Google

also referred to as: alphabet

includes Google DeepMind, Google TPU, Google Search, Google Chrome, Google Cloud, Google Gemini, Google I/O, Google Maps, Google Ads, Google Glass, Google Drive, Google Play and 47 more

181 statements across 86 episodes · 70 bullish · 42 bearish · 40 people on the record · first statement Nov 6, 2024 by Jordi Hays · said 2,533 times in 347 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by John Coogan (865), Jordi Hays (266), Mark Gurman (27), Adam Kovacevich (19), Aravind Srinivas (18), Ben Gilbert (16), Tyler Cosgrove (14), Casey Neistat (14)

tap a year for its mentions
007501001,500200202420252026episodesmentions
0100200202420252026episodes it came up in
00510010200202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 896 mentions in 152 episodes 6 per episode
2025 1,467 mentions in 173 episodes 8 per episode
2024 170 mentions in 22 episodes 8 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Google, oldest first

Nov 6, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Altman Lapped Sundar Pichai's Google in AI While Google Coasted
“Yeah, he's making so much money, every employee's making a lot of money, the shareholders are doing well, everybody's just kind of coasting, and then you, it's like, boom, Sam Altman comes in and laps you on AI, all your AI products internally suck, Sam Altman…”
Jordi Hays Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 2:06:05 Trump's Secret Career (ep7)
Nov 6, 2024 bullish
Insight
Overbuilt AI Infrastructure Will Eventually Enable Future Winners Post-Bubble
“This could lead to a bubble that pops, but it still could be amazing that all this stuff gets built out and there's all this infrastructure. And that's exactly what happened in the dot-com boom. There was a lot of dark fiber and that's what enabled Google to g…”
John Coogan Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 3:14:30 Trump's Secret Career (ep7)
Nov 12, 2024 negative
Insight
Coogan: Aspiring founders should never take comfortable corporate tech jobs
“I used to tell people, like, if you want to just be a successful entrepreneur, just never take a job. Because, like, eventually you'll have to figure it out. And like, but as soon as you say, like, I'm taking a couple years off to go work at Google or somethin…”
John Coogan Nov 12, 2024 ▶ 1:47:22 Inside JD Vance's Portfolio (ep8)
Nov 19, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Keras creator François Chollet is leaving Google to start a company
“Francois Chollet is out at Google, entering free agency. He's gonna start a new company.”
John Coogan Nov 19, 2024 ▶ 3:10:47 Who's Getting Rich Off Ozempic? (e12)
Nov 21, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Google Chrome could be valued at $200 billion as a standalone asset
“Like, you run a multiple on that, like, it's a two hundred billion dollar asset, like, or something in that range, like, it's a lot. It's not two billion.”
John Coogan Nov 21, 2024 ▶ 1:40:55 How to Spend a Trillion Dollars Fast (ep13)
Nov 23, 2024 positive
Insight
Marking Cold Sales Emails as Spam Trains Google's Algorithm Against Senders
“I've since moved to just the Gmail spam button because if you hit that, it blocks the sender and it also sends the message to the Google algorithm that like this company sucks, which I like.”
John Coogan Nov 23, 2024 ▶ 58:15 FACT CHECKERS vs. tech article (ep14)
Dec 6, 2024 negative
Insight
Hays: Applying Google's multi-year planning leadership style stalls early-stage startups
“I feel like Google has been in this position where they can plan things across decades and multiple years. And if you apply that style of leadership to a startup, like you probably will never Get off the ground.”
Jordi Hays Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 41:24 Inside Facebooks Secret "Red Book" (ep18)
Dec 6, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Ramp significantly accelerated receipt scanning using Google OCR and GPT-4
“Early on, I remember they were they were one of the huge beneficiaries of GPT-IV for the receipt scanning because they could just do exactly what we did with the red book where they would OCR it with Google, take all the text in the picture, and then throw tha…”
John Coogan Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 2:01:28 Inside Facebooks Secret "Red Book" (ep18)
Dec 11, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Sequoia Has Generated Over $70 Billion in Cumulative Gains
“Over the years, it's made its limited partners and its own rainmakers who pocket around a quarter of the gains plus a management fee a total of over seventy billion dollars, thanks to early bets. On future tech darlings like Airbnb, Apple, Google, and Nvidia.”
John Coogan Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 20:00 How we became the fastest growing podcast (ep20)
Dec 11, 2024 positive
Insight
Hays: Google Never Needed Good Marketing Due to Dominant Distribution
“Google, Google's basically never had to be, they've never had to be good at marketing because they have the greatest distribution channel of all time.”
Jordi Hays Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 2:26:06 How we became the fastest growing podcast (ep20)
Dec 12, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Google's Willow quantum chip completed a septillion-year supercomputer calculation in five minutes
“Willow performed a computation in under five minutes that would take one of today's fastest, fastest supercomputers 10 septillion years.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2024 ▶ 1:18:17 Billionaires XMAS list (ep21)
Dec 17, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Coogan: Google PM credential is no longer hot for aspiring founders
“And now it's kind of been like, oh, okay, Google is a place where you just go settle in. Maybe you leave and start a company if you're in the AI group. Like for the most part, like the Google PM is not as hot anymore.”
John Coogan Dec 17, 2024 ▶ 52:09 CHRISTIANITY: Why it's making a comeback (ep23)
Jan 8, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Apple will keep Google search deal due to 100% margin
“I disagree with that because that, that twenty billion dollars is 100% margin. They don't have to do anything. And they know that like, anytime they need to manage a new business line, there's risk and it could go wrong and stuff. And Google's just the best.”
John Coogan Jan 8, 2025 ▶ 10:37 How to WIN in 2025? (INSANE Predictions List)
Jan 9, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Booking middleman sites arbitrage Google search ads against hidden fees
“And they're just arbitraging the Google ad cost of winning that auction and the fees that they can add. So they think, okay, it cost us 20 dollars to acquire this customer. We'll add a hundred dollars of fees at the last second.”
John Coogan Jan 9, 2025 ▶ 1:22:31 Can This Man Save Los Angeles? (Rick Caruso)
Jan 18, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: TikTok ban legally targets app store distribution and Oracle hosting
“The law doesn't require TikTok to turn off the app. Instead, the law requires App Store operators like Apple and Google to stop making TikTok available for downloads. It also requires Oracle, TikTok's cloud provider, to stop hosting the app's U.S. Data user da…”
John Coogan Jan 18, 2025 ▶ 18:35 The END of TikTok?
Jan 23, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Ads in LLM responses make sense and will work fine
“I think it actually makes a ton of sense to put ads in LLM responses, and it'll work just fine, and it's actually very easy.”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 34:03 Project Stargate, The T Word, Ramp Treasury, Audience Ad Reads, See You at Davos
Jan 24, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple earns about $20B at 100% margin from Google search deal
“And that's exactly what happened with Google, where, where they knew that people were going to be searching the internet using a search engine and they could, and they never needed to build a search engine because they were able to tax Google. And so they got …”
John Coogan Jan 24, 2025 ▶ 2:02:02 DJI Suspicions, Stargate Turmoil, OpenAI Operator, F40 for the Mind
Jan 24, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google Gemini's underlying tech performance matches OpenAI
“If you look at the performance of the underlying technology at Google with Gemini, it's on par, if not like back and forth with open AI.”
John Coogan Jan 24, 2025 ▶ 1:58:18 DJI Suspicions, Stargate Turmoil, OpenAI Operator, F40 for the Mind
Jan 25, 2025 bullish
Insight
Hays: ChatGPT leads consumer AI through mindshare and search-like utility
“The reason that ChatGPT has stayed very dominant from a user standpoint is because they have the consumer mindshare. The average person is not like prompt engineering. They don't care about the context window. They're just almost using it like a Google that ca…”
Jordi Hays Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 6:08 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Most future consumer AI usage will occur through existing platforms
“Most future consumer LLM usage will go through existing platforms, Google, Instagram, WhatsApp, Facebook, iPhone, Android.”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 14:34 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 28, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Consumer AI App Layer Will Be More Competitive Than Model Layer
“This consumer App layer is going to be more competitive in many ways than the foundation model layer because you're competing with Meta, Apple, all these different, you know, Google, et cetera, that have the distribution already.”
