AI progress

4 statements across 4 episodes · 4 bullish · 0 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Nov 8, 2024 by Sam Altman · across every show →

Everything said about AI progress, oldest first

Nov 8, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman: Expecting significant compounding AI progress ahead despite potential walls
“We could hit some, like, unexpected wall, or we could be missing something, but it looks to us like there's a lot of compounding in front of us still to happen.”
Sam Altman Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 2:59 How To Build The Future: Sam Altman · Y Combinator
Jun 21, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Altman predicts AI will maintain its rapid rate of progress for five more years
“Five more years I think we'll be able to maintain the same rate of progress”
Sam Altman Jun 21, 2025 ▶ 38:33 Sam Altman: The Future of OpenAI, ChatGPT's Origins, and Building AI Hardware · Y Combinator
Mar 27, 2026 positive
Insight
Chollet: AI Empowers Workers With Deep Expertise Rather Than Replacing Them
“The more, you know, the more expertise you have, but things like programming, for instance, the better you're able to Use and leverage these tools for your own benefit. And with the right kind of expertise all this AI progress is actually empowerment. Like, it…”
François Chollet Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 56:01 François Chollet: Why Scaling Alone Isn’t Enough for AGI · Y Combinator
Jul 29, 2026 bullish
Insight
Wang: Founders should identify and build on the steepest exponential curve
“Try to identify what is the exponential in the world that has both the steepest curve And we'll go the longest. And, you know, many decades ago, this curve was Moore's law. And that probably was, you know, that was at the time, like clearly the right thing to …”
Alexandr Wang Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 30:20 Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity” · Y Combinator
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