IBM

includes IBM Watson, IBM Personal Computer, IBM PC, IBM Selectric, IBM 3270, IBM Db2, IBM Research, IBM Z10, IBM 704, IBM AIX, IBM Cloud, IBM Simon and 3 more

23 statements across 21 episodes · 7 bullish · 9 bearish · 18 people on the record · first statement Jul 15, 2017 by Martín Casado · said 301 times in 117 episodes since 2017 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Steven Sinofsky (48), Marc Andreessen (43), Benedict Evans (33), Alex Rampell (16), Sonal Chokshi (12), Frank Chen (10), Martin Casado (8), James Waters (8)

tap a year for its mentions
0010040200802017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
040802017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
002404802017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 22 mentions in 10 episodes 2 per episode
2025 48 mentions in 15 episodes 3 per episode
2024 18 mentions in 8 episodes 2 per episode
2023 4 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode
2022 1 mention in 1 episode
2019 177 mentions in 66 episodes 3 per episode
2018 7 mentions in 4 episodes 2 per episode
2017 24 mentions in 9 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about IBM, oldest first

Jul 15, 2017 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Casado: IBM has posted multiple consecutive quarters of losses
“IBM has posted a lot of quarter on quarter losses.”
Martín Casado Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 0:33 Trends in and the Future of Infrastructure
Dec 5, 2017 neutral
Insight
Evans: Dominant Tech Giants Always Look Invulnerable Right Before They Fall
“The winners always look invulnerable until they don't. So, IBM looked invulnerable, then Microsoft, Intel, Nokia did, then the internet giants of the last bubble, now Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon look invulnerable, but all the previous ones fell, and it was…”
Benedict Evans Dec 5, 2017 ▶ 4:57 10 Year Futures (vs. What's Happening Now)
Dec 9, 2017 negative
Opinion
Rampell: Enterprise supply-chain tracking is not true blockchain technology
“Okay, so that's not what a blockchain is. At least not how we use it. And every time there's a major movement, there often is a lot of hype.”
Alex Rampell Dec 9, 2017 ▶ 2:13 Decrypting Crypto: From Bitcoin and Blockchain to ICOs
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Thiel: Legacy tech giants like Microsoft and Oracle bet against innovation
“There's a whole set of companies in the Nasdaq 100 that are actually bets against technological innovation. So Microsoft is a bet that there will never be anything like Linux. It's a bet that there will be that the operating system won't shift to mobile platfo…”
Peter Thiel Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 38:03 a16z Podcast | The (Definite) Optimism of Peter Thiel
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
IBM killed a 1982 OS deal to protect its Microsoft relationship
“They killed the deal because of IBM didn't want to mess up the relationship with this new guy, Bill Gates or his company, Microsoft.”
Jim Gilliam Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:14 a16z Podcast | The Internet is His Religion
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Markoff: Enterprise software and the internet hollowed out white-collar corporate jobs
“The arrival of the internet coupled with companies like SAP and PeopleSoft and Oracle and IBM who are re-engineering the white-collar clerk class inside, ah, corporations has caused this, you know, the evaporation of, the hollowing out of modern corporations.”
John Markoff Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:47 a16z Podcast | Talking Humans and Machines with NYT’s John Markoff
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Opinion
Roman Mars: Podcasting is no longer seen as inferior to traditional media
“I don't think that there's this notion that it's risky to go into podcasting, that it's lesser than I think it feels like the most exciting thing. I think it's equivalent to the kind of the startup world where, you know, you could have had a, you know, a great…”
Roman Mars Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:32 a16z Podcast | A Podcast about Podcasts
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Levine: Commercial tech innovation has shifted from corporate labs to universities
“If you look at, ah, you know, a lot of, ah, innovation Up till, well, to me, re up until recently came from, like, Bell Labs and IBM and Microsoft Research, and that's where a lot of the new, I would say the new commercial ideas came from folks leaving those a…”
Peter Levine Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:14 a16z Podcast | AMPLab, the Power of Open Source, and the Future of Systems Software
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ashatosh: Azure and IBM will beat AWS in enterprise cloud within two years
“In fact, we predict that the number one enterprise cloud in the next two years is probably going to be Azure, and not AWS, just because they are sucking up a tremendous amount of footprint of applications. And number two actually might be IBM, and not AWS, as …”
Ash Ashatosh Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:42 a16z Podcast | Dell + EMC -- Why the Python Just Ate the Cow
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tanium is targeting a $20 billion total addressable market
“Because I like my twenty billion dollar TAM that's being prosecuted by, like, seventy-year-old gray hairs at IBM.”
Orion Hindawi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:02 a16z Podcast | The Fundamentals of Security and the Story of Tanium’s Growth
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
IBM's competing product relies on technology Hindawi invented at age 18