Jordi Hays Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 1:43:10 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Feb 10, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Microsoft, Google, and Meta will spend $230B combined on CapEx
“Microsoft is expected to top ninety billion in CapEx this calendar year. Google is spending seventy-five billion and Meta is spending sixty-five billion.”
John Coogan Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 36:57 The BEST Super Bowl Commercial (Saquon Barkley)
Mar 12, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Lessin: Google leads in AI elements but faces the biggest downside
“And yes, I think they are the company that more than any other company in the world is in the position of both being way ahead in certain elements of AI and like has a huge advantage, but they also have the most to lose, right?”
Sam Lessin Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 17:20 Sam Lessin on Meta, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing in Creators.
Mar 12, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Lessin: Meta's core ad business faces no AI disruption unlike Google
“They're unlike Google aren't going to get disrupted in their core business on this. They don't have a search business. They don't have a lookup business to disrupt. They have a shit ton of an engagement attention and they sell ads. And you know, what definitel…”
Sam Lessin Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 5:47 Sam Lessin on Meta, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing in Creators.
Mar 17, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bartlett: Most AI equity value will probably accrue to Big Tech incumbents
“And I think in large part, maybe with the exception of open AI, like the vast majority of the equity value will probably end up accumulating to the Facebooks and the Microsofts and the, you know, the Googles and I guess open AI as well.”
Logan Bartlett Mar 17, 2025 ▶ 25:58 Logan Bartlett talks about the history of VC, current sentiment, and are we back to 2021?
Mar 17, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Startups exploiting incumbent execution errors will be copied, not acquired
“Like they're not going to get acquired. They're just going to get copied.”
Sam Lessin Mar 17, 2025 ▶ 20:25 The GREAT VC AI DEBATE between Slow Ventures and Greylock Partners.
Mar 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott Wu: AI products will shift from Q&A search to autonomous agents
“And then the other thing that we felt really strongly about was that the product experience was going to shift from this kind of more Q and a text completion style products to basically an agent, you know, and practically I think what that means is I honestly,…”
Scott Wu Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 4:11 Scott Wu on Cognition, Devin, and the Evolution of AI Agents.
Mar 25, 2025 positive
Opinion
Masad: Google's Flutter UX significantly outperforms Meta's open-source infrastructure
“If you go to Google and, you know, use, you know, Flutter, I think that thing is actually much more polished of an experience, because they have a direct incentive to advance the Android ecosystem, for example. And so Facebook, we built really cool pieces of i…”
Amjad Masad Mar 25, 2025 ▶ 22:07 Amjad Masad on Replit, AI Agents, and the Death of Traditional Software.
Mar 26, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rauch: Unbundling Google with AI will create massive startup opportunities
“So that unbundling of the, one of the largest companies and information technology services in the world will create massive opportunities for startups and companies of all sizes”
Guillermo Rauch Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 9:50 Guillermo Rauch on the Next.js Drama, AI-Driven Dev, Vercel’s v0, and the Future of Frontend.
Mar 26, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Rauch: Cloudbleed leaked Uber auth tokens onto Google search
“You could, I don't know if the audience knows, but you could Google and literally find auth tokens of different companies like Uber indexed by Google.”
Guillermo Rauch Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 5:16 Guillermo Rauch on the Next.js Drama, AI-Driven Dev, Vercel’s v0, and the Future of Frontend.
Apr 6, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Consumer-Aligned AI Search Threatens Google and Amazon's Ad Model
“It's obviously a threat to Google and to Amazon and other marketplaces when I'm going there and I'm saying, this is what I want to buy. Like help me buy the best version. And it can be more aligned with my interests than an ads based business model.”
Jordi Hays Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 7:09 Aidan McLaughlin (OpenAI) On ChatGPT, model welfare, and path to AGI
Apr 9, 2025 bullish
Insight
Kirsten Green likens ChatGPT to Google, opening doors for vertical AI apps
“Jack GPT is to this generation what Google was to the last. If you think about Google is like the place where, you know, the front door, you go there, that's your big search. But if you want to, like, look for real estate, you go to Zillow. If you want to unde…”
Kirsten Green Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 27:33 WELLNESS Is the New WEALTH | Kirsten Green ON TBPN April 4th
Apr 9, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Swyx: Google is the only viable challenger to Anthropic's MCP
“I would say that if there were any challenger to MCP, it will come from Google because Google has native integrations to Gmail, calendar, YouTube, what have you, they already launched it and it's already first party in there.”
Shawn 'swyx' Wang Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 14:11 Are AI AGENTS Learning to DREAM? | Shawn Wang on TBPN April 4th
Apr 9, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Wang: Google owns the entire AI lab Pareto frontier with Gemini 2.5 Pro
“They now completely own the entire Pareto frontier of all, all, all labs. Like they've had the smartest and the cheapest and the most effective Pareto frontier between.”
Shawn 'swyx' Wang Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 4:17 Are AI AGENTS Learning to DREAM? | Shawn Wang on TBPN April 4th
Apr 9, 2025 neutral
Insight
Hudson: Honey charges low commissions compared to double-digit Google ad costs
“So it's not like the marketing spend on Google where you're spending well into double digits percentage of revenue on acquisition or what you're spending on Facebook. We're talking like really small numbers and Part of that reason the rates are low is actually…”
Ryan Hudson Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 10:15 HONEY Founder Responds to MegaLag -- Ryan Hudson on TBPN
Apr 9, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hudson: Google's Single-Purpose Policy Stifled Chrome Extension Business Models
“And it's a single purpose arbitrary policy that Google has for the Chrome store that extensions are only allowed to do one thing. And so extensions have effectively been pushed to only do a feature and it becomes increasingly challenging to attach a business m…”
Ryan Hudson Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 14:38 HONEY Founder Responds to MegaLag -- Ryan Hudson on TBPN
Apr 10, 2025 positive
Opinion
Logan Bartlett: Wiz successfully controlled the media narrative after rejecting Google
“What was interesting in that Wiz announcement when they announced that they were going their own and not going to be bought by Google, was like, everything that they said was then reported on the media in the media because of the leaked memo. And so they got t…”
Logan Bartlett Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 24:55 What the New TARIFFS Mean for Tech | Logan Bartlett on TBPN April 7th
Apr 25, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Kilpatrick: Heavy Gemini 2.5 Pro Demand Forces Continuous Inference Optimization
“Our team who's Like actually working around the clock right now to make it so that people can keep scaling with 2.5 pro because there's so much demand and we're having to like, you know, as a an artifact of the constraints that we're under, like we're having t…”
Logan Kilpatrick Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 14:56 Google's AI Comeback in Their Own Words - Logan Kilpatrick
Apr 25, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Kilpatrick: Google team is exploring AI-assisted and non-AI technical interviews
“I think we've actually been looking at doing like AI assisted interviews and not AI assisted interviews. Like, I think the world needs both right now. It makes perfect sense to evaluate both.”
Logan Kilpatrick Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 28:47 Google's AI Comeback in Their Own Words - Logan Kilpatrick
Apr 25, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Kilpatrick: Gemini 2.5 Pro Relied on Pre-Training Innovations, Not Just RL
“But I think if you look at like a, an example of this in practice, like 2.5 pro is actually an example where it wasn't just like RL scaling that made that model better. Yes, RL was part of the story, but like there was also a bunch of pre-training innovation a…”
Logan Kilpatrick Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 12:21 Google's AI Comeback in Their Own Words - Logan Kilpatrick
Apr 25, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Kilpatrick: Google's Full-Stack Control Extends From Silicon to Model Delivery
“Google controls. From a product perspective, like all the way to how the models are delivered to how the models are trained down to the silicon. So like you can make decisions assuming a bunch of those things are going to be true, which is like a lot of folks …”
Logan Kilpatrick Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 4:13 Google's AI Comeback in Their Own Words - Logan Kilpatrick
Apr 25, 2025
Insight
Kilpatrick: Large High-Demand AI Models Require Massive Inference Investments
“Especially with larger models and especially with models that have lots of demand, like there's no world where you can get away with not putting a large order of magnitude of investment into inference.”
