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Luke Stronach

1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

13statements → 7claims → 6claims resolved → 83%fully supported → 3.92/5average certainty → 1.38/5average debate potential → 2said about them ↓

5 supported 1 partly supported 0 contradicted 1 not checkable as stated how the 7 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

7 assertions · 4 insights · 2 disclosures · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 7 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 6 are resolved, and 1 names no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Luke argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Stronach: Irrigated pecan orchards cost $8,000 to $10,000 per acre
“So for that type of orchard, you know, you're going to pay eight, nine, 10,000 dollars an acre, and it adds up.”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 3:31 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
50% certainty 3
100% certainty 4
none yet certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Luke Stronach on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Luke Stronach said on Top Founders that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Insight
Stronach: Farmland investors are fundamentally water investors
“Most farmland investors beneath the surface, they're water investors. When you go out to the farm, you're looking at the, you know, you're looking at the earth, you're looking at the trees, but what you're really looking for is water.”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 3:12 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stronach: Permanent Crop Farmland Can Yield Up to 18% Annually
“So you can get that combined yield with permanence up to 16, 17, 18% when things are going really, really, really well with your annual crops, with your things that have to be replanted every year, that's going to be corn, potatoes, onions, your yields are goi…”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 8:24 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Insight
Stronach: Farmland's Main Purpose Is Volatility Reduction and Inflation Hedging
“If somebody told me that their main interest in farmland investing was to just make tons of cashflow every year, I would tell them that that is not the main purpose of it. It's main purpose is to reduce the volatility that you see in other investments, like th…”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 9:36 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Assertion Partly supported
Stronach: Farmland Returned 500% to 600% During 1970s Inflation
“If you go back to the 19 seventies, if you go back to that, that decade, if you were invested in the stock market, okay, over the decade, you would have gotten, you know, give or take about You know, 16, 17%, but you would have lost so much of your money to in…”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 11:15 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Assertion Supported
Stronach: Irrigated pecan orchards cost $8,000 to $10,000 per acre
“So for that type of orchard, you know, you're going to pay eight, nine, 10,000 dollars an acre, and it adds up.”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 3:31 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Disclosure
Luke Stronach is developing a 1,000-acre pecan orchard for $7 million
“So the first orchard is going to be right around two million. The next orchard is going to be a couple million and then developing the thousand acre orchard all told that'll be about seven million.”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 3:47 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Assertion Supported
Stronach: 40% of North American farmland is leased
“So 40% of the farmland in North America is leased to farmers.”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 4:42 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Assertion Supported
Stronach: North American farmland is a $2.5T vertical
“This is a two and a half trillion dollar vertical.”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 4:48 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Insight
Stronach: Permanent tree crops predominantly use revenue sharing leases
“With other crops that are what we call permanent crops. So these are going to be things during the ground year long, they grow on trees. So these would be almonds. These would be cherries. These would be pecans more frequently. You're going to see that revenue…”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 6:13 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Insight
Stronach: Farmland deals require in-person rural persistence, not office work
“This is why the farmland space is not as big as commercial property in other sectors is it's hard. This is a hard space. You can't operate in it, sitting in an office, pushing buttons, and, you know, spending your afternoons playing golf. You have to be able t…”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 11:54 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Assertion Supported
Stronach: GPS-enabled robotic farm hands are operating in beta
“There are robotic field hands that are in beta right now that are actually out in fields with GPS sensors working.”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 18:41 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Disclosure
Stronach: Farmland Fund Raised Under $10 Million
“Less than ten million.”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 2:10 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach
Assertion Supported
Luke Stronach: Pecan prices are about $3 per pound
“I will tell prices are about three dollars a pound.”
Luke Stronach Feb 18, 2017 ▶ 14:58 EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees with Investor Luke Stronach

The other half of the tape: Luke Stronach's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 2 times in 1 episode on Top Founders. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Nathan Latka 2

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
0011212017episodesmentions
0112017episodes it came up in
0010.5212017episodesmentions per episode
2017 2 mentions in 1 episode

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
EP 574: Buying $2m 600 Acre Pecan Farm, $450/acre/mo, Literally Shaking Money From Trees w Feb 18, 2017 13m
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