why aren't all 86 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Escobari: US VIX Is Trading at Three Times Historical Average
“The US has become a lot more volatile than it used to be. If you look at the VIX, it's at three times. The VIX is the volatility index. Three times the average.”
Assertion Contradicted
Marks: Buying Nifty 50 stocks in 1969 led to 95% losses
“And if you bought those stocks, the day I got to work in September of 69, if you held them tenaciously for five years, you lost about 95% of your money. 95%. Because for many of them, something did go wrong, and for all of them, the price was too high. The P.E…”
Assertion Contradicted
Bombay Shaving Company reaches 500 crore INR net revenue profitably
“And today we are now 500 crores net. Profitable. EBITDA and PAT both.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kothari: India Has Become ChatGPT's Number One Market
“ChatGPT is number one market is now India”
Assertion Contradicted
Shankar: Listed Indian Real Estate Developers Operate at Slim PAT Margins
“Actually, if you look at the listed entities, the margins, like you said, profit after tax is very slim. It's very slim. That's it. That's in a, yeah, in a good year. Otherwise, sometimes it's a high single digits also. Pat, I'm talking about.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kamath: Luxury giants LVMH, Kering, and Burberry face multi-decade sales declines
“If you look at LVMH, if you look at Kering, which owns Gucci, if you look at Burberry, their sales are declining for the first time in a multi-decade period. They're starting to fire 10% of their staff.”
Assertion Contradicted
Khaitan: Sponsoring the IPL requires a ₹100 crore budget
“IPL, if you sponsor, you have to have a budget of a hundred crore.”
Assertion Contradicted
Khaitan: Radico Khaitan contributes 26% of Uttar Pradesh's alcohol excise revenue
“And we contribute 26% of the state's revenue.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kim: Fresh IIT grads can earn 50 lakhs in game engineering
“So like, if you go to IIT and you come out, you can make, you know, 40, 50 lakhs.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ritesh Agarwal: Bangladesh per capita income is highest in South Asia
“The per capita income of Bangladesh is probably the highest in South Asia.”
Assertion Contradicted
Poddar: Rare Rabbit is the only brand without a chest logo
“Rigidity for me is that I'm the only, we are the only brand which has no logo on the chest.”
Assertion Contradicted
Poddar: Khadi is the only fabric in the world unique to India
“And today the advice to a 20 year is go and try to touch Khadi because it's the only fabric in the world, which only exists in India. There's no other, every other fabric is global. This is only India.”
Assertion Contradicted
Poddar: India is the only country growing organic denim
“And we make, we are the only country who grows organic denim.”
Assertion Contradicted
Agarwal: Masayoshi Son's telecom business is probably Japan's most profitable
“Built his own telecom business, which is now probably the most profitable business in Japan and one of the most profitable telecom business in the world in terms of construct.”
Assertion Contradicted
Narain: Delhi introduced 100,000 CNG vehicles in one year
“When we move to compressed natural gas in Delhi, CNG, we've brought in a 100,000 new vehicles in gas in a matter of a year.”
Assertion Contradicted
Amlani: India Reduced Restaurant License Requirements From 36 to 32
“We're still grappling with 36. I think after many years of struggle, I think we've been able to get it from 36 to 32.”
Assertion Contradicted
Amlani: India's Casual Dining Market is 4x Larger Than QSR
“They're going to CDRs a lot more. The market is four times as big, is growing at 20%, whereas QSRs have kind of hit a road bump.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kamath: Instagram sold 44M blue checkmarks mostly to 18-34 demographic
“Instagram sold as much as forty-four million blue ticks, mostly to people in the age group of 18 to 34.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kotak: Kotak Is the Only Large Indian Bank Offering Zero-Balance Accounts
“We are the only large bank in India to offer a bank account with zero minimum balance, which is very compelling for most of India that does not have 10,000 rupees.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kumar: Third Wave Coffee is profitable and valued around $200M
“I think somewhere now they are valued around two hundred million, something like that. And it's good because they're profitable business.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kamath: India Spends 0.5% of GDP on Tourism
“And India spent .5% of GDP on tourism.”
Assertion Contradicted
Zhu: RMB Devalued 30% Over a Decade Before Rebounding 10–15%
“China started its exchange rate reform about a decade ago, and then RMB went down in devaluation for about a 30%, but it has appreciated 10 to 15% since last summer.”
Assertion Contradicted
Escobari: China's GDP was 20% larger than Brazil's in 2000, now 14x
“At the time, the GDP of China was 20% bigger than that of Brazil. Today, it's 14 times bigger.”
Assertion Contradicted
ElevenLabs CEO: Automatic podcast dubbing costs up to a few dollars per hour
“If you just wanted to automatically dab, then like an hour podcast will be a few dollars, up to a few dollars.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kamath's grant program produced multiple $50M startups including pet company Possible
“Like there's a pet protein company called Possible, which is now worth maybe 40, fifty million. There have been like three, four, fifty million kind of outcomes.”
Assertion Contradicted
Bhakti Modi: Hair accounts for 70% of the beauty services industry
“If you look at the services industry, on the other hand it's all about hair. So skin and makeup services are not huge. 70%.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bombay Shaving Company will exceed 2020-2021 annual revenue in EBITDA this year
“So we will do more EBITDA this year than the revenue in”
Assertion Contradicted
Netflix Originally Sourced Its DVDs From Walmart and Best Buy
“Basically the company at the time was buying all the DVDs from Walmart and Best Buy and that kind of thing.”
Assertion Contradicted
Pei: Chipmakers earn 40-45% gross margins while Foxconn earns roughly 10%
“Nvidia, I don't know, is it or Qualcomm's, 4060, 40, 45%, I think, just declared, yeah. Gross margin. But Foxconn is, I think, 10%.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sharma: India's PLI scheme covers 70-75% of mobile phone component value
“So as of now, they have structured it for, let's say, components, which are high in value, let's say, which covers 70 to 75% of the mobile phone.”
Assertion Contradicted
Shankar: One Billion Square Feet of US Grade A Office Sits Empty
“In the US, of course, There is about one billion square feet of grade A office space that is lying empty.”
Assertion Contradicted
Poddar: Jack & Jones founder is Denmark's richest person
“Mr. Truce Paulson. He's the richest Danish man.”
Assertion Contradicted
Agarwal: OYO raised close to $1.5 billion in total capital
“Yeah, we raised close to a billion and a half dollars.”
Assertion Contradicted
Puneet Goyal sold PLG Clean Energy Projects to Suzlon for $55M
“My third venture was another solar project founded PLG Cleanerji projects. We did a small 70 megaw solar power plant in Dhulen, Maastra. Again, Anmol's company, Jensol, played a part there in getting up that power plant also... Sold that to a large listed enti…”
Assertion Contradicted
Goyal: India's annual oil import bill doubled to $120B in five years
“The numbers doubled. It was sixty billion dollars in 2018. Yeah. When we were writing the white paper for BlueSmart. Now that number is hundred and twenty billion dollars.”
Assertion Contradicted
Amlani: India Levies a 180% Import Tariff on Coffee Beans
“For example, if you were to import coffee beans, and I think Starbucks faces this challenge. It's a 180% duty on coffee. It's more than what you'd pay for a car because you're protecting your agricultural economy.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sivanandan: Indians consume 1.3 trillion hours of video annually
“Indians watch About 1.3 trillion hours worth of video, like, of all kinds in a year. In China, that number is about 3,000,003 trillion.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kamath: Kombucha market in South India is larger than in North India
“In South, it's bigger than North, for some reason.”