Poker Solver

topic on 2 shows · 3 statements across 2 episodes

No Priors All-In

3 statements about Poker Solver, every show

NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brown predicts AI will zero-shot his entire PhD thesis within one year
“And I wouldn't be surprised if, you know, six months or a year from now, the model is able to do zero shot an entire poker solver, basically my entire PhD thesis in one go.”
Noam Brown Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 11:17 Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brown
NO PRIORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brown says AI models optimized his PhD poker algorithms by 1,000x
“I was really impressed with the model's ability to optimize the algorithms that I had developed in my PhD. It was honestly, it was shocking to see how inefficient I was in retrospect, and they were able to make it like, you know, 1000 x faster.”
Noam Brown Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 24:00 Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brown
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Silver: Daniel Negreanu remade his poker game using computer solver models
“I talked to Daniel Negreanu, for example, one of the probably five best puck players of all time. And he told me that about four years ago, he realized that these solver kids, as he calls them, the math whizzes were better than him, at least at certain forms o…”
Nate Silver May 30, 2022 ▶ 3:49 #AIS: FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver on how gamblers think

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