why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Schneider: ChatGPT and Perplexity rely on Google's index instead of crawling
“ChatGPT and OpenAI and Perplexity, like, they're all built on the back of this, like, search engine Google, right? Google has spent the last, whatever, 30 years or 25 years basically indexing the entire, like, internet. Imagine, like, Perplexity and ChatGPT, w…”
Prediction Held up
Isenberg: AI search engines like ChatGPT will embed interactive tools
“My prediction is tools will be embedded within a lot of these platforms.
So
Right now when you use perplexity or use ChatGPT, really what you're getting back is mostly texts. You know, sometimes you're getting some links or some images and over time what you'r…”
Assertion Contradicted
Schneider: Tally's ChatGPT referral traffic plummeted after a model update
“A great example of this is the Tally founder has this graph where it's like, absolute liftoff, right? It's going crazy. GPT-V drops, they, like, it changes the entire search algorithm within ChatGPT, and their referral from that, their, like, basically referra…”
Prediction Held up
API access will let marketers generate 100 ad variants in five minutes
“And when the API becomes generally available, this is going to be trivial. It's literally going to be like, This is your inspiration or like reference ad. These are all the different audiences, just like boom, boom, boom, smash them out and you'll have a hundr…”
Assertion Supported
Isenberg: Perplexity's deep research completes queries faster than ChatGPT's
“Okay, so first things first is that perplexity is faster than ChatGPT. You can see that ChatGPT is about halfway done. Perplexity is done.”
Assertion Supported
Fernando: GPT-4o natively understands audio and tone, unlike DeepSeek R1
“So one thing I just learned very recently about GPT-IV and ChatGPT's Omni models is the fact that this model's breakthrough, a little bit different than R-I, is the fact that it can actually understand audio and tone and all these extra implications that we do…”
Assertion Supported
Fernando: DeepSeek via Fireworks costs $8/M tokens versus o1's $75
“I think it's about eight dollars per million tokens where normally I think ChatGPT was like 15 input and 60 dollars for output for O-one Pro.”
Assertion Supported
Greathouse Fall: ChatGPT generates unique business ideas from identical HustleGPT prompts
“When you prompt the bot you know, with pretty much my original prompt verbatim, it's giving different ideas for everyone who approaches it, which I think is really interesting. It's not just spitting back the same thing over and over.”
Assertion Supported
Tossell: Codex Ask Feature Lacks Live Internet Access
“And it can do it and it, but it's more connected to, it's not connected to the internet. So it's like, I'm just looking at your repo and answering based on what it has, what knowledge it has to give you that response.”