The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Nolan: Only Russia currently produces commercial HALEU nuclear fuel
“If we need HALU, which is more enriched fuel for the factory built reactors, we need to get that fuel from Russia. Only Russia makes it today.”
Scott Nolan Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 2:12 Peter Thiel’s $50M Bet on U.S. Uranium Enrichment, General Matter · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Nolan: US produces under 0.1% of global enriched uranium today
“And so we're here now today with the U S doing less than .1% of global enrichment, effectively R and D capacity, not much commercial capacity, and just completely relying on foreign state backed entities. About 25% of enrichment in the U S comes from Russia an…”
Scott Nolan Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 6:45 Peter Thiel’s $50M Bet on U.S. Uranium Enrichment, General Matter · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Nolan: China doubled its grid since 2010 while US stayed flat
“And you look at China's grid in 2010, U S and China were neck and neck. Just that's where the two lines cross on the chart, 2010. And since then China's doubled its grid while we stayed flat. So now they have two X the energy production that we have, and it's …”
Scott Nolan Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 18:45 Peter Thiel’s $50M Bet on U.S. Uranium Enrichment, General Matter · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Contradicted
Nolan: Vogtle Nuclear Plant Was Cheaper Than Contemporary Offshore Wind
“If you look at nuclear historically, like you look at Vogel, which You know, it was over budget, over schedule. People still highlight it was still cheaper than offshore wind that was built around the same time.”
Scott Nolan Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 25:27 Peter Thiel’s $50M Bet on U.S. Uranium Enrichment, General Matter · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Held up
Nolan: Turbines will likely be the bottleneck for expanding natural gas power
“Turbines will be the bottleneck most likely.”
Scott Nolan Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 23:35 Peter Thiel’s $50M Bet on U.S. Uranium Enrichment, General Matter · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Nolan: US supplied roughly 65% of global enriched uranium mid-century
“If you rewind to the fifties, sixties, seventies, US was most of the world's enrichment. We were 65% roughly, and we did that through a first generation technology called gaseous diffusion.”
Scott Nolan Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 5:37 Peter Thiel’s $50M Bet on U.S. Uranium Enrichment, General Matter · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Nolan: Russian uranium import waivers expire on January 1, 2028
“There's a Russian imports ban on, you know, in place now, but that ban actually goes into full effect when the waivers end on January first, 20, 28.”
Scott Nolan Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 7:08 Peter Thiel’s $50M Bet on U.S. Uranium Enrichment, General Matter · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Contradicted
Nolan: DOD executive order targets three site reactors next year
“And then you had the DOD executive order, which talked about deploying three reactors on DOD sites as early as next year.”
Scott Nolan Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 14:18 Peter Thiel’s $50M Bet on U.S. Uranium Enrichment, General Matter · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Nolan: General Matter Selected for DOE Enrichment Programs in LEU and HALEU
“Throughout the last year, we were selected for a couple large programs, really historic programs that the DOE has led around enrichment capacity, both on the low enriched side and on the HALU side.”
Scott Nolan Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 15:25 Peter Thiel’s $50M Bet on U.S. Uranium Enrichment, General Matter · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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