Logan Kilpatrick Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 14:44 Google's AI Comeback in Their Own Words - Logan Kilpatrick
Apr 25, 2025 negative
Opinion
Srinivas: Google's siloed product teams fail to share lessons
“I think Google is actually the closest to ByteDance of America. If you think about it, they have so many different apps in one umbrella, but they don't share lessons. Like the YouTube team is so different from the Gmail team, sort of from the Chrome team, and …”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 33:44 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 25, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Srinivas: Mobile OEMs previously refused search meetings because Google paid too much
“Until now, like, people with OEMs would just not even take a meeting with you. If you ever go to them and say, hey, like, what do you think about using an alternative assistant or an alternative search? They'd be like Google is paying too much money. I'm not g…”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 0:44 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 25, 2025 negative
Opinion
Srinivas: Google Gemini is a horrible product despite a great model
“The assistant that they have, Gemini, is actually pretty horrible, and the model is great, But the product is not.”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 5:43 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 25, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Srinivas: Google lacks incentive to enable native shopping and travel checkout
“Google even if Gemini gives you shopping answers, they have no incentive to, like, let you transact. Because like, they lose, they make money by sending you merchant sites. That's why Google Flights doesn't let you book flights on Google. You have to book it o…”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 18:33 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 25, 2025 negative
Opinion
Srinivas: Breaking up Google harms America and will not increase competition
“I don't think Google should be broken up for two main reasons. One is, it's not even in the interest of America for Google to be broken up. And number two is, it doesn't actually increase competition. It's just gonna, like transfer from one monopoly to another…”
Aravind Srinivas Apr 25, 2025 ▶ 3:39 Perplexity Founder Explains What Comes Next - Aravind Srinivas on TBPN April 23rd
Apr 26, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yanisse: Mobile Driver's Licenses in Digital Wallets Will Replace Photo Scanning
“The other thing that I'm bullish on is electronic driver licenses and wallets, you know, like Apple and Google are starting to have your driver license in your wallet, like Apple pay. And I think you know, and the government, especially in Europe and other cou…”
Daniel Yanisse Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 9:28 Fighting AI Fraud and the Future of Verification | Ryan Sandler & Daniel Yanisse on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Insight
AI is a sustaining innovation for software incumbents, but disrupts Google
“In the sustaining versus disruptive innovation, I think AI is like pretty clearly a sustaining innovation in almost all cases. I think it like might be disruptive to Google. And so assuming like a scale up is still Competent and can still build new product. I …”
Mike Vernal Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 17:42 Why Patience Is the Secret to Building Iconic Companies | Mike Vernal on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kovacevich: Google, Meta, and OpenAI will lead US against China in AI
“Well, like, who do you think is going to do that? It's going to be Google, Meta, OpenAI, right? It's going to be those companies, right?”
Adam Kovacevich Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 20:56 Behind the Scenes of the Google Antitrust Trial | Adam Kovacevich on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Kovacevich: Court found Google held ad tech monopolies and illegally tied products
“And there were some points for Google, but it was mostly a loss for them. The court found that they had improperly tied some of their ad tech products together and they have a monopoly position And what's called the ad, ad exchange, as well as the ad server, w…”
Adam Kovacevich Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 2:02 Behind the Scenes of the Google Antitrust Trial | Adam Kovacevich on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Kovacevich: Google's network ad revenue fell from 16% to 11%
“This is part of what's called their network business, which is basically like serving ads on other people's websites. This is the part of Google's business that's actually shrinking. So it was like, 16% of their business, like five years ago, and now it's down…”
Adam Kovacevich Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 4:54 Behind the Scenes of the Google Antitrust Trial | Adam Kovacevich on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Opinion
Kovacevich: Supreme Court's Trinko precedent challenges the Google antitrust ruling
“One of the big cases, that's a challenge for the court here is this case called Trinco, which is old, old Supreme court precedent, which basically has to do with what's called the duty to deal, which basically says like you as a customer, you as a business, ev…”
Adam Kovacevich Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 11:16 Behind the Scenes of the Google Antitrust Trial | Adam Kovacevich on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Kovacevich: FTC and DOJ divided Big Tech targets rather than subject matter
“What happened was about six years ago, the FTC and the Justice Department, they share responsibility for antitrust. They got together and they said, they basically struck a deal and they said, okay, FTC, you get Meta and Amazon and DOJ, you get Google and Appl…”
Adam Kovacevich Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 13:21 Behind the Scenes of the Google Antitrust Trial | Adam Kovacevich on TBPN
Jun 21, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Moore: ByteDance's SeedDance video model is already outperforming Google's Veo 3
“The new Minimax model, the new ByteDance model, SeedDance, which is in the arena, already outperforming VO-three.”
Justine Moore Jun 21, 2025 ▶ 1:16:18 Weekly Recap: Elon's Starship Explodes, OpenAI's Defense Contract, Nvidia's Robots, We Test Cluely
Jul 5, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Depue: Meta may eventually shift to releasing closed flagship AI models
“I w it wouldn't surprise me if they go kind of the Google route where like they are still, they still do open source. They still have the llama brand, but it isn't like their flagship thing where they start doing, whether it's for internal products or it's, th…”
Will Depue Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 3:05:44 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Jul 5, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Prince: Anthropic is 30,000x and OpenAI 750x harder than Google for traffic
“As you looked at open AI, it was about 750 times harder than with the kind of Google of old to get traffic with something like anthropic is 30,000 times harder.”
Matthew Prince Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 1:29:59 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Jul 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hays: Zuckerberg offered tens of millions to mid-level Google engineers
“Going back to Zuck raiding Google in, in, in, in, in, in, in, he was offering tens of millions of dollars in stock packages to mid-level engineers just because he was like, I need a really good ad product.”
Jordi Hays Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 2:13:34 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Jul 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: Facebook's 2010-2011 Poaching Raid Forced Google To Raise Comp
“In 2011, in 2010 and 20 11 Zuck and Facebook went super aggressive poaching from Google. So Facebook had crossed half a billion users. They were, in that period of transitioning from a super scrappy startup. Yep. And they went heavy into Google. So they went a…”
Jordi Hays Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 2:03:45 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Jul 12, 2025 positive
Opinion
Thompson: Search is the only part of Google that can still build products
“I do think, I think Google's done better than I expected over the last two years. I like what they're doing in search generally. I think they, it does seem to be the one part of the company that still functions, like they can actually iterate and build product…”
Ben Thompson Jul 12, 2025 ▶ 2:06:53 Weekly Recap: Grok 4 Launch, Texas Floods, Web Browser War, Top Signals, Meta Smart Glasses
Jul 19, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Hays: Character.AI Had 20M+ Users and $100M Cash When Founders Left
“So when Character AI, when the Character AI founders and part of the core team went back to Google, the other, the Character AI became a ghost ship, but it was cool in the fact that they had 20 plus million users. They also had a hundred million on the balance…”
Jordi Hays Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 50:38 Weekly Recap: CEO Affair at Coldplay Concert, Elon Musk's AI Girlfriend, Cognition Acquires Windsurf
Jul 19, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: Google Acquiring Windsurf Should Have Been Antitrust Rubber Stamp
“This is textbook. They should be able to acquire this company, right? Like, cursors out there. They're not acquiring the market leader.”
John Coogan Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 52:51 Weekly Recap: CEO Affair at Coldplay Concert, Elon Musk's AI Girlfriend, Cognition Acquires Windsurf
Jul 19, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Gemini matches OpenAI and Anthropic in research quality
“Gemini is, is at the same like level of like AI research quality as OpenAI anthropic by most benchmarks, by most people that use them.”
