why aren't all 21 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Traditional T2D3 SaaS growth framework is obsolete in AI era
“The triple, triple, double, double, double, sass thing is like, you throw it out the window, you know, it's like, there's a new, it's like, 10 x.”
Assertion Supported
Many fast-growing AI startups currently operate with negative gross margins
“At least today, you know, there's certainly AI businesses that yes, they're growing really fast, but the margins are quite negative. And so therefore like you have to bet on them raising more venture money until they can like figure that out, whether that's fr…”
Insight
Startup founders are inaccurately pitching non-recurring revenue as ARR
“Many, many times I have heard something that is not predictable, that is not recurring, be described as error. And that, you know, historically, you know, traditionally error is, is predictable. It's recurring. It's like signed, you know, contracts, usually th…”
Insight
Braswell: Speed is currently the only real moat in AI
“I think it's very unclear right now what Out of all these companies who has a moat, but I do think like speed right now is kind of the only moat that you can have.”
Insight
Braswell: Hyper-growth startups operate in chaos; calm suggests lacking PMF
“If you are not, like, feeling like you are running around all the time and everything's on fire, then, like, there's probably not a product market fit. Like, there's probably, it's not, there's not that, the only, like, hyper-growth startups, even the ones tha…”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2028
Startups will soon jump directly from seed rounds to Series C
“Like, yes, you'll probably have to raise again, but it'll just be interesting, and I think we'll see multiple examples of, like, a company raised a seed, and then a company raised, like, a Series C.”
Opinion
Braswell: Enterprise sales remain unautomated due to complex integration requirements
“Though I do think, you know, maybe my hot take is like, if you're an enterprise business, you there, we have not automated sales yet. We've not automated enterprise sales yet. And so I do still think if you're working with enterprises where there's just like s…”
Opinion
Braswell: AI founder momentum and tailwinds surpass 2021 tech boom
“I just like never experienced, even back in 20, 21, when there was like a very high deal volume, like I've never experienced so many smart people like wanting to become founders and like the sort of like why now and like the tailwinds being so like real. And I…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Braswell: AI coding assistants will become standard for every programmer globally
“This is gonna be a no-brainer for every programmer in the world to have one of these assistants.”
Opinion
Braswell: AI 'Vibe Coding' Already Works Effectively for Non-Technical Users
“Vibe coding has become kind of this meme, but it is like so power powerful today, not just for developers, but like for everybody else too. And so I think that's been, what's, what's been most shocking to me in the last year of just AI in general is just like …”
Assertion Supported
Scale AI provided data labeling for OpenAI's GPT-2
“We actually helped OpenAI with GPT too.”
Assertion Partly supported
Kleiner Perkins deploys $800M venture fund and $1.2B growth fund
“We're currently deploying out of, this is our 21st venture fund, KP 21 it's eight hundred million dollars on the venture side, and then on the growth side, we have a 1.2 billion dollar growth fund that we call Select, Select Three.”
Assertion Supported
Kleiner Perkins operates with a core team of nine investors
“We've got this now core team of nine investors. We each have majors and minors. We're very collaborative with each other. And we're generalists sort of across early, early in growth.”
Disclosure
Kleiner Perkins checks range from $1M early-stage to $150M growth
“Outside of those, you know, we're tending to write checks that are at least a million dollars or up. And then it tends to be on the growth side, you know, our growth fund's a little over a billion dollars. And so we don't want to be like way too concentrated. …”
Assertion Supported
Braswell: JPMorgan inducted Codeium into its Hall of Innovation
“Every year they induct, I think one or two companies into their hall of innovation. So these are like companies that have made the sort of biggest impact on JP Morgan. And Codium was one of those companies.”
Disclosure
Braswell: Majority of her investments come from outbound founder outreach
“I am a predominantly outbound investor. Like the vast majority of my investments have come from me reaching out to an entrepreneur and trying to basically get in front of what they're doing.”
Disclosure
Braswell: Kleiner Perkins incubated and launched enterprise search startup Glean
“We invested in Glean or I should say, I mean, it was more of a, we kind of incubated Glean. So we had a big role of like getting Glean off the ground.”
Disclosure
Kleiner Perkins is actively seeking to fund AI customer support startups
“I think the only area that we don't have anything in right now that's like very obvious is, is is customer support. And so, you know, we have a growth fund. We're looking”
Assertion Supported
Braswell: Scale AI originally operated as an API for human labor
“Scale was the API for human labor back then.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Scale AI used in-office poker games as a core recruiting strategy
“At scale, we hired so many people. That was our strategy. We would bring people in the office to play poker and then, you know, like, they would get to know us and things like that.”
Disclosure
Kleiner Perkins uses Glean to summarize quarterly board decks
“We do this thing, portfolio review, and it's, like, every, I think every quarter. We go through all of our, or most of our investments and like glean does this thing where it will like summarize a lot of our board decks into like, okay, here's like the key met…”