The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Simhi: Most of Apple's Sales Come from E-Commerce and Its Website
“And even Apple, which is innovation company, but it's still e-commerce company and most of their sales are coming from their e-commerce, from their website and from their e-commerce activities.”
Meir Simhi Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 24:07 He Said 'What to Sell' Is Not Even the Right Question
Prediction Held up
Weisbrot: Apple's first-generation AR glasses will cost over $1,000
“Cause if you look at the way Apple charges for everything, I have a feeling that these glasses are going to be over a thousand dollars. In the first generation, because they probably spent 10 to twenty billion dollars developing it.”
Sean Weisbrot Apr 6, 2022 ▶ 12:43 35% Calmer in 20 Minutes: Why VR Beat the Top Meditation App
Assertion Supported
Weisbrot: MRI study found Apple triggers brain responses identical to religion
“I heard about a study that was done. They put people in an MRI. They showed them pictures of like Apple and Apple's products and Steve Jobs and the Apple logo, and as well as images of like Jesus Christ and the cross and these kinds of religious symbols. And w…”
Sean Weisbrot Dec 8, 2020 ▶ 26:35 The Founder-Fit Secret VCs Don't Want You to Know
Assertion Supported
Gisenau: Microsoft Teams takes zero cut of app revenue
“On the Microsoft side, there's no charging model. There's no fee model at all. On the one hand, that's kind of a little bit of a negative. There's no charging model built in, so there's no model natively in the platform to charge customers. The positive of tha…”
Hilton Gisenau Mar 26, 2021 ▶ 12:54 Microsoft Launched a Free App That Competes With Ours
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