John Coogan Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 1:17:05 Weekly Recap: CEO Affair at Coldplay Concert, Elon Musk's AI Girlfriend, Cognition Acquires Windsurf
Jul 26, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: AI is a sustaining technology favoring profitable incumbents like Google and Meta
“The way in which Google seems to have flipped the switch in terms of going all in on AI along with Meta's spending on AI talent really does Strongly suggest that AI, in the end, is a sustaining technology that favors the incumbents most of all. Both see a line…”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 1:24:25 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Polymarket Gives Google 46% Odds for Top AI Model by Year-End
“Google is still the polymarket, which company has the best AI model end of 2025. So December 31st, there's been one and a half million in volume, and Google is still sitting comfortably at 46% chance of being at the Top of LM arena at the end of the year.”
Jordi Hays Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 1:11:30 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Gemini Daily Requests Grew Over 50% Quarter-Over-Quarter
“Daily requests grew over 50% from Q-one to Q-two.”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 1:30:14 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Google Is the Only Company With an At-Scale Nvidia ASIC Alternative
“Google is the only company, we talked about the TPU thing, they're the only company with an at-scale ASIC alternative to NVIDIA's GPUs, which should give them a meaningful cost advantage to that end, ah, to the extent that cloud compute becomes commoditized.”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 1:19:07 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2030
Coogan: No new chip architecture will displace Nvidia GPUs or Google TPUs
“It doesn't seem like there's some new disruptive chip architecture that's gonna come out and obviate the need for both NVIDIA GPUs and Google TPUs, and so Google's very well positioned”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 1:22:12 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google Used Lean Proof Verifier While OpenAI Used Text-Based LLMs for IMO
“Using this program called Lean that is a formal math proof verifier, and there's rumors that Google's building their system to leverage that a lot. OpenAI apparently went way, way down just the text-based LLM reasoning path and had a lot of success there.”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 3:25 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google's search growth is driven by higher ad prices, not click volume
“The fact that paid clicks were up four percent and search revenue was up 12% makes it clear that search growth is primarily being driven by higher prices. And so the actual number of clicks is up four percent, but revenue is up 12%. That means that they're Mon…”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 1:27:01 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Jul 26, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Google Reports That Gemini Reached 450 Million Monthly Active Users
“And that reflects the actual number that they shared, four hundred and fifty million monthly active users.”
John Coogan Jul 26, 2025 ▶ 1:30:39 Weekly Recap: Casey Neistat, OpenAI Cracks Math, The Future of ChatGPT, Apple x F1, Intel Layoffs
Aug 8, 2025 bearish
What-if
Andreessen: Google Could Have Built a GPT-4 Level Chatbot by 2019
“I talked to somebody senior who was there at the time and I asked them, you know, when could you have had chat GPT with GPT four level output if you had just gotten, you know, gone, gone flat out starting in 2017. And they said by 2019.”
Marc Andreessen Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 5:47 Marc Andreessen on Why Apple Might Miss the Next Platform Shift
Aug 9, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Coogan: Amazon lags in AI partnerships and frontier model labs
“Amazon's just not there either on the partnership side or on the core like training frontier lab side.”
John Coogan Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 12:59 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 9, 2025 negative
What-if
Andreessen: Google could have built a GPT-4-level ChatGPT by 2019
“Google developed the transformer in 2017. And then they basically let it sit on the shelf, right? Cause it was a research project. They didn't productize it. They were very worried about, you know, from people I've talked to, they were very worried about the, …”
Marc Andreessen Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:11:03 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 16, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Hays: Odds of Perplexity acquiring Chrome are closer to zero than 1%
“I would put the odds of this deal happening closer to zero percent than one percent.”
Jordi Hays Aug 16, 2025 ▶ 44:07 Weekly Recap: Sam vs. Elon, Cluely's Crazy Ad, UFC x Paramount, Apple's AI Robot
Aug 19, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Coogan estimates Google Chrome is worth between $90B and $120B
“Daniel says Chrome's worth at least 90 to a 120 billy. I agree. I think 20 is too low.”
John Coogan Aug 19, 2025 ▶ 3:53 Perplexity's Offer to Buy Google Chrome for $34.5 BILLION Explained
Aug 19, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: Perplexity won't significantly outvalue Snapchat in two years
“Search Feels like it'll be a winner take, take all market, and it's, they're not gonna, you know, two years from now, if they're sitting at thirty million monthly actives, or even a multiple of that, it's hard to see it, you know, being worth, ah, you know, si…”
Jordi Hays Aug 19, 2025 ▶ 13:12 Perplexity's Offer to Buy Google Chrome for $34.5 BILLION Explained
Sep 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google pays Apple approximately $20 billion annually for Safari search default.
“Google's been the default search engine on Apple devices since 2002. And, they, we don't know specifics. Most recently is twenty billion dollars annually, but it's been an over 20 year partnership.”
Jordi Hays Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 52:11 Weekly Recap: Tesla's Crazy Plan, USA vs. Google, Palantir CEO on Conspiracy Theories
Sep 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple receives 36% of Google's Safari search advertising revenue.
“Apple is like confirmed to be taking 36% of the revenue from Safari that Google makes.”
Tyler Cosgrove Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 54:40 Weekly Recap: Tesla's Crazy Plan, USA vs. Google, Palantir CEO on Conspiracy Theories
Sep 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Judge denied the DOJ request to force Google to divest Chrome.
“The judge denied the DOJ's request for forced divestiture. Of Chrome and Android.”
Tyler Cosgrove Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 56:15 Weekly Recap: Tesla's Crazy Plan, USA vs. Google, Palantir CEO on Conspiracy Theories
Sep 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google antitrust remedy requires sharing search index snapshots at marginal cost.
“Judge Meta attempts to address number two necessary scale by forcing Google to share various types of data, including Google search index, but not the actual data from the web pages and the index or the output of Google's PageRank algorithm. Competitors, which…”
Jordi Hays Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 1:03:41 Weekly Recap: Tesla's Crazy Plan, USA vs. Google, Palantir CEO on Conspiracy Theories
Sep 27, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Baker: Larry Page willing to risk Google bankruptcy to win AI race
“He said, Larry Page has said internally at Google many times, I'm willing to go bankrupt rather than lose this race. Everybody is focused on ROI, but the people making the decisions are not basically saying that scale, it's all about scale.”
Jordi Hays Sep 27, 2025 ▶ 6:18 Weekly Recap: Matthew McConaughey on AI, Nvidia x OpenAI
Oct 9, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rosenthal: Yann LeCun is the only major AI leader not from Google
“You know, every single major leader in AI that you know of, no matter what company they are at, with the one exception of Jan LeCun at Facebook. He's the only one. Who, like, didn't come from Google.”
David Rosenthal Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 22:34 Acquired Podcast Hosts Break Down Google’s $1 Trillion Mistake
Oct 9, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gilbert: Almost all foundation model leaders worked at Google in 2015–2016
“Everyone, almost everyone doing interesting things in foundational model companies at the leadership level. You can trace a lineage back to Google. And almost all of them were there, twenty-fifteen, twenty-sixteen.”
Ben Gilbert Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 22:07 Acquired Podcast Hosts Break Down Google’s $1 Trillion Mistake
Oct 9, 2025
Assertion Contradicted
Rosenthal: Microsoft owned 49% of OpenAI when ChatGPT launched
“You know, at the worst moment for Google, when ChatGPT came out, Microsoft owned 49% of OpenAI.”
David Rosenthal Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 25:02 Acquired Podcast Hosts Break Down Google’s $1 Trillion Mistake
Oct 9, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rosenthal: Acquired conducted 30+ hour-long background calls for Google episode
“Like for our Google series that we just wrapped up, we probably talked to 30 plus people. You know, those are all hour long research calls where, you know, sometimes people are like, oh, is this going to be recorded? And we're like, no, no, no, this isn't for …”
David Rosenthal Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 6:10 Acquired Podcast Hosts Break Down Google’s $1 Trillion Mistake
Oct 13, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Ohanian: Google is terrible at product innovation and not a threat
“Even if, you know, the Googles of the world launch some janky try on experience, like we know those companies are just terrible at innovating product and aren't really a threat.”
