The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

2open predictions
0due for another look
2closed calls →
536days to next prediction date
Everyone Nikhil Kamath (5)Vinod Khosla (4)Brett Adcock (4)Zorawar Kalra (3)Yuval Noah Harari (2)Rahul Sharma (2)Neal Mohan (2)Elon Musk (2)Chaitanya Gulati (2)Bhakti Modi (2)Umang Bedi (1)Ted Sarandos (1)
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Next up (2)

536 days left 2028-03-03
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Kamath: 15-year-olds will spend more time and money in cafes than nightclubs
“Like a fifteen-year-old today in three years is much more likely to spend time in a coffee shop versus a nightclub and spend more of his money there.”
Nikhil Kamath Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 57:02 Ep #22 | WTF are Craft Beverages? Nikhil ft. the Founders of Blue Tokai, Subko, Svami, and Mossant · Nikhil Kamath
2434 days left 2033-05-14
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2033
Kamath: Humanity will abandon fossil fuels within 10 years
“Like, if you look at these guys, Bill Gates, like I was mentioning and all that, I think, five, 10 years from now, I don't think we'll be thinking how we're thinking right now. I don't think we'll be going to fossil for energy. 10 years from now, for sure.”
Nikhil Kamath May 14, 2023 ▶ 1:37:42 Ep #4 | WTF is ChatGPT: Heaven or Hell? | w/ Nikhil, Varun Mayya, Tanmay, Umang & Aprameya · Nikhil Kamath

Closed calls (2) the full record →

Prediction Held up
Kamath: Premium beauty will grow significantly faster than mass segment
“Tomorrow we will care a lot more for how we look as a means of getting validation. So anything that aids that will likely grow, both in the mass and the premium segment, I think the affluent will probably adapt faster. So the premium will go significantly fast…”
Nikhil Kamath Sep 20, 2025 ▶ 3:35:20 Tira, Bombay Shaving Co., Inde Wild | WTF is Fueling India’s Beauty & Skincare Revolution? | Ep. 25 · Nikhil Kamath
Prediction Held up
Kamath: Social media platforms will start charging for data access
“We will probably evolve to the point that everybody starts charging for access to their data, right? Like Twitter will charge, Reddit will charge Quora will charge, social media will charge in its own way.”
Nikhil Kamath May 14, 2023 ▶ 53:45 Ep #4 | WTF is ChatGPT: Heaven or Hell? | w/ Nikhil, Varun Mayya, Tanmay, Umang & Aprameya · Nikhil Kamath
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