Rand Fishkin (co-founder of SparkToro, former CEO of Moz) discusses why early-stage startups should avoid split testing until they reach substantial traffic volume.
Opinion
Venture capital only profits due to 1960s tax lobbying by the wealthy
“Venture capital is essentially an asset class that only makes money because rich people in the sixties and seventies lobbied the federal government to get capital gains tax rate applied to this certain type of investing, right?”
Opinion
Investors avoiding dividend taxes are poor citizens and unwelcome at SparkToro
“If giving the government 12 to 20% of your money is unacceptable to you, first of all, I don't think you're a very good civic person. Right? Like, and second, I don't want you on my balance sheet anyway.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fishkin: Roughly 90% of venture-backed startup founders come from family wealth
“Like the whole idea behind venture capital is we are going to take a bunch of mostly already wealthy people because that's who starts venture backed startups, right? The overwhelming majority, I think something like 90% come from family wealth.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
TikTok organic reach will inevitably crash to near zero, mimicking Facebook
“And I think, unfortunately, a lot of these folks are going to find that the same thing that happened with Facebook seven years ago, six years ago, where that engagement rate falls from 11% to 0.09%, that will happen. That will happen to you.”
Assertion Supported
Moz's revenue growth sank significantly after Rand Fishkin stepped down
“After I stepped down as CEO, the growth rate sank significantly. It was trending a little bit down, like, the last six months I was there, so I wouldn't put the fault entirely on folks after I left, but, you know, the last, oh my gosh, the last seven years cer…”
Opinion
Fishkin: About 20% of VC investments get stuck in growth purgatory
“Out of those, you know, average hundred investments that VCs make, the stuck in the middle is a really significant percentage. It's probably like 20 of those hundred, and a lot of those end up being some combination of, like, fire sales, or for more aggressive…”