Alexis Ohanian Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 8:42 Alexis Ohanian on TikTok's Frozen Innovation, Gaming Reddit & Sports vs AI
Oct 17, 2025
Assertion Contradicted
Benioff claims Salesforce sold cybersecurity company Wiz to Google
“You know, we just sold a company to Google, which is Wiz, the security company.”
Marc Benioff Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 11:47 Marc Benioff on AI Agents' Biggest Problem
Oct 17, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Alphabet is vertically integrated from chips and AI to autonomous robotics
“He's got the data center, he's got the chip, right? Tensor, right? He's got, he does a lot of the operating system type work, including the model, you know, the Gemini model, the applications he does as well, and he even gets all the way to the robotic layer, …”
Marc Benioff Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 5:30 Marc Benioff on AI Agents' Biggest Problem
Oct 28, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Nadella: Azure Welcomes Anthropic, Grok, and Google Gemini Alongside OpenAI
“Hey, I'm happy with OpenAI. I would love to have Anthropic, MAI, Crock, anyone. If Google wants to put Gemini on Azure, please do so.”
Satya Nadella Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 12:37 Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella Live on TBPN
Nov 4, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Gurman: Snap should partner with Google rather than develop SnapOS
“In my mind, they might be just better off sort of lowering their R&D on these things by focusing on their hardware, partnering with a company like Google, and putting their own social layer over Android XR, but obviously they have their own SnapOS.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 32:35 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gurman: Apple is paying Google as a supplier to power Siri
“Apple is paying Google.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 15:32 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurman: Apple will probably replace Google's model with an in-house model
“You can also bet, at some point, they'll probably figure out their own model to replace the Google thing, so I don't think it's a long-term bet.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 16:39 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Prediction Partly held up
Gurman: Google to launch smart glasses with Samsung and Warby Parker
“What you're going to see is Google come into this space, too. They're going to launch, you know, their smart glasses with Samsung in a few months, their glasses with Warby Parker and a few other glasses brands in a few months, and there's going to be a lot of …”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 30:56 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Insight
Gurman: iPhone Air is a stepping stone to a foldable iPhone
“It's a technology exercise to really set the stage for an eventual foldable iPhone. They have to create thinner form factors, thinner batteries, more advanced materials like titanium for the casing in order to create something like the foldable phone to compet…”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 8:36 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 4, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gurman: Apple considered buying Perplexity due to Google antitrust fears
“First, on the perplexity, when I was the one who broke that, that was real. That did not come from perplexity. The idea there was Apple was sort of scared out of its mind that it was going to lose this Google search deal. It was a very real possibility the jud…”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 23:19 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Nov 8, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Google is positioned to thrive whether the AI boom succeeds or fails
“If AI doesn't work, then Google is just in the spot they were before, which is doing very well. If AI does work, then I mean, Gemini is one of the best models. They'll do very well.”
Tyler Cosgrove Nov 8, 2025 ▶ 14:50 Elon's Trillion Dollar Pay Package | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: Google announced its Antigravity agentic development platform
“Yesterday, Google announced Google Antigravity, their new agentic development platform.”
Jordi Hays Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 7:10 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Coogan: "Empire of AI" wildly overstates Google data center water consumption
“Empire of AI asserts that a data center is using 1000 times as much water as a city, In reality, it's 22% of the city's water.”
John Coogan Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 21:28 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Hays: Apple will block iMessage data portability to Google's Gemini
“I have zero faith that there will be any portability. And the reason for that is Apple's paying Google to effectively, yeah, white label the model, leverage Gemini in the next version of Apple intelligence. And they're just gonna be focused on integrating it w…”
Jordi Hays Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 3:33 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google trained Gemini 3 Pro entirely on TPUs, bypassing Nvidia
“Google trained Gemini three pro on Google's own TPUs. No mention of Nvidia chips.”
John Coogan Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 7:54 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: Nvidia retains monopoly power because Google refuses to sell TPUs
“If TPUs are not for sale, Nvidia does have a monopoly. If Nvidia truly is the only seller in the market because Google is not a seller then yes, they still extract monopoly power from every other buyer because every other buyer says, yeah, I'd love to buy TPUs…”
John Coogan Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 8:23 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google's Gemini is named after the Brain and DeepMind merger
“Google's Gemini is a reference to two formerly distinct labs, Google brain and deep mind that were merged into one lab, Google deep mind.”
John Coogan Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 9:00 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: Google spent billions to acquire Windsurf's intellectual property
“They, of course Google did buy, you know, spend however many billions on, on acquiring the Windsurf IP, so not super surprising.”
Jordi Hays Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 7:41 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Hays: Naming Gemini after internal drama is quintessential Google culture
“It's extremely Google that a flagship consumer product is named as a reference to inner org drama that happened three years ago.”
Jordi Hays Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 8:52 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: Gemini 3 Pro is the first LLM to beat GeoGuessr pros
“Gemini Three Pro is the first LLM to beat professional human players at GeoGuessr.”
John Coogan Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 5:33 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: Google's Gemini 3 is currently the best AI foundation model
“Gemini three is definitely a great model. The best model potentially right now.”
John Coogan Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 1:49 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 19, 2025
Opinion
Hays: Google bypassing Nvidia for Gemini 3 is not priced in
“This doesn't feel fully priced in yet to either company. But then again, right, it's so hard to predict demand over the next five, 10 years that maybe, maybe it doesn't even matter.”
Jordi Hays Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 8:13 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Nov 22, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: Apple's Privacy Focus Left It Ill-Equipped for AI vs. Google and Meta
“Apple has been building a brand around We don't access your data. We don't store your data. We would never train on your data. And that put them in an awkward position where they couldn't just snap their fingers and deliver a great AI experience. Whereas Googl…”
John Coogan Nov 22, 2025 ▶ 6:45 The State of AI: A Field Trip to TBPN’s Aura Farm + Today’s Top Tech Stories | Diet TBPN
Nov 25, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Gemini 3 thinking queries match GPT-5 Pro reliability with less reasoning
“I feel like the level of confidence in the brand makes me feel that a Gemini three thinking query that does maybe less reasoning Then a GPT five pro query will be at the same level of reliability.”
John Coogan Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 3:03 Reverse Engineering 200 AI Startups, Nucleus Genomics Controversy, Drone Hunting | Diet TBPN
Nov 25, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Coogan pays $250 monthly for Google Veo 3 due to lacking competition
“VO three was the moment when I was like, okay, they got something that nobody else has. I got a fork over two 50 a month.”
John Coogan Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 1:23 Reverse Engineering 200 AI Startups, Nucleus Genomics Controversy, Drone Hunting | Diet TBPN
Nov 25, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sergey Brin admits Google's Gemini image issues stemmed from inadequate testing
“You know, we definitely messed up on the image generation and I think it was mostly due to just like not thorough testing.”
Sergey Brin Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 9:12 Reverse Engineering 200 AI Startups, Nucleus Genomics Controversy, Drone Hunting | Diet TBPN
Nov 25, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
The consumer AI market will shift from winner-take-all to a duopoly
“Maybe, maybe there will be a little bit more of a duopoly. There, it won't be such a winner-take-all market even though it has been historically, it's, it has been up to this date.”
John Coogan Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 8:42 Reverse Engineering 200 AI Startups, Nucleus Genomics Controversy, Drone Hunting | Diet TBPN
Nov 25, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Google added $2 trillion in market cap since the Gemini image controversy
“Google has now added two trillion dollars to its market cap over the past 20 months since the boob shirt guy asked Sergey Brin about woke Gemini images while having a foot-long Subway cold-cut trio for lunch.”
