Predicting The Future

topic on 2 shows · 2 statements across 2 episodes

the Knowledge Project Big Technology

2 statements about Predicting The Future, every show

Teller: No one is better than random at predicting the future
“I, one of the core axioms at X is I do not believe that anyone, certainly including myself, is any better than random at predicting the future.”
Astro Teller Jun 29, 2023 ▶ 38:11 Google's "X" Experimental Unit CEO Astro Teller — The Incredible Promise Of AI & Its Dangers
Parrish: Strategic positioning appears suboptimal short term but wins over time
“So there's always somebody you can compare yourself to Who's doing the exact optimal thing in the moment, but since the environment and the context in which we operate is always changing, eventually positioning wins, but it never wins in the moment, but it win…”
Shane Parrish Feb 2, 2021 ▶ 1:13:51 #102 Sendhil Mullainathan: The Chaos Inside Us

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