why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Wong: Anthropic, Google, and Microsoft will clone OpenClaw in ten months
“My prediction is this within n number of months, less than 10 Entropic, now, now Open Claw become part of OpenAI, so that becomes the OpenAI part of this game. Entropic, Google, Microsoft, Everybody will have their equivalent of open, open call framework.”
Assertion Supported
Gisenau: Microsoft launched a free app competing with ChitChattr
“We had an incident about a week ago or so where Microsoft have launched a free app, a portion of which competes with an element of our application.”
Assertion Supported
Schmidt: Most HR Tech Companies Lack Resources to Train Custom AI
“And the truth is that most companies who are in the HR tech space don't have the resources that someone like open AI has to train their content. And to train the AI. They just seem to, they don't have a billion dollars from Microsoft.”
Assertion Supported
Druckman: Bill Gates kept a year of payroll to protect early hires
“In the beginning, Bill Gates hired his friends. That was who worked for him pretty much his friends. And he would think about the prospect of not being able to make payroll to his friends who had given up other careers to come and work there. So he said he mad…”
Assertion Supported
Gisenau: Microsoft Teams takes zero cut of app revenue
“On the Microsoft side, there's no charging model. There's no fee model at all. On the one hand, that's kind of a little bit of a negative. There's no charging model built in, so there's no model natively in the platform to charge customers. The positive of tha…”
Assertion Supported
Stancil: Yammer's $1.2B exit matches current Series A valuations
“Yammer was bought for 1.2 billion dollars, I think which at the time seemed like a lot now is, you know, the valuations of companies in their A rounds.”