Tariffs, Recon Bill, Invest America | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
TBPN Assertion Supported
Asparouhov: Congressional reconciliation bill considers $150B to $200B defense budget boost
“There's been talk of that reconciliation bill being a 150 to 200, you know, sort of billion, which obviously gets, you know, sort of the total last year bill, you know, pretty close to that, you know, sort of trillion dollar mark.”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 13:57 How Tech Can Save America | Delian Asparouhov on TBPN
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Emmer predicts budget reconciliation bill could reach Trump's desk by Memorial Day
“If we're able to keep to that schedule, then you could realistically have a reconciliation bill to President Trump's desk by Memorial weekend.”
Tom Emmer Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 13:07 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Sacks: The House reconciliation bill includes $2.5 billion for tree equity
“Is they've got 2.5 billion dollars going to tree equity, whatever that is.”
David Sacks Nov 20, 2021 ▶ 56:11 E56: Constitution DAO, Rittenhouse trial coverage, private sector efficiency vs the government
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Sachs: Reconciliation bill disallows retirement funds from investing in VC and startups
“One of the brilliant provisions in this reconciliation bill is they're actually disallowing retirement funds to invest in alternative assets, including startups and venture capital funds.”
David Sacks Oct 2, 2021 ▶ 58:43 E49: Coinbase CEO reflects on controversial blog, state of the markets, 1000 unicorns & more

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