The Calls

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Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

2open predictions

0due for another look

1closed calls →

3339days to next prediction date

Everyone Nikhil Kamath (5)Vinod Khosla (4)Brett Adcock (4)Zorawar Kalra (3)Yuval Noah Harari (2)Rahul Sharma (2)Neal Mohan (2)Elon Musk (2)Chaitanya Gulati (2)Bhakti Modi (2)Umang Bedi (1)Ted Sarandos (1)

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today 2026202720282029 OctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep 2 calls beyond 2029 →

Next up (2)

3339 days left 2035-11-05

Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2035

Adcock: True general-purpose humanoid robots are under 10 years away

“I don't, it's not something we'll solve in a month, but it's certainly not something that's 10 years away at this point.”

Brett Adcock Nov 5, 2025 ▶ 14:46 Humanoids Cost as Much as an SUV Now | Nikhil Kamath x Brett Adcock | WTF Online Ep 2 · Nikhil Kamath

14297 days left 2065-11-05

Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2065

Adcock: Billions of Humanoid Robots Will Exist Within Our Lifetime

“I think we'll, we'll see billions of humanoids on the planet in our, in, like, our lifetime, and they will do everything for us from things at home, like, doing the laundry, washing dishes unpacking groceries cleaning up the house to, we will see billions in t…”

Brett Adcock Nov 5, 2025 ▶ 9:35 Humanoids Cost as Much as an SUV Now | Nikhil Kamath x Brett Adcock | WTF Online Ep 2 · Nikhil Kamath

Closed calls (1) the full record →

Prediction Held up

Adcock: Paying Passengers Will Fly on Electric Aircraft Within 5 Years

“So I think within the next, like, five years, we'll be taking passengers, like, paying passengers around in, in air spaces here in the world on electric aircraft like this.”

Brett Adcock Nov 5, 2025 ▶ 5:37 Humanoids Cost as Much as an SUV Now | Nikhil Kamath x Brett Adcock | WTF Online Ep 2 · Nikhil Kamath

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Next up (2)

Closed calls (1) the full record →

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