The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Immerman: Kalshi is number one across users, revenue, and volume
“And today they're number one across users, revenue, volume, any metric that, that anyone would care about.”
Immerman: OpenAI and Anthropic added revenue equal to half of public cloud
“If you look at OpenAI and Anthropic alone, the two, those two companies added as much revenue last year as half of the public cloud universe, excluding the mag seven.”
Immerman: Flock Safety solves over 2,800 cases daily, 15% of US crime
“Flock solves over 2800 cases every day.
That's 15% of reported crime in America.”
Immerman: Under five public software and fintech companies grow 30%+
“If you were to scan public internet software fintech, there are fewer than five percent, sorry, there are fewer than five companies growing north of 30%.
This year.”
Immerman: Waymo reached 25% San Francisco market share, beating Lyft
“They, in San Francisco, it got to 25% market share really quickly with very few cars. You know, Surpassing Lyft and being a formidable competitor to Uber.”
Immerman: Revolut has reached 40% ROE, surpassing Nubank
“And that has resulted in Revolut already having, like, 40% ROEs, which are higher than a new bank.”
Immerman: Meta, Salesforce, Deutsche Telekom, and Revolut build on ElevenLabs
“Fast forward to today, the enterprise business has customers like Meta and Salesforce and Deutsche Telekom. They announced Revolut last week. These are massive companies that are building agents on top of their platform.”
Immerman: Elon Musk has 90%+ odds of becoming world's first trillionaire
“Well, if that market existed today, I think it would probably be like 90% plus odds on Elon. He's like pretty close at this point. Depending on, you know, where his companies go out he's certainly the favorite. So I would definitely bet on him.”
Immerman: Ride hailing represents under 1% of US vehicle miles
“Ride hailing in that aggregate large number I just shared, is less than one percent of vehicle miles in the US.”
Immerman: Revolut has 10 revenue streams, none exceeding 20% of total
“So Revolut has, you know, 10 different revenue streams. Not a single one is more than 20% of revenue, so incredibly diversified as we mentioned.”