why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: Saturn maintains over 50% DAU/MAU stickiness and 90% annual retention
“We have, you know, our DAO now, the stickiness daily active, the percent of monthlies that are active every day is over 50%. Our D-thirty retention of brand new users is well over 30% with 70% for existing, 90% of new users return every single year.”
Assertion Contradicted
Diamond: Saturn hits #2 in App Store during summer, beating TikTok
“During the summer months, you know, we reach number two on the entire App Store, number one in productivity, ahead of some great tools like ChatGPT and others, TikTok”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: Saturn acquires over 100,000 users daily during back-to-school
“We're acquiring over a 100,000 new users per day during that time period. And the average user invites between four and five friends to the platform, propelling the growth.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: All monetarily incentivized referrals at Saturn have failed
“All the referrals that have been monetarily incentivized have failed.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dylan Diamond: Saturn's first 50 schools grew from 7% to 60% weekly active users
“We now have six, seven years of cohort data that shows that schools grow significantly year on year. As an anecdote the first 50 schools when they launched, seven percent of all the high schoolers who were enrolled at all those 50 schools were active weekly. N…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: Saturn replaced overseas manual data agents with AI agents
“And we used to have agents overseas that would do it. Now the agents are AI.”
Assertion Supported
Diamond: Young people adopt LLMs faster than any group except engineers
“Outside of all software engineers, young people are adopting the technology at the fastest clip”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: Nike ran its Super Bowl ad to millions on Saturn
“Nike ran their Super Bowl ad to millions of young people on Saturn yesterday.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: White-labeled apps drove 50%+ school penetration in early days
“And that drove us to getting 50 plus percent penetration, sometimes within 48 hours, often within the first week at those couple dozen schools.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: Justin Bieber tweeting about Saturn yielded weak user retention
“And we even had Bieber tweet out the product once, and you know, the retention is not strong.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: Saturn launched across all 18,000 US public high schools
“We made the decision, hey, why don't we just launch all 18,000 public high schools in the country and have the users come to us?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dylan Diamond: Saturn's user base dropped to zero overnight during COVID
“COVID was a huge hurdle for us because our user base went to zero overnight.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: Saturn is used 10 or more times daily
“So we're, you know, use 10 plus times a day.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: Saturn cut onboarding from eight minutes to two using AI
“The onboarding flow they used to be eight minutes. We cut that in half and then cut that in half again with AI. Just like take a picture of your schedule, upload it much faster than typing things in.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diamond: Saturn serves as the first calendar for millions of people
“Today, we are millions of people's first calendar, but our ambition is to be your last.”