The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 86 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Escobari: US VIX Is Trading at Three Times Historical Average
“The US has become a lot more volatile than it used to be. If you look at the VIX, it's at three times. The VIX is the volatility index. Three times the average.”
Martin Escobari May 28, 2026 ▶ 23:56 Martin Escobari: Trauma, Chaos & Three Industries Worth $100B | Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Marks: Buying Nifty 50 stocks in 1969 led to 95% losses
“And if you bought those stocks, the day I got to work in September of 69, if you held them tenaciously for five years, you lost about 95% of your money. 95%. Because for many of them, something did go wrong, and for all of them, the price was too high. The P.E…”
Howard Marks May 4, 2026 ▶ 48:09 Howard Marks: AI, Debt vs Equity & The Next 40 Years Of Investing | Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Bombay Shaving Company reaches 500 crore INR net revenue profitably
“And today we are now 500 crores net. Profitable. EBITDA and PAT both.”
Shantanu Deshpande Sep 20, 2025 ▶ 3:16:24 Tira, Bombay Shaving Co., Inde Wild | WTF is Fueling India’s Beauty & Skincare Revolution? | Ep. 25 · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Kothari: India Has Become ChatGPT's Number One Market
“ChatGPT is number one market is now India”
Nikunj Kothari Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 2:43:48 Inside Silicon Valley’s VC Playbook | WTF is Venture Capital? - 2025 Edition | Ep. 24 · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Shankar: Listed Indian Real Estate Developers Operate at Slim PAT Margins
“Actually, if you look at the listed entities, the margins, like you said, profit after tax is very slim. It's very slim. That's it. That's in a, yeah, in a good year. Otherwise, sometimes it's a high single digits also. Pat, I'm talking about.”
Nirupa Shankar Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 52:51 Ep. #20 | WTF are Indian Real Estate Giants Up To? Nikhil ft. Irfan, Nirupa, & Karan · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Kamath: Luxury giants LVMH, Kering, and Burberry face multi-decade sales declines
“If you look at LVMH, if you look at Kering, which owns Gucci, if you look at Burberry, their sales are declining for the first time in a multi-decade period. They're starting to fire 10% of their staff.”
Nikhil Kamath Aug 23, 2024 ▶ 1:58:09 Ep. #19 | WTF is “Making it” in an Offbeat Career? Nikhil Kamath Ft. Kriti Sanon, Badshah & KL Rahul · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Khaitan: Sponsoring the IPL requires a ₹100 crore budget
“IPL, if you sponsor, you have to have a budget of a hundred crore.”
Abhishek Khaitan Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 2:12:16 Ep #18 | WTF, Alcohol is a $70B Business in India? | Nikhil Kamath explores Gaps & Opportunities · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Khaitan: Radico Khaitan contributes 26% of Uttar Pradesh's alcohol excise revenue
“And we contribute 26% of the state's revenue.”
Abhishek Khaitan Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 2:15:31 Ep #18 | WTF, Alcohol is a $70B Business in India? | Nikhil Kamath explores Gaps & Opportunities · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Kim: Fresh IIT grads can earn 50 lakhs in game engineering
“So like, if you go to IIT and you come out, you can make, you know, 40, 50 lakhs.”
Joseph Kim Apr 21, 2024 ▶ 2:20:38 Ep# 17 | WTF is Gaming in India? | Career, Investment, Entrepreneurship · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Ritesh Agarwal: Bangladesh per capita income is highest in South Asia
“The per capita income of Bangladesh is probably the highest in South Asia.”
Ritesh Agarwal Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 1:36:37 WTF Ep# 16 | What character "flaws" make the best entrepreneurs? Nikhil ft.Ritesh, Ghazal and Manish · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Poddar: Rare Rabbit is the only brand without a chest logo
“Rigidity for me is that I'm the only, we are the only brand which has no logo on the chest.”
Manish Poddar Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 2:19:19 WTF Ep# 16 | What character "flaws" make the best entrepreneurs? Nikhil ft.Ritesh, Ghazal and Manish · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Poddar: Khadi is the only fabric in the world unique to India
“And today the advice to a 20 year is go and try to touch Khadi because it's the only fabric in the world, which only exists in India. There's no other, every other fabric is global. This is only India.”
Manish Poddar Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 2:28:11 WTF Ep# 16 | What character "flaws" make the best entrepreneurs? Nikhil ft.Ritesh, Ghazal and Manish · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Poddar: India is the only country growing organic denim
“And we make, we are the only country who grows organic denim.”
