robotics

12 statements across 11 episodes · 4 bullish · 4 bearish · 10 people on the record · first statement Dec 6, 2024 by John Coogan · across every show →

Everything said about robotics, oldest first

Dec 6, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: Robotics scales domestic manufacturing faster than retraining human workers
“Robotics can move much faster if it's ramping exponentially than retraining a whole generation.”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:35:04 Inside Facebooks Secret "Red Book" (ep18)
Mar 5, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Rabois: High startup proliferation and valuations make investing in robotics hard
“I think as a VC right now, it's really hard to invest in a sector, given the proliferation of startups, all with high potential, the prices you'd have to invest that money.”
Keith Rabois Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 14:24 "Work at an outstanding organization first" - Keith Rabois Advice on Starting Companies
Apr 8, 2025 negative
Opinion
Iyer: The US is falling behind China in robotics and AI testing
“I grow increasingly concerned that we are just frankly behind. In terms of the model development, the application of hardware and the synthesis they're in both from a hardware standpoint, from the software standpoint, and then critically the ability to test.”
Akhil Iyer Apr 8, 2025 ▶ 4:42 Why 2027 and 2049 are KEY YEARS | Akhil Iyer on TBPN April 3rd
Apr 10, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hammond: AI will deflate US knowledge work while China automates manufacturing
“The last 40 years we've specialized in, you know, higher education, knowledge work, legal management services, Hollywood, you know, the creative class, all this stuff that is going to like be deflated and China will have the factories that will become fully au…”
Samuel Hammond Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 12:47 Why Industrialization WON'T Create New JOBS | Samuel Hammond on TBPN April 8th
Apr 26, 2025
Insight
Farid: Getting a robot to work is only 10% of robotics deployment
“Getting a robot to do a job is 10% of the work. 90% of the work is like, how do you do error handling and how do you solve all of the shit that happens after you deploy that robot?”
Saman Farid Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 3:36 How Robots Are Quietly Rebuilding U.S. Manufacturing | Saman Farid on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Hausman: End-to-end learning is the only viable path to solve robotics
“There's another reason to do end-to-end learning, which is, this is, I think, the only thing that has a chance of working.”
Karol Hausman Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 16:43 The Race to Create General-Purpose Robots | Karol Hausman & Lachy Groom on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025
Insight
Hausman: Robotics' biggest bottleneck is generalization, not dexterity
“The biggest challenge in robotics so far hasn't really been Agility or dexterity, what the robots can do. But then generalization.”
Karol Hausman Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 1:10 The Race to Create General-Purpose Robots | Karol Hausman & Lachy Groom on TBPN
Jun 21, 2025 neutral
Insight
Hotz: Robotic arm hardware is good enough, robotics is strictly software
“The arms are already good enough. It's the off the shelf arms are fine. It's all software. Again, it's always all software. Autonomous vehicles are all software. Robotics is all software”
George Hotz Jun 21, 2025 ▶ 2:12:29 Weekly Recap: Elon's Starship Explodes, OpenAI's Defense Contract, Nvidia's Robots, We Test Cluely
Nov 7, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Tyler Hogge predicts consumer robotics will fail to fund AI infrastructure costs
“None of these things scream cashflow to me. These to me seem Very likely like businesses, new business lines that also lose money. I'm excited about these categories. I think they're going to make cool, novel products, but it doesn't give me more confidence th…”
Tyler Hogge Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 15:39 OpenAI Requesting Federal Backstop? | Diet TBPN
Jan 21, 2026
Opinion
Hays: China holds massive robotics advantage while US leads AI models
“One dynamic that's interesting is China has obviously a massive advantage in robotics. And right now we have a, an advantage in the models.”
Jordi Hays Jan 21, 2026 ▶ 5:39 Davos Reactions, Waymo in the News, WB & Netflix Strike All Cash Deal | Diet TBPN
Mar 19, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cuban: Future Homes Will Be Redesigned Around Non-Humanoid Robots
“I think houses are going to be redesigned completely so that whatever the optimal robot is that allows it to simplify the house, that's where houses will go.”
Mark Cuban Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 8:45 FULL INTERVIEW: Mark Cuban on Robots, AI, Self-Driving, and Advice to Students
Sep 12, 2026 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Current AI robotics poses no safety risk without model volition
“I don't think we're at a point where that poses a risk. It's the next model. It's the model with its own volition, basically.”
John Coogan Sep 12, 2026 ▶ 14:11 Washington Hones in on AI Safety, What Are AI Doomers Proposing | Diet TBPN
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