machine learning

29 statements across 16 episodes · 12 bullish · 1 bearish · 16 people on the record · first statement May 17, 2017 by Ed McManus · across every show →

Everything said about machine learning, oldest first

May 17, 2017 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
McManus: Silicon Valley's fictional Middle Out algorithm is technically plausible
“The surprising thing with Middle Out is that, like, there is actually a technical background for it, and like, it is actually the result of a lot of sort of machine learning developments applied to compression. So the sort of, like, the theory behind the tech,…”
Ed McManus May 17, 2017 ▶ 11:45 The Technical Advisor for Silicon Valley on HBO: Ed McManus · Y Combinator
May 17, 2017 neutral
Assertion Supported
Zaremba: Google avoided ML in Search early on over interpretability issues
“Over the time Google search started to use machine learning because it was, it helps to improve results but simultaneously, they wanted to avoid it for some time as it's more difficult to interpret the results, and it's more difficult to actually understand wh…”
Wojciech Zaremba May 17, 2017 ▶ 11:53 An AI Primer with Wojciech Zaremba · Y Combinator
Jun 16, 2017 neutral
Insight
Hwang: De-biasing AI models creates trade-offs with minority data privacy
“Once a machine learning system is behaving in a biased way, one way of trying to deal with it is collecting more diverse data. Okay. But one of the big problems is when you do that, you end up collecting lots and lots of data about minorities, which raises all…”
Tim Hwang Jun 16, 2017 ▶ 2:36 At the Intersection of AI, Governments, and Google - Tim Hwang · Y Combinator
Jun 16, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hwang: Cloud ML services mean users won't need machine learning PhDs
“And the upshot of that basically is that the, like, amount of, like, you don't need a PhD in machine learning to get all the benefits from machine learning. Right. And I think that will shape the space, for sure.”
Tim Hwang Jun 16, 2017 ▶ 11:20 At the Intersection of AI, Governments, and Google - Tim Hwang · Y Combinator
Jun 16, 2017
Insight
Hwang: The AI competitive moat is shifting from data to interface design
“The amount of data you need to pull off certain types of machine learning applications is going down over time. And what that tells me is that there might not be necessarily a first-mover advantage in this space, where you may actually have collected a bunch o…”
Tim Hwang Jun 16, 2017 ▶ 26:59 At the Intersection of AI, Governments, and Google - Tim Hwang · Y Combinator
Jun 16, 2017 neutral
Opinion
Hwang: Demographic shifts impact the economy as much as AI breakthroughs
“Like what's it mean that we have an aging workforce, right? Or like, what's it mean that we have like falling workforce participation in the United States, right? Like those are actually trends that like, That are almost as large as, like, what someone comes u…”
Tim Hwang Jun 16, 2017 ▶ 16:51 At the Intersection of AI, Governments, and Google - Tim Hwang · Y Combinator
Jun 16, 2017 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hwang: Visual and interface designers will see high demand in AI
“I think the second thing that's about to be in really strong demand is thinking about the visual dimension of this, right, which is, like, happens on a couple levels. That's both, like, the interface of how you work with machine learning systems, But also just…”
Tim Hwang Jun 16, 2017 ▶ 36:50 At the Intersection of AI, Governments, and Google - Tim Hwang · Y Combinator
Jun 16, 2017 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hwang: Domain knowledge will be a critical future skill for AI implementation
“And I think, like, one enormous skill will be, like, domain knowledge. Because, like, coming up with, like, a technical capability is just, like, one part of this huge picture, right? Which is just, like, okay, so then, like, how do we actually introduce autom…”
Tim Hwang Jun 16, 2017 ▶ 10:11 At the Intersection of AI, Governments, and Google - Tim Hwang · Y Combinator
Jun 16, 2017 neutral
Insight
Hwang: Machine learning models frequently maximize objectives in unexpected ways
“One of the most common problems is just that you don't adequately think through your data, and so the machine does what the machine does, right, which is trying to optimize against your objective function that you give it. And it'll often maximize in ways that…”
Tim Hwang Jun 16, 2017 ▶ 4:09 At the Intersection of AI, Governments, and Google - Tim Hwang · Y Combinator