John Coogan Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 8:54 Reverse Engineering 200 AI Startups, Nucleus Genomics Controversy, Drone Hunting | Diet TBPN
Dec 3, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Google's Gemini mobile app repeatedly fails with server disconnect errors
“The Gemini mobile app has, is really, really struggling to stay connected. There's something in the, when you fire off a prompt, it doesn't like save it locally and then cash that and then send it off, inference it, and then come back. It like, unless you keep…”
John Coogan Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 22:22 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Dec 3, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Hays: ChatGPT daily active users fell 6% following Google Gemini launch
“In the two weeks since the Gemini launched, ChatGPT unique daily active users, a seven-day average, are down six percent.”
Jordi Hays Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 16:35 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Dec 3, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: OpenAI has internal models matching Gemini 3 and better successors coming
“Just looking purely at the benchmarks, you know, we actually felt quite confident you know, we have models internally that perform at the level of Gemini three, and we're pretty confident that we will release them soon, and we can release successor models that…”
Mark Chen Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 10:27 The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google appoints Amin Vahdat to lead $100B AI infrastructure buildout
“Google names a new chief to head up its one hundred billion dollar a year AI infrastructure build out, Amin Vadat, who will report to Sundar directly.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 25:02 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: Disney is picking OpenAI over Google as the winner in AI video
“It does feel like Disney's sort of like picking a winner here in AI video, and they're saying like, we like OpenAI and we don't like Google, which is sort of a bold move.”
John Coogan Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 21:23 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: Google's AI CapEx budget is four times NASA's annual budget
“Four times NASA's annual budget.”
Jordi Hays Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 25:19 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 12, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Hays: Disney accuses Google of massive copyright infringement with AI models
“As Disney has gone into business with OpenAI, the Mouse House is accusing Google of copyright infringement on massive scale, using AI models and services to commercially exploit and distribute infringing images and videos.”
Jordi Hays Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 20:55 Disney Partners with OpenAI, Breaking Down SpaceX’s IPO Plans, Oracle Slips | Diet TBPN
Dec 16, 2025
Assertion Partly supported
AI labs offer top researchers packages worth $100M or more
“But with AI companies, including meta platforms, Google, Anthropic, wooing top researchers with pay packages that can be worth a hundred million dollars or more, researchers and engineers have been able to hold out for the most attractive terms, and in many ca…”
John Coogan Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 17:41 OpenAI ENDS Vesting Cliff
Jan 14, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple chose Google Gemini for Siri after blind model tests
“Apple ran a blind test of frontier models and picked Gemini.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 13:56 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2031
Coogan: AI providers will eventually pay Apple to route search queries
“Now my real hot take is that I think it's going to flip at some point. And I think Google or someone else is going to pay Apple To route LLM queries to them, because with the universal commerce protocol, agentic commerce protocol with ads and LLM responses, th…”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 0:19 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 14, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Apple is paying Google one billion dollars in AI deal
“The news is that Apple and Google have a deal. We talked to Ben Thompson about it yesterday. Billion dollars going from Apple to Google.”
John Coogan Jan 14, 2026 ▶ 0:12 Siri needs an App, OpenAI Acquires health startup Torch, Claude Cowork reactions | Diet TBPN
Jan 21, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Amodei: Anthropic rarely faces Chinese AI models in enterprise contract bids
“When we go out, when we're you know, competing against other companies for enterprise contracts, We see, just honestly and candidly, we see Google, and we see OpenAI. Every once in a while, we see a couple other US players. I have almost never lost a deal, los…”
Dario Amodei Jan 21, 2026 ▶ 2:19 Davos Reactions, Waymo in the News, WB & Netflix Strike All Cash Deal | Diet TBPN
Jan 21, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis reportedly has no plans for Gemini ads
“Demis Hassabis from Google told Alex Heath at Sources that, that he has no plan, no plans to put ads in Gemini.”
John Coogan Jan 21, 2026 ▶ 27:47 Davos Reactions, Waymo in the News, WB & Netflix Strike All Cash Deal | Diet TBPN
Jan 22, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Google DeepMind does not need outside funding, relies on cash flow
“Demis doesn't need to raise. Google's doing this with cash flow. Like, that's true for every other lab lead except for demos.”
John Coogan Jan 22, 2026 ▶ 25:18 Kling AI reaches 12M MAU, China's aging tech worker crisis, drama at ThinkingMachine | Diet TBPN
Jan 23, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple Reportedly Rebuilding Siri as OS-Integrated Chatbot 'Campos'
“Apple plans to revamp Siri later this year by turning the digital assistant into the company's first artificial intelligence chatbot, thrusting the iPhone maker into a generative AI race dominated by OpenAI on Google. The chatbot, codenamed Kempos, will be emb…”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 24:34 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
Jan 23, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Anthropic cloud inference costs ran 23% over projections
“Amir says that Anthropix inference costs on Google and Amazon servers were 23% higher than the company, ah, projected.”
John Coogan Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 20:58 Capital One Acquires Brex for $5B, Davos’s $500M business, Apple’s Siri rebuild | Diet TBPN
Jan 24, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Hays: Google has a massive infrastructure advantage over OpenAI in AI ads
“OpenAI has to not only, like, figure out how to actually implement ads within the product, but they have to build out all the advertising Like, infrastructure, the platform infrastructure, in order for people to run campaigns successfully and at scale. So, Goo…”
Jordi Hays Jan 24, 2026 ▶ 18:18 China’s acquisition spree, TikTok reaches U.S survival deal, Tech Giants hit by spying | Diet TBPN
Jan 28, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steinberger: Startups acquire other companies just for their Gmail API licenses
“You know, like when you are a company, you want to access Gmail, the amount of red tape is so large that, that startups buy other startups that have the license for Gmail, because going through the process yourself is, is a huge pit.”
Peter Steinberger Jan 28, 2026 ▶ 24:30 Full Interview: Clawdbot’s Peter Steinberger Makes First Public Appearance Since Launch
Jan 31, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google enforcement expected to knock 9M devices off Ipedia
“Google has also taken steps to remove hundreds of apps affiliated with the company from Android devices, it said. The actions are expected to knock more than nine million Android devices off Ipodea's network.”
John Coogan Jan 31, 2026 ▶ 19:35 Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair, Google targets Chinese Cyber Weapon, WSJ Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
Jan 31, 2026
Assertion Supported
Hays: Google previously sued network of 10M compromised smart devices
“Last year, Google sued. The anonymous operators network of more than ten million internet connected televisions, tablets, and projectors saying they had secretly pre-installed residential proxy software on them.”
Jordi Hays Jan 31, 2026 ▶ 20:19 Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair, Google targets Chinese Cyber Weapon, WSJ Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
Feb 3, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Patel: Meta poached Google search staff with massive compensation deals
“They actually poached Google search people with similar size deals as, like, these crazy...”
Dylan Patel Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 41:39 FULL INTERVIEW: Dylan Patel Says We’re Still Underestimating AI
Feb 3, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Patel: Google is splitting TPU production between Broadcom and MediaTek
“Yeah, so, so for the longest time Google's had, ah, one main line of TPUs, right? All made by Broadcom, and then sort of next year they've diverged it, right? Where Broadcom makes a TPU, ah, and MediaTek makes a TPU. These two TPUs are focused at different thi…”
Dylan Patel Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 12:27 FULL INTERVIEW: Dylan Patel Says We’re Still Underestimating AI
Feb 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Alphabet projects $175B to $185B in 2026 CapEx
“The company said it expected to spend between a hundred and seventy-five billion and a hundred and eighty-five billion in capex in twenty-twenty-six up from ninety-one billion to ninety-three billion in twenty-twenty-five.”
John Coogan Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 20:30 Anthropic’s Trust Nuke, OpenAI’s new releases, Google Claims AI Crown | Diet TBPN
Feb 6, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Gemini app has over 750M monthly active users
“Google said Wednesday that it has more than seven hundred and fifty million monthly active users just on its Gemini app, which only represents a portion of Gemini's actual users because it's vended into all the different products.”