Manish Poddar Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 2:29:57 WTF Ep# 16 | What character "flaws" make the best entrepreneurs? Nikhil ft.Ritesh, Ghazal and Manish · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Agarwal: Masayoshi Son's telecom business is probably Japan's most profitable
“Built his own telecom business, which is now probably the most profitable business in Japan and one of the most profitable telecom business in the world in terms of construct.”
Ritesh Agarwal Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 3:58:06 WTF Ep# 16 | What character "flaws" make the best entrepreneurs? Nikhil ft.Ritesh, Ghazal and Manish · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Narain: Delhi introduced 100,000 CNG vehicles in one year
“When we move to compressed natural gas in Delhi, CNG, we've brought in a 100,000 new vehicles in gas in a matter of a year.”
Sunita Narain Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 34:20 Ep# 15 | WTF is Climate Change? Nikhil ft. Sunita, Bhumi, Navroz and Mirik · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Amlani: India Reduced Restaurant License Requirements From 36 to 32
“We're still grappling with 36. I think after many years of struggle, I think we've been able to get it from 36 to 32.”
Riyaaz Amlani Oct 28, 2023 ▶ 41:58 Ep# 12 | WTF is The Restaurant Game? Nikhil w/ Pooja Dhingra, Zorawar Kalra & Riyaaz Amlani · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Amlani: India's Casual Dining Market is 4x Larger Than QSR
“They're going to CDRs a lot more. The market is four times as big, is growing at 20%, whereas QSRs have kind of hit a road bump.”
Riyaaz Amlani Oct 28, 2023 ▶ 1:27:25 Ep# 12 | WTF is The Restaurant Game? Nikhil w/ Pooja Dhingra, Zorawar Kalra & Riyaaz Amlani · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Kamath: Instagram sold 44M blue checkmarks mostly to 18-34 demographic
“Instagram sold as much as forty-four million blue ticks, mostly to people in the age group of 18 to 34.”
Nikhil Kamath Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 1:19:19 Ep #10 | WTF is the Next Gen Thinking? Nikhil w/ Navya, Tara, Aadit & Kaivalya · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Kotak: Kotak Is the Only Large Indian Bank Offering Zero-Balance Accounts
“We are the only large bank in India to offer a bank account with zero minimum balance, which is very compelling for most of India that does not have 10,000 rupees.”
Jay Kotak Jun 11, 2023 ▶ 53:13 Ep #5 | EdTech What’s Broken, What’s Next? With Nikhil, Ronnie Screwvala , Gaurav Munjal & Jay Kotak · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Kumar: Third Wave Coffee is profitable and valued around $200M
“I think somewhere now they are valued around two hundred million, something like that. And it's good because they're profitable business.”
Sujeet Kumar May 7, 2023 ▶ 30:45 Ep #3| WTF is E-commerce: Kishore Biyani, Udaan & Meesho Founders Reveal What Sells and What Doesn’t · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Kamath: India Spends 0.5% of GDP on Tourism
“And India spent .5% of GDP on tourism.”
Nikhil Kamath Sep 9, 2026 ▶ 1:48:20 Why A 25-Year-Old Should Build A Hotel, Not An App | MakeMyTrip x Taj | WTF is Travel?
Assertion Contradicted
Zhu: RMB Devalued 30% Over a Decade Before Rebounding 10–15%
“China started its exchange rate reform about a decade ago, and then RMB went down in devaluation for about a 30%, but it has appreciated 10 to 15% since last summer.”
Ning Zhu Jul 28, 2026 ▶ 16:28 They Called The Trade Wars & China's Housing Crash | Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 4 · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Escobari: China's GDP was 20% larger than Brazil's in 2000, now 14x
“At the time, the GDP of China was 20% bigger than that of Brazil. Today, it's 14 times bigger.”
Martin Escobari May 28, 2026 ▶ 1:06:33 Martin Escobari: Trauma, Chaos & Three Industries Worth $100B | Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
ElevenLabs CEO: Automatic podcast dubbing costs up to a few dollars per hour
“If you just wanted to automatically dab, then like an hour podcast will be a few dollars, up to a few dollars.”
Mati Staniszewski Mar 11, 2026 ▶ 18:09 The $11B Bet That Voice Will Replace Everything | Mati Staniszewski x Nikhil Kamath | WTF Online · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Kamath's grant program produced multiple $50M startups including pet company Possible
“Like there's a pet protein company called Possible, which is now worth maybe 40, fifty million. There have been like three, four, fifty million kind of outcomes.”
Nikhil Kamath Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 2:40 Pain, Power & The Game Nobody Wins | Chamath Palihapitiya x Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Bhakti Modi: Hair accounts for 70% of the beauty services industry
“If you look at the services industry, on the other hand it's all about hair. So skin and makeup services are not huge. 70%.”