Jun 16, 2017 positive
Insight
Hwang: One-shot learning enables ML where data collection is expensive
“Where people are basically working on the ability to teach machines, but like a much smaller number of examples. Now that actually has a really big impact on the game. Cause that means that you can implement machine learning effectively. In situations where it…”
Tim Hwang Jun 16, 2017 ▶ 11:52 At the Intersection of AI, Governments, and Google - Tim Hwang · Y Combinator
Jun 16, 2017 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hwang: Minor adversarial pixel edits fool machine vision but not humans
“Adversarial examples lead to these really fascinating results where, you know, you can take a picture of a panda, and that's a classic example, and you edit a couple of the pixels, and it, like, basically, like, the computer will be like, yep, that's definitel…”
Tim Hwang Jun 16, 2017 ▶ 5:41 At the Intersection of AI, Governments, and Google - Tim Hwang · Y Combinator
Jul 21, 2017 neutral
Insight
Eck: AI will automate routine music creation, pushing artists toward new complexity
“Like some things that used to be hard will be easy. And so, We'll offload all of that. And if people are happy just listening to the stuff that's now easy, then yeah, it's a problem solved and we'll be able to generate lots of it. But then what people tend to …”
Doug Eck Jul 21, 2017 ▶ 37:57 Making Music and Art Through Machine Learning - Doug Eck of Magenta · Y Combinator
Jul 21, 2017 positive
Insight
Eck: Long-form ML models will let composers delegate macro structure
“If we get to models that can handle longer structure and nested structure, we'll have a lot more ways in which we can decide what we want to work on versus what we have the machine help us with, right?”
Doug Eck Jul 21, 2017 ▶ 41:00 Making Music and Art Through Machine Learning - Doug Eck of Magenta · Y Combinator
Jul 21, 2017 neutral
Insight
Eck: Users' first instinct with AI art models is breaking them
“The first thing you're gonna do, if you think, if someone comes to you and says, here's this really smart model that you can make art with, what are you gonna do? You're gonna try to show the world that it's a stupid model, right? But maybe the way that, maybe…”
Doug Eck Jul 21, 2017 ▶ 2:03 Making Music and Art Through Machine Learning - Doug Eck of Magenta · Y Combinator
Oct 20, 2017 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuo: Dismissive skepticism toward new artistic mediums will remain a constant
“Yes, I'll probably never live to see the day when someone doesn't say my kid could do that.”
Michelle Kuo Oct 20, 2017 ▶ 47:37 Experiments in Art and Technology with Artforum Editor Michelle Kuo · Y Combinator
Nov 8, 2017 positive
Insight
Brockman: ML researchers copy files over Git because experiments must run side-by-side
“Because the thing is, if you have a new idea for, okay, well, I've kind of got this thing working, and now I'm going to try something slightly different. As you're doing the new thing, well, machine learning is, to some extent, very binary. At the start, it ju…”
Greg Brockman Nov 8, 2017 ▶ 16:07 Building Dota Bots That Beat Pros - OpenAI's Greg Brockman, Szymon Sidor, and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Nov 8, 2017 positive
Insight
Sidor: Machine learning math is easier to learn than good engineering
“Getting good basics in linear algebra and in basic statistics, that's, especially when Doing experiments, it's easy to make like elementary statistics mistakes and linear algebra is just kind of most of what you need to know to like basic optimization as well …”
Szymon Sidor Nov 8, 2017 ▶ 52:28 Building Dota Bots That Beat Pros - OpenAI's Greg Brockman, Szymon Sidor, and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Nov 8, 2017 neutral
Insight
Brockman: Machine learning cores must be understood behaviorally, not just logged
“Normally, the way that you do it is, well, your goal is to have everything be very observable. And so, yeah, you want to put metrics on everything, and like, you know, if something's not understandable, add more logging, like, you know, that that's how you des…”
Greg Brockman Nov 8, 2017 ▶ 46:38 Building Dota Bots That Beat Pros - OpenAI's Greg Brockman, Szymon Sidor, and Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Nov 29, 2017
Disclosure
Robin Sloan is writing a novel incorporating machine learning-generated text
“I'm in the process of trying to write a novel that has as kind of part of its text, the product of some of these machine learning systems.”