John Coogan Feb 6, 2026 ▶ 22:24 Anthropic’s Trust Nuke, OpenAI’s new releases, Google Claims AI Crown | Diet TBPN
Feb 10, 2026 negative
Insight
Coogan: Abstract Super Bowl ads are too risky for AI labs
“You know, I think Apple, Google, like the really established brands do have the permission to sort of go higher higher abstraction. And just sort of do, like, these brand films. For the AI labs who are trying to push a particular product, it's, it feels like a…”
John Coogan Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 17:13 Super Bowl Ad Reactions, ChatGPT launches ads, Jordi vs France | Diet TBPN
Feb 19, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Gemini boosts Google ad monetization on complex searches
“The core business is surviving and thriving, due in part to Gemini, helping understand intent so they can deliver ads on longer, more complex searches.”
John Coogan Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 5:44 The SaaSpocalypse Is Over
Feb 23, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Shah: Google can finance inference losses longer than competitors
“And I think Google is particularly well positioned since they already own all of those customers today and they can finance losses from inference a lot longer than everyone else.”
Alap Shah Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 20:39 Why My Article Just Tanked the Market
Feb 25, 2026 neutral
Insight
Gurley: Index Funds Already Provide Sufficient AI Exposure for Retail Investors
“There's an interesting irony that if you wanted AI exposure, you're pretty good just owning the index. NVIDIA is such a large part of the index. You have exposure to Microsoft and Google and Facebook. Like, I don't know that you need to be in that place”
Bill Gurley Feb 25, 2026 ▶ 17:05 Full Interview: Bill Gurley Thinks College Kills Creativity
Mar 19, 2026
Assertion Supported
Google earns $460 per US user annually, while Meta earns $250.
“Google makes. 460 dollars per user per year in the United States, mostly on ads. I didn't know that their ARPU was so high. Meta makes around 250.”
John Coogan Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 14:44 Samsung’s $70B Chip Bet, Apple Doing Nothing But Winning AI, Bezos’ New Fund | Diet TBPN
Mar 30, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kim: Stacking memory directly on GPUs will be a major hardware innovation
“Both chief scientists talked about stacking memory right on top of the GPU or TPU, and that's gonna be a huge innovation in the coming months or years.”
Tae Kim Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 7:24 FULL INTERVIEW: Why I Think Nvidia Is Perfectly Positioned In The AI Race
Mar 30, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kim: AI chatbots threatening search positions Meta better than Google
“Like, no one's going to replace better digital ad position. I mean, like, I would even say in the AI world, they're even better positioned, because Google might lose digital ad share to AI chatbots, their search position in the future. So, like, no one's going…”
Tae Kim Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 27:10 FULL INTERVIEW: Why I Think Nvidia Is Perfectly Positioned In The AI Race
Mar 30, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kim: Meta, Google, and Nvidia engineers report severe AI compute shortages
“I met with dozens of engineers at Meta, Google, NVIDIA. And all of them are seeing crazy inference demand and AI compute shortages.”
Tae Kim Mar 30, 2026 ▶ 3:20 FULL INTERVIEW: Why I Think Nvidia Is Perfectly Positioned In The AI Race
Apr 1, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google research finds 20x hardware reduction to break crypto encryption
“Their latest estimate points to a twenty-fold reduction in the quantum computing hardware needed to break what's known as ECDLP- A mathematical problem that helps secure crypto wallets in transactions.”
John Coogan Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 23:34 AI Is Coming for Your Memes, Crypto’s Quantum Clock, Axios Hack| Diet TBPN
Apr 1, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Google plans full migration to post-quantum cryptography by 2029
“Last week, the tech giant introduced a timeline to fully migrate its own security systems to post quantum cryptography by 2029.”
John Coogan Apr 1, 2026 ▶ 24:21 AI Is Coming for Your Memes, Crypto’s Quantum Clock, Axios Hack| Diet TBPN
Apr 7, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Google stock rallied after Meta's IPO disproved internet cannibalization fears
“As soon as the company went public, ironically, Google's stock started working. Because they didn't come out and tell you, we want to kill Google, or we're replicating the internet. We're doing kind of something different. Both stocks ended up working.”
Thomas Laffont Apr 7, 2026 ▶ 25:28 FULL INTERVIEW: Thomas Laffont’s Journey From Hollywood Assistant to Legendary Tech Investor
May 5, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Google's Borg scheduler maintained over 95% compute capacity utilization
“So Seb and Mihai built the Borg XBorg GQM scheduler, which kept the Google internal capacity pool at more than 95% utilization. Therefore, it was at 94% Utilization that was considered a major outage globally.”
Anjney Midha May 5, 2026 ▶ 16:07 FULL INTERVIEW: Anjney Midha on Fixing AI’s Biggest Bottleneck
May 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chesky: AI Chatbot Referral Traffic Converts Higher Than Google
“The referral traffic from these chatbots are converting higher than Google, and so actually the chatbots are actually additive to travel companies.”
Brian Chesky May 8, 2026 ▶ 16:13 Airbnb CEO on Why AI Will Create a New Era of Consumer Products
May 12, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Cursor, Anthropic, Meta, and Google Will Buy Cerebras Chips
“Every, every lab that has exploding demand, Cursor, Anthropic Meta, and Google, like, unless they have, like, a direct answer to this, I would see them being a buyer in the near term.”
John Coogan May 12, 2026 ▶ 18:07 Swatch & AP Collab, Cerebras Boosts IPO Price, Trump to Visit China | Diet TBPN
May 21, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hays: Google uses Anthropic models and third-party AI tools internally
“Google's been using a bunch of anthropic models. Clearly, they're using a ton of different models and products internally.”
Jordi Hays May 21, 2026 ▶ 19:22 Google I/O: Day 1 Reactions, Goldman to Lead SpaceX IPO | Diet TBPN
May 21, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Hays: Google's Antigravity launch video accidentally revealed internal OpenAI Codex usage
“The Google anti-gravity team flashed a codex folder in their in their actual demo video.”
Jordi Hays May 21, 2026 ▶ 18:44 Google I/O: Day 1 Reactions, Goldman to Lead SpaceX IPO | Diet TBPN
May 21, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2031
Hays: Apple will build proprietary smart glasses rather than partner for eyewear
“My expectation, my uninformed expectation is that Apple will just make Apple glasses, right? They will probably, I, it's hard to see them taking the route at least early on of partnering and allowing another company to influence the design language”
Jordi Hays May 21, 2026 ▶ 6:02 Google I/O: Day 1 Reactions, Goldman to Lead SpaceX IPO | Diet TBPN
May 21, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Hays: Google's new model underperforms Composer 2 despite costing 4x more
“It's four times, it costs four times, it underperforms Composer too, even though it's, Roughly four times more expensive.”
Jordi Hays May 21, 2026 ▶ 16:45 Google I/O: Day 1 Reactions, Goldman to Lead SpaceX IPO | Diet TBPN
May 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Gerstner: Google, Amazon, Microsoft, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all token constrained
“Google was token constrained. They said if we had more tokens, we'd be able to generate more revenue. Same for Amazon, same for Microsoft, same from OpenAI, same from Anthropic.”
Brad Gerstner May 29, 2026 ▶ 19:51 Where Brad Gerstner Is Investing Billions
May 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Anthropic is fastest-growing company in history of capitalism
“OpenAI has not blown away their numbers. Google has not blown away their numbers. Like numbers have been good, but the fundamental driver of outperformance in terms of offtake of AI revenues has been Anthropic, which is the fastest growing company in the histo…”
Brad Gerstner May 29, 2026 ▶ 3:12 Where Brad Gerstner Is Investing Billions
Jun 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: $30B of Alphabet's equity raise is earmarked for employee tax
“Thirty billion, you mentioned this earlier today, thirty billion of Alphabet's stock issuance is earmarked for paying tax on employee stock awards”
John Coogan Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 10:05 Google Raises $80B, Confidential IPO 101, OpenAI Expands Codex | Diet TBPN
Jun 2, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: Waymo's Success Will Outweigh All Google's Failed Side Projects
“You look at the progress with Waymo, and it's very clear that just one win in Waymo will be a power law that will wash out all of the side chat apps that never went anywhere or little Little software projects that an April fool's jokes that they launched and s…”
John Coogan Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 7:52 Google Raises $80B, Confidential IPO 101, OpenAI Expands Codex | Diet TBPN
Jun 2, 2026 positive
Insight
Coogan: Alphabet benefits by raising AI capital before limits appear
“If it turns out there is a limit, Alphabet can only benefit by going first.”
