The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Bogart: Odds of SEC approving a Bitcoin ETF remain very low
“I think it's still quite low. I mean, the SEC has made, you know, a pretty definitive decision about this, that the underlying markets for Bitcoin are too unregulated, and therefore they're not going to allow a regulated product. So it's kind of a circular arg…”
Bogart: Crypto exchanges are massive honeypots, Poloniex carries higher risk
“Coinbase, Kraken, Poloniex, Poloniex probably being one of the bigger risks out there. You know, these are giant honeypots of Bitcoins, and the problem is once they're gone.”
Bogart: Grayscale's GBTC is the best traditional security wrapper for Bitcoin
“The reality is that this is the best product that exists today. It's not a perfect product, but it's the best that exists today, and the only way to get exposure to an exotic asset that is Bitcoin in a traditional security wrapper, right?”
Bogart: SEC regulators face asymmetric downside risk approving Bitcoin ETFs
“If you're at the SEC, you know, this is one of those things where if you approve this particular ETF, and it goes really well, you know, nobody comes back and kind of, you know, gives you a big promotion, right? But if you do approve it, and something goes wro…”
Bogart: Blockchain Capital capped its pioneering ICO venture fund at $10M
“We raised the world's very first venture fund via an ICO. So we limited the size. We capped it at just a small, ten million dollar offering to make sure that, you know, we can mitigate, mitigate risk there. And make sure that it's successful. That offering, th…”
Bogart: Blockchain Capital Fund 4 will almost certainly be oversubscribed at $250M
“It's almost certainly going to be an oversubscribed, two hundred and fifty million dollar fund.”
Bogart: Blockchain Capital conservatively estimates four unicorns in its portfolio
“Conservatively, we're estimating that there's probably four unicorns in our portfolio today.”
Bogart: Most crypto startups liquidate over 80% of ICO proceeds
“I'd say most of them are liquidating upwards of 80%, but you know, some of them like to roll the dice a little bit more.”
Bogart: Merchant processing is an insignificant part of Coinbase's business
“Merchant processing is an insignificant portion of their business, right?”
Bogart: Vinny Lingham raised $33M for Civic in token sale
“He raised, I think it was thirty three million dollars in total and did it through a process that was one of the most well-organized that we've seen.”
Bogart: Balaji Srinivasan reduced social media activity due to government appointment consideration
“Balaji, sort of awesome. He's gone quiet because he was up for a major kind of government appointment. I haven't heard a word on that, but it, you know, it's kind of made him a lot more quiet on social media, et cetera.”