The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Oetting: Genomic medicine will transform economy and lives almost as much as AI
“I think there's going to be almost as much of a change in, like, the way that our economy and our lives work from genomic medicines as from AI.”
Oetting: AI Productivity Will Substantially Mitigate US Debt in 20–30 Years
“I believe over the next 20 or 30 years it will make a huge difference. Yes. I just think in the short run, there's investments that need to be made to realize that. And I think that, you know, the way that our system deals with that is by adding to the debt.”
Oetting: Trade labor robotics is much further off than software automation
“Maybe robotics will get there and there'll be, you know, a real sort of conflict between, you know, whatever robot can do electrical work and electricians. But I think that's much farther off than you know, automating low-level web design.”
Oetting: A Human Will Be on Mars by 2050
“I would say we'll be on Mars by 20 50. I don't think we would, I mean, colonized maybe is like, depends what that means, but I think there will be a human on Mars by 20 50.”
Oetting: Saronic employees work in person six days a week
“They also work six days a week in person, which is pretty cool.”
Oetting: Drug developers ignore manufacturing efficiency due to 90%+ margins
“Part of that's because if you're successful, it's, you know, like a 99% margin business. So if you can do it, if you're really bad and it's an 89% margin, who cares?”
Oetting: AI will drive massive 20-year productivity boom for physical businesses
“I think it's gonna be a massive productivity gain, at least for the next 20 years. If you're like, you run a construction company, or you have an HVAC business. Because right now you're paying some person 50 grand to make your website. Like that's done.”
Oetting: Trump Will Boost US Manufacturing Share, But Under 13.1% GDP
“I think that the Trump administration will bring, will make a big dent on that, that will improve, but I don't think it'll hit 13.1%.”