why aren't all 19 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Rabois: Ramp will beat Brex and become 10x more valuable
“Ramp is absolutely going to be the winner. Probably will be two, three, four, five, 10 times more valuable.”
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Ramp is generating $700M to $800M in revenue
“Like, I've heard they're doing roughly seven, eight hundred million dollars.”
Assertion Supported
No SaaS firm Cabane advised reached $50M ARR on a single channel
“And I have never seen a companies I've worked with, neither at Segment or at Drift, Gorgias, or Ram, and not in one of the companies I engage with, where we were able to get to fifty million on one channel. Not one.”
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Ramp's 40x revenue multiple sharply contrasts Brex's 6x valuation
“Fortyx runway revenues when the comp traded at six in terms of breaks, even albeit on a lower growth rate is a pretty healthy valuation.”
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Ramp data shows Anthropic grabbed 73% of new AI spend
“Just to start with the facts, they actually said 73% of new spending. Right. And what it is, and the same graph shows OpenAI is still actually ahead of Anthropic in terms of total spend. But the marginal buyer in the last six weeks, eight, 10 weeks has massive…”
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Ramp hit $1B run rate faster than Brex at $700M
“From an operational perspective, this is further validation that quote unquote, I've won. I started later and I'm doing a billion. They started earlier, they're doing seven hundred million.”
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Ramp reaches $1B revenue as Brex hits $700M near breakeven
“Ramp is at a billion in revenue. Brax is at 700. They're both around the breakeven to moving profitable phase.”
Prediction Held up
Glyman: Ramp aims to build Waze for business expenses and Shopify for CFOs
“I think that a lot of really the North star of where we're headed as a business is, can you actually go understand what things cost and build, let's say like a ways for all sorts of business expenses, a Shopify suite for the CFO.”
Prediction Held up
Glyman: CFO software and spend management will yield multiple $100B+ companies
“And look, I think that there are many hundred billion dollar plus companies in this space. I know Amex It's had since 1850 to work on it, and there are a number of others, but I think that if you can truly do that, and if you can create differentiated value in…”
Assertion Supported
Randle: Delian Asparouhov Sourced the Seed Investment for Ramp
“Dude, you sourced the seed of ramp.”
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Ramp raised $200 million at a $16 billion valuation
“Here's the thing, it's two hundred million at sixteen billion.”
Assertion Supported
Glyman: Ramp's recent post-money valuation was $7.6 billion
“It was a seven point six. 7.6 billion dollar post.”
Assertion Supported
Glyman: Most of Ramp's executive leadership has remained unchanged for years
“Most of the team you'll see today running ramp is the same team as it was two years ago, three, a lot of the same people and the depth of that and people's knowing each other's patterns, the strength, the weaknesses are good.”
Assertion Supported
Glyman: Ramp currently handles about 1% of US corporate card spend
“We're call it one percent of how you know businesses spend money on cards in America, but there's 99% to go.”
Assertion Supported
Glyman: Non-card services now drive the majority of Ramp's payment volume
“The majority of how we're moving funds is, is you know, it's gone beyond card.”
Assertion Supported
Glyman: Ramp revenue is well into nine figures with under 1% share
“Even five years later at, You know, well into the nine figures in revenue we are less than one percent of the market in which we are largest”
Assertion Supported
Ramp achieved 400% annual revenue growth over the past year
“We just announced for the last year, we hit 400% revenue growth.”
Assertion Supported
Glyman: Ramp spent its first 120 days building core infrastructure
“We didn't ship anything to customers, I think, in the first 120 days in the life of the company, and we were building the core ledger, and we were building the core financial infrastructure, and a lot of the core accounting integrations, all that”
Assertion Supported
Harry Stebbings: Ramp's valuation reached $32 billion from $13 billion in one year
“Ramp was thirteen billion at the start of this year. Now it's 32 with the latest round announced yesterday.”