Predicting The Future
topic on 2 shows · 2 statements across 2 episodes
the Knowledge Project
Big Technology
2 statements about Predicting The Future, every show
Teller: No one is better than random at predicting the future
“I, one of the core axioms at X is I do not believe that anyone, certainly including myself, is any better than random at predicting the future.”
Parrish: Strategic positioning appears suboptimal short term but wins over time
“So there's always somebody you can compare yourself to Who's doing the exact optimal thing in the moment, but since the environment and the context in which we operate is always changing, eventually positioning wins, but it never wins in the moment, but it win…”