The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Schimpf: Anduril will produce autonomous fighter jets in months
“We're making autonomous fighter jets. You know, like three years ago, we weren't believable to make autonomous fighter jets. Now we're doing it. And we're going to have them be produced in a production facility in like months from now.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 4:17 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Contradicted
US defense procurement relative to GDP is at an all-time low
“The procurement budget as a percentage of GDP, for example, is I think the lowest it's ever been.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 13:49 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Schimpf: Over half of US defense budget covers personnel and facilities
“More than half goes to personnel costs, to facilities, to military construction. So you just have an outrageous percentage going to these fixed costs that you have that are not next generation technology. And then There's an outrageous cost as well then to sus…”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 3:59 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Schimpf: US defense procurement as percentage of GDP is historically low
“The procurement budget as a percentage of GDP, for example, is I think the lowest it's ever been.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 4:31 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Contradicted
Schimpf: Anduril built first production Ghost Shark within 30 days of contract
“We have our first Production GoShark already came off the production line, then I think 30 days of signing the production contract.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 21:08 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Schimpf: First production Ghost Shark completed within 30 days of contract
“We have our first production GoShark already rank, came off the production line. Then I think, 30 days of signing the production contract.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 9:49 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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