The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
Goldstein: eVTOL aircraft will begin flying in US cities next year
“And so we came up with this concept around what they called the EIPP or eVTOL integration pilot program. And that was to allow these aircrafts to start flying in the cities in the U.S. As soon as next year. And so what they're going to do is they're actually g…”
Adam Goldstein Jan 17, 2026 ▶ 2:49 I Tried Flying an Air Taxi With Archer’s CEO (Midnight Simulator) · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Partly held up
Oltmann: VC deployment, late-stage check sizes, and deal volume will surge in H2 2024
“And then the second half of this year I think we're going to see a significant increase in just dollars deployed from venture funds. That's also going to be on, you know, individual check sizes, I think are going to go up again in the later stages. And then al…”
Xander Oltmann Feb 1, 2024 ▶ 22:37 Xander Oltmann, Commodity Capital: Downfall of SaaS & Uprising of Vertically Integrated Monopolies · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Partly held up
SpaceX will launch close to 200 times this year, says Fishner-Wolfson
“They're going to launch, I don't know what to me this year, but like something close to 200 times. Like no one else in the world is launching even 15, 20 times, right?”
Justin Fishner Wolfson Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 8:38 SpaceX IPO: Inside the Firm That Owns 1% · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Partly held up
Josephs: Autopilot Will Reach $1 Billion in Traded AUM by Year-End
“I'm confident and I'm excited that we'll be able to build momentum from current assets of half a billion to connected assets, which should hopefully get us to a billion by the end of the year.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 31:50 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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