John Coogan Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 9:33 Google Raises $80B, Confidential IPO 101, OpenAI Expands Codex | Diet TBPN
Jun 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Alphabet raised $85B in debt worldwide in the past year
“Alphabet alone, raising eighty-five billion in a series of record breaking issues around the world.”
John Coogan Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 6:59 Google Raises $80B, Confidential IPO 101, OpenAI Expands Codex | Diet TBPN
Jun 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Berkshire Hathaway to buy $10B of Alphabet in $80B capital raise
“Berkshire's buying ten billion worth of shares at a roughly six percent discount from Monday's closing price. Another thirty billion dollars will consist of underwritten public offerings, and the last forty billion will be staggered common stock offerings Begi…”
John Coogan Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 4:14 Google Raises $80B, Confidential IPO 101, OpenAI Expands Codex | Diet TBPN
Jun 18, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Woo: The AI software race will be won by well-capitalized tech incumbents
“So, I think, in some sense, I think the software game is gonna be won by an OpenAI, Anthropics, SpaceX, Google, maybe about Cognition, and some of these like,”
Jeff Woo Jun 18, 2026 ▶ 23:40 Jake Paul Thinks We'll Live Forever
Jul 2, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Academic study finds Google AI Overviews cut organic clicks 40%
“Eric Sufert is sharing a new paper by researchers at Carnegie Mellon in the Indian School of Business finds that AI overviews were triggered in roughly 41% of observed Google searches, and when triggered, reduced outbound organic clicks by about 40%.”
John Coogan Jul 2, 2026 ▶ 19:52 The Meta Compute Debate | Diet TBPN
Jul 9, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google Admitted Lacking Capacity to Meet Meta's AI Demand
“Because it was just within the last month that Google had said, like, hey, we don't have capacity. We don't have enough capacity for all of Meadow's demand for our models.”
Jordi Hays Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 18:38 Model Mayhem: OpenAI’s 5.6 and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 | Diet TBPN
Jul 30, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Waymo sources parts from China but builds vehicles in US
“So Waymo is sourcing like almost all the parts for the new Waymo's from China, but they are building them, I believe in the United States and all of the software is from Google or Alphabet or Waymo.”
John Coogan Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 4:41 U.S. Bans New Chinese Humanoids, Zuck’s Op-Ed, eBay's $56M Lawsuit | Diet TBPN
Jul 30, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Employees from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google Signed AI Pause Letter
“There's this open letter from a bunch of lab employees saying like, hey, maybe we should do a mutual pause. Maybe we should all slow down. And I think even some meta researchers signed that as well, but there's like a wide group from OpenAI, Anthropic, a bunch…”
John Coogan Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 15:05 U.S. Bans New Chinese Humanoids, Zuck’s Op-Ed, eBay's $56M Lawsuit | Diet TBPN
Aug 5, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Demis Hassabis steps down as Google DeepMind CEO for Alphabet role
“He announced that he's stepping down as CEO of Google DeepMind. He's also stepping up into the role of Google DeepMind chairman, and he will also be Alphabet's chief scientist.”
John Coogan Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 0:31 Demis Is Out as DeepMind CEO, Revolut Founder Yacht Drama, AI’s Great Reverse Bank Run | Diet TBPN
Aug 5, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Jeff Dean leaves Google after 27 years to launch an AI startup
“Google CEO Sundar Pichai also announced that Google DeepMind chief scientist Jeff Dean will be leaving the company after a 27 year run to start, along with Google's senior fellow Sanjay Gemwat, a public benefit corporation to accelerate discoveries in machine …”
John Coogan Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 0:55 Demis Is Out as DeepMind CEO, Revolut Founder Yacht Drama, AI’s Great Reverse Bank Run | Diet TBPN
Aug 5, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Alphabet stock drops five percent at market open following DeepMind news
“Stock's down. It was down five percent around the open. It's recovered a little bit, just down three and a half percent.”
Jordi Hays Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 7:35 Demis Is Out as DeepMind CEO, Revolut Founder Yacht Drama, AI’s Great Reverse Bank Run | Diet TBPN
Aug 5, 2026 bearish
Opinion
DeepMind has lagged behind AI competitors and embarrassed Google for a year
“Google, the deep mind organization has, you know, made some real contributions to the space, but has been lagging. It's been a point of embarrassment. For, I would say, for Google, for, I would say, a year plus. They've always felt behind, even though they cre…”
Jordi Hays Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 6:18 Demis Is Out as DeepMind CEO, Revolut Founder Yacht Drama, AI’s Great Reverse Bank Run | Diet TBPN
Aug 5, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Google may shift into an Nvidia-style capital partner for AI labs
“I wouldn't be surprised to see Google just shift into more of an Nvidia style role as like a capital partner to a number of Other labs as they, you know, continue to fall.”
Jordi Hays Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 13:34 Demis Is Out as DeepMind CEO, Revolut Founder Yacht Drama, AI’s Great Reverse Bank Run | Diet TBPN
Aug 5, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Google becomes Anthropic's largest financial backer through compute lease guarantees
“Obviously Google has made it, you know, massive bet on anthropic and is, You know, becoming their largest financial backer, especially through some new reporting on, on some of the lease guarantees that they're doing.”
Jordi Hays Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 8:53 Demis Is Out as DeepMind CEO, Revolut Founder Yacht Drama, AI’s Great Reverse Bank Run | Diet TBPN
Aug 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Demis Hassabis Was Disengaged From DeepMind Management Before Stepping Down
“Sources tell me he's already been disengaged from day-to-day management for a while now, but he was a firewall between DeepMind and the rest of Google, even as the two got pulled closer over the last couple of years.”
Jordi Hays Aug 6, 2026 ▶ 21:53 More Details on OpenAI-Hugging Face, SpaceX SPV Investors Get Rugged, Demis and DeepMind | Diet TBPN
Aug 6, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Google Gemini 4 Not Expected to Advance Frontier AI Capabilities
“Gemini four is not expected to push frontier AI forward the way fable and soul Just did.”
Jordi Hays Aug 6, 2026 ▶ 23:28 More Details on OpenAI-Hugging Face, SpaceX SPV Investors Get Rugged, Demis and DeepMind | Diet TBPN
Aug 8, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google's ownership stake in Anthropic is contractually capped at 15 percent
“Google's ownership in anthropic is capped at 15%. They, I believe, have roughly 14%.”
Jordi Hays Aug 8, 2026 ▶ 29:13 AI-Designed Viruses, OpenAI’s First Device, The Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
Aug 8, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
LA jury awards $6 million in Meta and Google youth addiction case
“On March, 25th, a Los Angeles jury found Meta and Google slash YouTube negligent for designing platforms harmful to young people. A woman who said she became addicted to social media as a child was awarded 6000004.2 million against Meta and 1.8 million against…”
Jordi Hays Aug 8, 2026 ▶ 15:53 AI-Designed Viruses, OpenAI’s First Device, The Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
Aug 8, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Google built an internal ChatGPT equivalent but chose not to ship it
“They obviously had effectively a version of ChatGPT internally. They didn't ship it.”
Jordi Hays Aug 8, 2026 ▶ 26:58 AI-Designed Viruses, OpenAI’s First Device, The Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
Aug 8, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google holds no voting rights or board seats in Anthropic
“They don't have any voting rights. They don't even, they're not even a board observer. They don't have a board seat. They basically are just a purely financial background.”
Jordi Hays Aug 8, 2026 ▶ 29:24 AI-Designed Viruses, OpenAI’s First Device, The Mansion Section | Diet TBPN
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