why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Field: AI judgment and design ability do not scale with IQ points
“All my experience with AI so far have shown that on formal domains, things that are verifiable you can get to amazing outcomes with enough IQ points, and yet judgment is like somehow not purely correlated with just adding IQ points to the model.”
Insight
Field: Design AI evaluations are inherently non-verifiable and require human judgment
“And the evals we're running on stuff we're doing, stuff others are doing, like a lot of it is inherently non-verifiable. It's like, gotta be human judged at the end of the day. And you can set up more automatic methods for that, but you still have that human i…”
Insight
Field: Jailbreaking AI models requires conversational questioning rather than fancy JSON
“It's not like you have to do some fancy JSON thing.
Like, that's what people like to popularize it online with, but I mean, you can just talk to them and ask them questions.”
Insight
Field: Building scalable systems requires leaning into design beyond visual aesthetics
“If you want to build scalable, real systems, explore broadly, build the right thing, not just, like, something fast, then I think it's really important to lean into design not just from a visual and aesthetic standpoint, but also from a user experience standpo…”
Insight
Field: Unsteered AI prompts produce average designs that fail to stand out
“People that are just like, yeah, design me the thing, you know, you're going to get the average and it's not going to stand out. And in a world where there's just more than average in terms of software and media and advertising and content, I mean, You know th…”
Insight
Field: Standing out requires human intent and bold points of view
“Staying out is hard, and I think that it takes not only human steering and human intent, but also it takes a point of view, and I think that is something that people fall down on all the time because it's kind of scary to have a point of view. It's like a real…”
Insight
Field: A truly special product's design functions as its own logo
“If the product is that special then I think it's probably got enough brand characteristics that it kind of functions as a logo. And so, for example, a Tesla car, like, can you take the Tesla logo off of a Tesla car? Sure. But like, you probably still know it's…”
Insight
Field: Playing Mafia is a lose-lose dynamic that damages personal trust
“At some point I stopped playing the game, actually because I figured out that it was a lose-lose. Either you actually do well, and you've, like, lost, because people afterwards oftentimes are like, how could you? I trusted you. It's like, I feel terrible. Or y…”