Elias Stahl

Co-founder & CEO, HILOS · 1 appearance on the record.

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founderexecutive@stahl_elias ↗LinkedIn ↗hilos.co ↗

Elias Stahl leads HILOS, a Portland-based fashion-tech company building a zero-waste, on-demand digital manufacturing platform for 3D-printed footwear. Before founding HILOS, he served in the Israeli special forces, worked in urban policy at the National League of Cities, and was VP of Product at Handshake.

15statements → 10claims → 1claims resolved → 3.87/5average certainty → 2.07/5average debate potential → 1said about them ↓

0 supported 1 partly supported 0 contradicted 1 not yet assessed 8 not checkable as stated how the 10 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

2 predictions · 8 assertions · 1 opinion · 2 insights · 2 disclosures · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 10 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 1 is resolved, 1 is not yet assessed, and 8 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Elias argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Elias Stahl on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Elias Stahl said on the Pitch that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stahl: HILOS operating profit margins will exceed Google and Amazon next year
“The, if you look at profit, we are, our operating profit by next year will be over. More profitable than Google or Amazon, because we don't fundamentally invest or hold the costs of the things that we fulfill for brands.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 13:38 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Prediction Not checkable as stated
HILOS projects $3M in revenue next year, $16M the following year
“Right now we're looking at three million in revenue next year from the brands we currently have signed and under contract, and we believe we have a very strong pathway to get to sixteen million the following year.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 9:37 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stahl: HILOS holds exclusive deal with the world's largest 3D printer
“We have incredible partners that the largest, most industrially scaled, three D printing partner in the world that we have an exclusive relationship with.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 5:09 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Insight
Stahl: Revenue multiples are inappropriate for valuing seed-stage startups
“I think revenue multiples for a seed round is too early. That's more of a series A conversation.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 13:06 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Opinion
Stahl: AI-driven on-demand footwear completely disintermediates traditional shoe brands
“It completely disintermediates brands. In a way that's pretty significant for the industry.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 23:55 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
HILOS supply chain network turns around on-demand footwear in 72 hours
“So the way that our supply chain works is we essentially have printing partners that maintain very shallow levels of inventories at assembly partners that are each around a certain product type. They're able to then Turn around things in 72 hours.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 5:48 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Disclosure
HILOS takes 15% of brand unit cost at 100% gross margin
“15% of the unit cost for the brand. So if it's a hundred dollars, let's say, it would be 15 dollars. Of everything sold. That is a hundred percent margin because we didn't actually pay to fulfill that in any way.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 7:35 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
HILOS 'George' shoe showed no wear after a 300-mile test
“We sent the George on a 300 mile joyride, and it came out without a scratch. And a big reason for that is because we're using far more advanced materials, and we're using a completely different structure of build.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 8:23 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stahl: Exclusive supplier deals give HILOS huge leverage over partner brands
“We own the language by which they make the product. We have exclusive supplier relationships and brands are incredibly dependent on that and dependent on us, which allows us have a huge amount of leverage in that relationship.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 14:08 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Insight
Stahl: Physical disruptors face 12-to-24-month lag between traction and revenue
“If you want to have impact on the physical world and you want to really Change the impact of these legacy industries. You have to, and that's what we're in this for, but it does mean that you're right. There's a 12, 1824 month period wherein you have a ton of …”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 19:09 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stahl: HILOS software cuts footwear product delivery from months to hours
“So the designer focuses on really new, interesting, creative textures and geometries, and our software is able to push them and empower them to think faster and broader and more creatively than before while delivering a product within minutes and hours instead…”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 21:51 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Assertion Partly supported
Stahl: 24 billion shoes are made yearly; 20% dumped in landfills
“We make twenty four billion shoes every year. One out of five goes straight to the landfill.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 2:28 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Disclosure
Stahl: HILOS is raising $4M and has already closed $2M
“We've actually are right now in a four million dollar raise. We've already closed the first two, and so right now we're subscribing to the last two million of that round.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 3:33 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
HILOS signed four footwear brands within six months of initial launch
“Within six months of that launching, we signed another four brands, and we went to South by Southwest to showcase this new model of collaboration for the industry and won world's most innovative technology and best in show.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 6:33 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
HILOS expects approximately $250k in revenue for the current year
“About a quarter of a million.”
Elias Stahl Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 9:53 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?

The other half of the tape: Elias Stahl's own voice is left out of every number here. 1 statement on the record names them. every mention, with the transcript →

Statements about Elias Stahl, by other people (1)

Assertion Partly supported
Muccio: HILOS oversubscribed its funding round to raise $5M
“Elias oversubscribed on their round, raising a total of five million.”
Josh Muccio Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 20:26 #113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business?

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
#113 HILOS: Is This The Perfect Business? Mar 4, 2025 12m
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