“You're buying something if you buy it from IBM that I invented when I was 18 years old and had absolutely no idea what I was doing, and you can either do that or buy the product that I had 15 years of learning that I put into with, You know, a much newer archi…”
Orion Hindawi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:54 a16z Podcast | The Fundamentals of Security and the Story of Tanium’s Growth
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: a16z aims to back startups that disrupt IBM's enterprise dominance
“And I view our company's challenge and opportunity is to prove that untrue.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:35 a16z Podcast | Investing in (Business and Career) Change
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Davenport: Almost every tech vendor will add cognitive AI capabilities
“You know, big companies like IBM are hiring thousands of people to do this, and I think there's every reason to expect that as these technologies take hold, almost every vendor will have some level of cognitive capabilities, and a lot of people will need to be…”
Tom Davenport Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:33 a16z Podcast | Automation, Jobs, & the Future of Work (and Income)
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Unicode Voting Power Concentrated Among US Tech Giants, SAP, and Oman
“No, so of those 12, so of those 12, nine are U.S. Multinational tech companies. Oracle, IBM, Google, Yahoo, Adobe, Facebook, Microsoft, and Symantec. Then of the other three full voting members, one is the German software company SAP, another is the Chinese te…”
Jenny Lee Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:13 a16z Podcast | Not all Network Effects Are Created Equal
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lakhani: Tech Analysts Emerged to Decode IBM's Opaque Market Position
“Analysts as we know them today really came about because there was a point in time in history where IBM was a firm that moved the markets the largest and there was no information about what IBM was doing outside of IBM and financial analysts couldn't get to th…”
Anil Lakhani Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:17 a16z Podcast | What Startups Should Know about Analyst Relations
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Sinofsky: IBM beat S&P 500 by 7x post-mainframe peak
“And if you just use the stock price measure, which obviously has all the other variables associated with it, but it actually, IBM beat the S&P 500 by seven X over that 20 year timeframe on the back of a dead mainframe.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:02 a16z Podcast | The $200 PC in the Enterprise
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hennessy: IBM and DEC missed microprocessors by building increasingly complex machines
“They were building machines which were getting increasingly complicated rather than simpler. And they missed the whole importance of the microprocessor and VLSI and how we completely changed the industry.”
John Hennessy Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:56 a16z Podcast | From Research to Startup, There and Back Again
Feb 26, 2019
Insight
De La Garza: Enterprise buyer inertia applies to cybercrime marketplaces
“Nobody ever gets fired for buying IBM, right? That same kind of inertia applies to the e-crime world.”
Joel De La Garza Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 29:04 a16z Podcast | The Business of Cybercrime
Aug 9, 2019 negative
Insight
Casado: IBM and SAP make complex products to justify higher sales prices
“Where if you have a sales person selling something, you actually benefit by more knobs because it'll demonstrate more value. I mean, I hear often people say, why does IBM or SAP make such complicated products? Don't they know how to build products? That's actu…”
Martin Casado Aug 9, 2019 ▶ 4:08 Growth, Sales, and a New Era of B2B
Aug 9, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Casado: Cisco, IBM, HP, and SAP cannot defend against B2B growth sales
“Right now, like, the incumbents really don't have any defense strategy against this. Like, it's very hard for, like, a Cisco or an IBM or an HP or an SAP to defend against this sort of emotion.”
Martin Casado Aug 9, 2019 ▶ 1:55 Growth, Sales, and a New Era of B2B
May 28, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Marc Andreessen claims the first smartphone traces back to 1982
“The smartphone was not a new creation in 2007. The first smartphone actually came out. If you trace it all the way back, it came out in 1982. But IBM actually released something that actually looks a lot like an iPhone in 1987.”
Marc Andreessen May 28, 2025 ▶ 34:11 Rick Rubin: Vibe Coding is the Punk Rock of Software
Jun 12, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
Andreessen: IBM founder Thomas Watson Sr. was convicted of antitrust in his 30s
“Thomas Watson, senior who founded, founded IBM, the guy who founded IBM. He founded IBM in his forties. In his thirties, he was convicted by the federal government of antitrust. He was, like, convicted of antitrust violations for running his previous company, …”
Marc Andreessen Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 25:46 Adam Neumann: This is How You Build Iconic Companies
Apr 8, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: AI token prices will face steep deflation like IBM mainframes
“People were on MIPS and then one day the reality was IBM was selling more MIPS for fewer dollars every year. And didn't even realize it. And they were still pricing their mainframes by MIPS until it got pointed out to them that they were on a decreasing curve …”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 8, 2026 ▶ 57:42 Box CEO on the AI Adoption Gap | The a16z Show
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