Overfitting

topic on 3 shows · 3 statements across 3 episodes

the Knowledge Project Lenny's Podcast Capital Allocators

3 statements about Overfitting, every show

Lütke: Goodhart's law is the business equivalent of ML overfitting
“There's a business analogy of this, which is that, or not actually an analogy, it's called Goodhart's law. It's literally the same thing as overfitting, just for businesses. Goodhart's law just says any metric that becomes a goal ceases to be a good metric.”
Tobi Lütke Feb 2, 2025 ▶ 14:40 Tobi Lütke's leadership playbook: First principles, infinite games, and maximizing human potential
Braga: Overfitting data is the biggest sin for systematic traders
“Well, for the systematic trader, it's overfitting. It's just looking at all the data that you know is filled with randomness and coming out and say, ah, this is going to be a brilliant strategy and it's going to perform right. So overfitting to the data and th…”
Leda Braga Sep 9, 2021 ▶ 57:45 Leda Braga – Systematica Investments (Manager Meetings, EP.10)
Mullainathan: Overfitting is a necessary first stage of learning
“I think the first stage of learning is overfitting.”
Sendhil Mullainathan Feb 2, 2021 ▶ 24:50 #102 Sendhil Mullainathan: The Chaos Inside Us

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