Bhakti Modi Sep 20, 2025 ▶ 27:30 Tira, Bombay Shaving Co., Inde Wild | WTF is Fueling India’s Beauty & Skincare Revolution? | Ep. 25 · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bombay Shaving Company will exceed 2020-2021 annual revenue in EBITDA this year
“So we will do more EBITDA this year than the revenue in”
Shantanu Deshpande Sep 20, 2025 ▶ 3:17:23 Tira, Bombay Shaving Co., Inde Wild | WTF is Fueling India’s Beauty & Skincare Revolution? | Ep. 25 · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Netflix Originally Sourced Its DVDs From Walmart and Best Buy
“Basically the company at the time was buying all the DVDs from Walmart and Best Buy and that kind of thing.”
Ted Sarandos Jun 7, 2025 ▶ 4:04 Nikhil Kamath x Netflix Co-CEO, Ted Sarandos | People by WTF | Ep. 10 · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Pei: Chipmakers earn 40-45% gross margins while Foxconn earns roughly 10%
“Nvidia, I don't know, is it or Qualcomm's, 4060, 40, 45%, I think, just declared, yeah. Gross margin. But Foxconn is, I think, 10%.”
Carl Pei Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 2:10:46 Ep #23 | WTF are Consumer Electronics? | Nikhil ft. Carl Pei, Rahul Sharma & Amit Khatri · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Sharma: India's PLI scheme covers 70-75% of mobile phone component value
“So as of now, they have structured it for, let's say, components, which are high in value, let's say, which covers 70 to 75% of the mobile phone.”
Rahul Sharma Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 2:13:40 Ep #23 | WTF are Consumer Electronics? | Nikhil ft. Carl Pei, Rahul Sharma & Amit Khatri · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Shankar: One Billion Square Feet of US Grade A Office Sits Empty
“In the US, of course, There is about one billion square feet of grade A office space that is lying empty.”
Nirupa Shankar Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 2:58:30 Ep. #20 | WTF are Indian Real Estate Giants Up To? Nikhil ft. Irfan, Nirupa, & Karan · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Poddar: Jack & Jones founder is Denmark's richest person
“Mr. Truce Paulson. He's the richest Danish man.”
Manish Poddar Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 1:59:34 WTF Ep# 16 | What character "flaws" make the best entrepreneurs? Nikhil ft.Ritesh, Ghazal and Manish · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Agarwal: OYO raised close to $1.5 billion in total capital
“Yeah, we raised close to a billion and a half dollars.”
Ritesh Agarwal Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 3:48:03 WTF Ep# 16 | What character "flaws" make the best entrepreneurs? Nikhil ft.Ritesh, Ghazal and Manish · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Puneet Goyal sold PLG Clean Energy Projects to Suzlon for $55M
“My third venture was another solar project founded PLG Cleanerji projects. We did a small 70 megaw solar power plant in Dhulen, Maastra. Again, Anmol's company, Jensol, played a part there in getting up that power plant also... Sold that to a large listed enti…”
Puneet Goyal Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 7:17 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Goyal: India's annual oil import bill doubled to $120B in five years
“The numbers doubled. It was sixty billion dollars in 2018. Yeah. When we were writing the white paper for BlueSmart. Now that number is hundred and twenty billion dollars.”
Puneet Goyal Dec 10, 2023 ▶ 47:10 Ep# 14 | WTF is Happening with EV? Nikhil ft. Founders of Reva, Ather, Blusmart, and Ossus · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Amlani: India Levies a 180% Import Tariff on Coffee Beans
“For example, if you were to import coffee beans, and I think Starbucks faces this challenge. It's a 180% duty on coffee. It's more than what you'd pay for a car because you're protecting your agricultural economy.”
Riyaaz Amlani Oct 28, 2023 ▶ 1:55:57 Ep# 12 | WTF is The Restaurant Game? Nikhil w/ Pooja Dhingra, Zorawar Kalra & Riyaaz Amlani · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Sivanandan: Indians consume 1.3 trillion hours of video annually
“Indians watch About 1.3 trillion hours worth of video, like, of all kinds in a year. In China, that number is about 3,000,003 trillion.”
Sajith Sivanandan Aug 14, 2023 ▶ 1:52:57 Ep #8 | WTF is Going on in the World of Content | w/ Nikhil, Ajay Bijli, Vijay S. & Sajith S. · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Kamath: Kombucha market in South India is larger than in North India
“In South, it's bigger than North, for some reason.”
Nikhil Kamath Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 1:33:28 Ep #22 | WTF are Craft Beverages? Nikhil ft. the Founders of Blue Tokai, Subko, Svami, and Mossant · Nikhil Kamath
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