Taiwan

9 statements across 7 episodes · 2 bullish · 1 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Apr 26, 2025 by John Gedmark · said 133 times in 44 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by John Coogan (21), Delian Asparouhov (8), Aaron Ginn (8), Bill Bishop (7), Jordi Hays (6), David Rosenthal (5), Ben Thompson (4), John Gedmark (3)

tap a year for its mentions
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01325202420252026episodes it came up in
00213425202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 77 mentions in 24 episodes 3 per episode
2025 52 mentions in 17 episodes 3 per episode
2024 4 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Taiwan, oldest first

Apr 26, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Astranis CEO discloses $100M+ commercial satellite deal with Taiwan's Chunghwa Telecom
“It is a longer, longer sales cycle for, you know, a hundred million dollar plus deal, but obviously worth the effort. This is so this is a commercial contract with a telco called Chungwa Telecom.”
John Gedmark Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 5:35 Why the Moon Matters More Than Ever | John Gedmark on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Astranis's Taiwan satellite will provide backup if undersea cables are cut
“It will actually have a couple of different, you know, it will be able to provide service on the island, but it will also be able to be a relay to locations off the island in the case that all their fiber lines are cut.”
John Gedmark Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 23:22 Why the Moon Matters More Than Ever | John Gedmark on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025
Assertion Contradicted
Ginn: China Has Only 20 to 30 Amphibious Vessels for Taiwan
“Like the number of amphibian shipping vessels to actually take people from mainland to Taiwan. They have around 20, 20 or 30. They're actually capable of crossing that.”
Aaron Ginn Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 17:19 Building GPUs Is Easier Than You Think | Aaron Ginn on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Opinion
Asparouhov: US lacks leverage to force ASML manufacturing onto American soil
“With ASML. It's like, okay, this is like a, you know, sort of European company. And like, if we start to try to like sanction or slap fines on them, they'll be like, okay, great. The very limited number of machines we were selling to the U S we're going to sto…”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 8:04 The Risk of Losing the Moon to China | Delian Asparouhov on TBPN
Feb 10, 2026 neutral
Prediction Held up
Bishop: Trump will delay $20 billion Taiwan arms sale until Xi meeting
“Over the weekend, you know, we saw, I think on Friday, the Financial Times reported, yes, there's a twenty billion dollar package in the works and it's something the Chinese don't want to have happen, and they have threatened to postpone or cancel Trump's visi…”
Bill Bishop Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 15:59 FULL INTERVIEW: Bill Bishop Thinks China’s Military is Still Deeply Corrupt
Feb 10, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Bishop: Beijing's reaction to Takaichi strengthened Japanese defense hawks' mandate
“I mean, I think that the Chinese helped Takeichi because their reaction to her comments in, in early November, which again, she said, she reiterated the Japanese position on sort of a Taiwan contingency, so to speak. She said it in a setting where it hadn't be…”
Bill Bishop Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 28:03 FULL INTERVIEW: Bill Bishop Thinks China’s Military is Still Deeply Corrupt
Mar 2, 2026 neutral
Insight
Thompson: China's Dependence on Taiwan Chips Creates Safer Geopolitical Equilibrium
“I think it is a safer equilibrium To have China dependent on Taiwan than to try to cut them off from Taiwan while we are dependent on Taiwan. Taiwan is 70 miles off the coast of China. It's not an ideal position in the world for us to have a dependency on it a…”
Ben Thompson Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 6:33 FULL INTERVIEW: Ben Thompson on Anthropic v. DoW
Mar 6, 2026
Assertion Supported
Hays: China deployed over 100 aircraft and warships around Taiwan
“China conducted joint sword. 20 24 B exercises in October of 2024. Surrounding Taiwan with coordinated military operations. In December, 25, Justice Mission 25 deployed over a hundred aircraft, 90 crossing the median line, 13 warships, and 27 rockets fired fro…”
Jordi Hays Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 23:37 Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN
Jul 23, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
US enforces Taiwanese chip export controls via historical patent licensing
“A lot of the semiconductor supply chain intellectual property started in America, was developed in America, but then eventually went, went abroad. And that actually does give America some leverage. That's the basis for the chip controls. Like, why can America …”
Jordi Hays Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 25:00 AI Agents Hack Hugging Face, White House Promotes Science’s Golden Age | Diet TBPN
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