Brian Lay

1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

8statements → 2claims → 0claims resolved → 3.75/5average certainty → 2.75/5average debate potential →

2 not checkable as stated how the 2 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

1 prediction · 1 assertion · 2 opinions · 4 insights · every statement was checked. The prediction and assertion are the 2 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 0 are resolved, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Brian argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Brian Lay on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Brian Lay said on Top Founders that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Opinion
Ley: SSRIs are very likely causing many mass shooting incidents
“And then the second thing is that it's very likely that SSRIs are actually causing a lot of these.”
Brian Lay Jun 16, 2016 ▶ 11:12 The Math Behind Donald Trumps Brain, EP 293: Brian Ley,
Insight
Ley: Publicly discussing mass shootings spreads them like a meme
“You don't want to show when someone, when there's a mass shooting, don't talk about it. You're going to spread it. All right. It's a meme.”
Brian Lay Jun 16, 2016 ▶ 11:04 The Math Behind Donald Trumps Brain, EP 293: Brian Ley,
Opinion
Ley: Mocking Donald Trump amplifies his reach through emotional contagion
“He's basically agreeing with as many people as he can, and he's doing it on their hot button issues, and because of that, people get really riled up about it, and emotion is contagious, so they're basically, he's hacking people's brains to get free press and s…”
Brian Lay Jun 16, 2016 ▶ 10:38 The Math Behind Donald Trumps Brain, EP 293: Brian Ley,
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Donald Trump must jump to new demographic networks to win in 2016
“And so my prediction would be if we're right about Donald Trump, right? So he's doing generic bucketing right now. If he's as smart as we think he is, or at least as clever in this particular area he's going to have to jump networks, meaning you're not going t…”
Brian Lay Jun 16, 2016 ▶ 13:46 The Math Behind Donald Trumps Brain, EP 293: Brian Ley,
Insight
Brian Ley: Happiness, Obesity, and Purchasing Decisions Spread via Social Contagion
“Happiness spreads through human networks, obesity spreads through human networks, decisions to buy a product or upgrade to a specific technology fashion would go to going to see a movie. All of those things are what's called socially contagious, meaning that o…”
Brian Lay Jun 16, 2016 ▶ 2:19 The Math Behind Donald Trumps Brain, EP 293: Brian Ley,
Insight
Ley: Repeating sequential time-series patterns reveal hidden social network structure
“So if that pattern repeats enough, you can draw a connection or an edge and further network structure.”
Brian Lay Jun 16, 2016 ▶ 5:48 The Math Behind Donald Trumps Brain, EP 293: Brian Ley,
Insight
Human networks act as superorganisms where central nodes carry outsized value
“Think of humanity not as a bunch of individual people, but as a single superorganism with every individual kind of acting like a neuron. Right. Spreading information and serving as a routing mechanism and passing it through. So, and that means not everyone is …”
Brian Lay Jun 16, 2016 ▶ 13:26 The Math Behind Donald Trumps Brain, EP 293: Brian Ley,
Assertion Not checkable as stated
AlphaRank requires only three data points for time-series analysis
“So, you can think about how AlphaRank works as we take time series data in, and in that time series data, there needs to be a minimum of three things. You need a persistent unique ID, you need a product ID, and you need a timestamp.”
Brian Lay Jun 16, 2016 ▶ 7:53 The Math Behind Donald Trumps Brain, EP 293: Brian Ley,

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
The Math Behind Donald Trumps Brain, EP 293: Brian Ley, Jun 16, 2016 9m
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