Advanced Reactors

topic on 3 shows · 7 statements across 4 episodes

American Optimist Invest Like the Best Catalyst

7 statements about Advanced Reactors, every show

Nolan: Fuel can exceed half the operating cost for small advanced reactors
“And so you go from a situation where the reactor is over 90% of total cost of energy produced to where, and fuel is obviously single digit percentages with low enriched uranium and gigawatt scale reactors and those simple metal fuel pellets to now where the fu…”
Scott Nolan Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 16:08 SpaceX’s Secret, Nuclear's Rebirth, and the AI Power Crisis · Joe Lonsdale
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Nolan: Advanced nuclear reactor deployments will ramp significantly starting in 2030
“That, I think those, that timing is coming, you know, 20, 28 through 20 30. They're gonna first really start doing the, you know, single digit deployments, and then I think 2030 is where it really ramps.”
Scott Nolan Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 28:02 SpaceX’s Secret, Nuclear's Rebirth, and the AI Power Crisis · Joe Lonsdale
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Supported
Nolan: HALEU Fuel Accounts for Over Half of Advanced Reactors' Costs
“So some of the, some advanced reactors, the cost of the fuel, the halo fuel that goes into it enriched further to 19.75%, which requires more input material to refine it all the way there. As you filter through more and more and more material, that fuel can be…”
Scott Nolan Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 1:05:42 From SpaceX to Founders Fund to Solving America's Nuclear Fuel Problem · Invest Like The Best
CATALYST Assertion Supported
Nolan: Most advanced reactors will use 19.75% enriched HALEU fuel
“Most of the advanced reactors that you hear about are going to be using 19.75 enriched fuel.”
Scott Nolan Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 21:59 Building a domestic nuclear fuel supply chain
CATALYST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nolan: Advanced reactors will surprise on deployment speed for AI demand
“We think that they're going to surprise everyone in their deployment speed and scale up, and, you know, just looking at the landscape of energy demand in the U.S. We haven't grown the grid for decades and yet now we have this huge surge of demand for data cent…”
Scott Nolan Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 28:00 Building a domestic nuclear fuel supply chain
CATALYST Assertion Supported
Huff: No advanced reactor developers are using NRC Part 53 yet
“There's now one called part 53 that's for advanced reactors, but no one's really using it yet.”
Katie Huff Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 5:36 The path to market for new nuclear reactors
CATALYST Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2032
First advanced nuclear reactor will supply US grid power by 2032
“I'm pretty bad at making predictions, but I would be surprised if by 20 32 we haven't seen Real new advanced reactor electrons on the grid. There may not be many, and it'll probably be just one reactor but it'll shortly thereafter be followed by, you know, a s…”
Katie Huff Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 34:13 The path to market for new nuclear reactors

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