Robin Sloan Nov 29, 2017 ▶ 39:50 Microbes, Robots, and Ambition - Robin Sloan on His Novel Sourdough · Y Combinator
Nov 29, 2017
Insight
Sloan: Human curation is as important as generative AI output
“The core interesting thing is the weird sort of wonderful output of this machine, right? But at the same time, you acknowledge that having a human kind of curate it and shape it and form it and just Be in the loop and be learning how to use it is just as impor…”
Robin Sloan Nov 29, 2017 ▶ 44:48 Microbes, Robots, and Ambition - Robin Sloan on His Novel Sourdough · Y Combinator
Apr 25, 2018 neutral
Insight
Hwang: The public sees non-ML robots as AI, ignoring newsfeeds
“The newsfeed assuredly is AI, right? Like, it uses machine learning. It uses the latest machine learning to do what it does. We don't really think about it as AI, right? Whereas, like, the car is, like I mean, I think a lot of robots kind of fall into this cat…”
Tim Hwang Apr 25, 2018 ▶ 9:58 A.I. Policy and Public Perception - Miles Brundage and Tim Hwang · Y Combinator
Jul 6, 2018 positive
Insight
Luís Batalha: Machine learning moves too fast to wait for academic journals
“Archive is, is super important because the papers are, the new papers are coming out at such a high rate that people don't wait before the papers go to journals, before they start working on top of it and using the stuff that other people discover.”
Luís Batalha Jul 6, 2018 ▶ 9:35 Fermat's Library Cofounders João Batalha and Luís Batalha · Y Combinator
Jan 16, 2019 positive
Insight
Qi Lu: The core essence of AI is rapid, efficient knowledge acquisition
“My view on this is AI is about a rapidly efficient way of acquiring knowledge. We can use sensors, cameras whatever sensors, to observe a phenomena, and use deep learning, machine learning, some techniques to rapidly distill into self-knowledge.”
Qi Lu Jan 16, 2019 ▶ 51:17 Cindy Mi and Qi Lu Share Advice for Entrepreneurs Building Global Companies · Y Combinator
Apr 3, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Allred: ML will soon predict candidate software engineering success before tuition
“Pretty soon you can underwrite the likelihood that a person will be a successful software engineer before they've paid a dollar.”
Austen Allred Apr 3, 2019 ▶ 34:52 A CS Education That's Free Until You Get a Job - Austen Allred of Lambda School · Y Combinator
Feb 28, 2023 neutral
Insight
Habib: LLM evaluation is harder than traditional ML due to subjectivity
“Then the use cases that people are building now tend to be a lot more subjective than you might have done with machine learning before. And so evaluation is a lot harder. You can't just calculate accuracy on a test set.”
Raza Habib Feb 28, 2023 ▶ 8:12 The REAL potential of generative AI · Y Combinator
Feb 27, 2026 positive
Insight
AI is replacing human engineers for dataset understanding and failure-mode detection
“Historically in machine learning, you always, you know, it's like the rule was you have to know your data set really well. But now we're kind of outsourcing that to the AI itself, where the AI is the, it's the AI's job to understand the dataset and figure out …”
Ian Fisher Feb 27, 2026 ▶ 12:52 The Powerful Alternative To Fine-Tuning · Y Combinator
Mar 27, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2076
Chollet: AI in 50 Years Will Not Use Today's LLM Stack
“I personally don't think that machine learning or AI in 50 years is still going to be built on this stack.”
François Chollet Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 5:01 François Chollet: Why Scaling Alone Isn’t Enough for AGI · Y Combinator
May 1, 2026 neutral
Insight
Gupta: Machine learning progresses by abandoning bio-plausibility for computational efficiency
“I think machine learning tends to have a long history of people starting with bio-plausible arguments, and then realizing that there's some variant of them that seems highly bio-implausible that actually works better.”
Ankit Gupta May 1, 2026 ▶ 14:35 Recursion Is The Next Scaling Law In AI · Y Combinator
Jul 30, 2026
Insight
Dean: 1,000x energy penalty for moving data forces machine learning batching
“I mean, I think the example you raised of a thousand X difference in bringing moving data versus actually computing on it in, in terms of energy is, is a pretty significant one. And it shapes a lot of aspects of what we do in machine learning. Because if you d…”
Jeff Dean Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 12:52 Jeff Dean: The 1% Rule for Building in AI · Y Combinator
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