Prediction Held up AI assessment confidence: 95% certainty 2/5 debate potential 3/5

Bishop: Trump will delay $20 billion Taiwan arms sale until Xi meeting

Bill Bishop · FULL INTERVIEW: Bill Bishop Thinks China’s Military is Still Deeply Corrupt · Feb 10, 2026 · at 15:59

Sinicism publisher Bill Bishop analyzes China's threats to cancel Donald Trump's planned Beijing visit over a reported $20 billion US arms package to Taiwan.

0:00 / 0:21exact quote · 21.3s
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“Over the weekend, you know, we saw, I think on Friday, the Financial Times reported, yes, there's a twenty billion dollar package in the works and it's something the Chinese don't want to have happen, and they have threatened to postpone or cancel Trump's visit, and I think I think they might actually meet it, and so I would imagine that the Trump administration won't push forward that sale until after the meeting.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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