Memory Capacity

topic on 2 shows · 4 statements across 4 episodes

Cheeky Pint Invest Like the Best

4 statements about Memory Capacity, every show

Baker: LLM pre-fill is capacity-bound while decode is bandwidth-constrained
“And that is fundamentally a memory capacity bound problem. Decode is the process of generating new tokens, and that is memory bandwidth constraint.”
Gavin Baker May 20, 2026 ▶ 45:23 Watts, Wafers, and the Future of AI Infra | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Didn’t hold up
Patel: Incremental memory fab capacity will not arrive until late 2027 or 2028
“Even if they wanted to build as fast as possible, it doesn't come till 28 early, late 27 at best.”
Dylan Patel Apr 23, 2026 ▶ 34:48 The Supply and Demand of AI Tokens | Dylan Patel Interview · Invest Like The Best
CHEEKY PINT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pichai: Leading memory makers cannot rapidly expand short-term capacity
“There is no way that the leading memory companies are going to dramatically improve their capacity. So you have those constraints in the short term, but they get more relaxed as you go out.”
Sundar Pichai Apr 7, 2026 ▶ 30:54 The history and future of AI at Google, with Sundar Pichai
CHEEKY PINT Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Ben Thompson: The semiconductor market will have excess memory capacity soon
“We're going to believe it or not. We are going to have too much memory capacity in a few years because we have such a shortage right now.”
Ben Thompson Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 1:07:56 Ben Thompson from Stratechery on AI ads, the end of SaaS, and the future of media

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