SAP

includes SAP Concur, SAP SuccessFactors, SAP R/3

12 statements across 9 episodes · 2 bullish · 8 bearish · 9 people on the record · first statement Jan 2, 2019 by Benedict Evans · said 80 times in 36 episodes since 2017 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Steven Sinofsky (23), Benedict Evans (13), Elena Burger (6), Ron Gill (3), James Waters (3), Alex Rampell (3), Sonal Chokshi (2), Seema Amble (2)

tap a year for its mentions
00201340252017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
013252017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
003136252017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 38 mentions in 7 episodes 5 per episode
2025 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode
2019 34 mentions in 24 episodes 1 per episode
2018 1 mention in 1 episode
2017 5 mentions in 2 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about SAP, oldest first

Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple operates the world's largest installation of SAP enterprise software
“Apple's the world's biggest SAP installation.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:54 a16z Podcast | The Rise of Full Stack Startups
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Markoff: Enterprise software and the internet hollowed out white-collar corporate jobs
“The arrival of the internet coupled with companies like SAP and PeopleSoft and Oracle and IBM who are re-engineering the white-collar clerk class inside, ah, corporations has caused this, you know, the evaporation of, the hollowing out of modern corporations.”
John Markoff Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:47 a16z Podcast | Talking Humans and Machines with NYT’s John Markoff
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Unicode Voting Power Concentrated Among US Tech Giants, SAP, and Oman
“No, so of those 12, so of those 12, nine are U.S. Multinational tech companies. Oracle, IBM, Google, Yahoo, Adobe, Facebook, Microsoft, and Symantec. Then of the other three full voting members, one is the German software company SAP, another is the Chinese te…”
Jenny Lee Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:13 a16z Podcast | Not all Network Effects Are Created Equal
Aug 9, 2019 negative
Insight
Casado: IBM and SAP make complex products to justify higher sales prices
“Where if you have a sales person selling something, you actually benefit by more knobs because it'll demonstrate more value. I mean, I hear often people say, why does IBM or SAP make such complicated products? Don't they know how to build products? That's actu…”
Martin Casado Aug 9, 2019 ▶ 4:08 Growth, Sales, and a New Era of B2B
Aug 9, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Casado: Cisco, IBM, HP, and SAP cannot defend against B2B growth sales
“Right now, like, the incumbents really don't have any defense strategy against this. Like, it's very hard for, like, a Cisco or an IBM or an HP or an SAP to defend against this sort of emotion.”
Martin Casado Aug 9, 2019 ▶ 1:55 Growth, Sales, and a New Era of B2B
Jan 19, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rampell: Software incumbents like SAP and Adobe will grow stronger with AI
“Bill.com is gonna be a stronger business, Or SAP is going to be a stronger business, or Adobe is going to be a stronger business because of AI.”
Alex Rampell Jan 19, 2026 ▶ 12:46 The AI Opportunity that goes beyond Models
Feb 9, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
David George: AI model companies will add 75-80% of public software's net revenue in 2026
“And I think if you were to do that same comparison for 2026, all of the entire public software industry, I mean, SAP, this is not just SaaS, like including SAP and older software companies. I think the AI companies, the model companies will be something like 7…”
David George Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 36:34 AI Markets: Deep Dive with a16z's David George
Apr 8, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sinofsky: Vibe coding cannot recreate complex enterprise systems like SAP
“It's just absurd to think you're going to vibe code your way to like SAP.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 29:55 Box CEO on the AI Adoption Gap | The a16z Show
Apr 8, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Persistence of SAP will slow AI adoption on enterprise data
“SAP isn't going anywhere, so then that's going to slow the diffusion of AI on that particular data source, independent of whether or not it's Agentified AI that's doing stuff or just read-only reporting on stuff?”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 30:01 Box CEO on the AI Adoption Gap | The a16z Show
Jul 7, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Amble: Postgres and APIs cannot easily replace SAP's business logic
“Misconception right now is that you can just have, you know, Postgres database and APIs, and then bam, like you can replace SAP. That's like absolutely not true. That piece around the logic and everything else that is in captured in SAP is way, way more import…”
Seema Amble Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 0:32 Software in the Age of Agents | The a16z Show
Jul 7, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sinofsky: Removing SAP would cause auto manufacturers and Walmart to evaporate
“If you take SAP out of a large automobile manufacturer, there's no automobile manufacturer left. Or Walmart. Like the company just evaporates. Because the company is defined, not just by purchasing the software, not even by just using it, but by how they codif…”
Steven Sinofsky Jul 7, 2026 ▶ 17:29 Software in the Age of Agents | The a16z Show
Aug 26, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Acharya: AI Agents Pose an Existential Threat to SAP
“There are a couple of moats that are exposed. For me, the integration moat is the most obvious one. You know, SAP is, is so famously complex to integrate into and out of that. It's a sort of existential risk to even migrate from one version of SAP to the next.…”
Anish Acharya Aug 26, 2026 ▶ 6:13 The State of AI: Models, Moats, and the Consumer Renaissance
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