The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hadrian plans to acquire or outcompete YC's new hardware startups
“The second thing is, I think it'll generate a bunch of great acquisitions for us. If any of them grow too fast in the category that we're going to enter, we have this phrase internally, which is we're either going to scoop them up, or we're going to bonk them.”
Chris Power Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 22:00 Inside Hadrian's $260M Series C to Advance Manufacturing in America · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Opinion
McCormick: YC 'Request for Startups' Prompts Rarely Lead to Great Companies
“Like when YC puts out the request for startups, I'm like, I can't imagine that anything good is going to be built against these categories starting now because you've read the YC request for startups.”
Packy McCormick Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 43:23 How Writing Led To Investing In Ramp, Scale AI, Replit, Varda | Packy McCormick, Not Boring · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Opendoor has hired more YC founders than any other company under Nejatian
“If you look around, we have hired more YC founders into Opendoor since I started in any company.”
Kaz Nejatian Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 25:01 Inside Opendoor: The $2.8B Bet with CEO Kaz Nejatian · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Y Combinator rejected Whop in 2021 over concerns about market size
“When we were first starting back in April, 20, 21, we actually applied to Y Combinator to try to get funding, and they denied us because they told us our market was too small.”
Jack Sharky May 23, 2025 ▶ 21:01 How Whop Is Making $1.2+ Billion For Creators · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Opinion
Fiedler: A Y Combinator for fast-casual restaurants needs to exist
“I think we could actually have an entire YC for fast casual businesses with how much share there is to steal pretty quickly and how many entrepreneurs are going at it.”
Jason Fiedler Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 33:10 America's New Consumer: CPG, Sports, Four-Wall | Jason Fiedler, Left Lane Capital · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Mathew: 60% of Y Combinator companies now choose Supabase
“So, 60% of YC companies now choose Supabase.”
Arun Mathew Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 31:08 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Disclosure
Peters: Superpower's engineering team consists of former YC DevTools engineers
“Our entire engineering team is formerly DevTools, you know, like Y Combin or DevTools engineers as an example, teaming up with the health subject matter experts in the scientific community to build something.”
Jacob Peters Apr 22, 2025 ▶ 36:24 Superpower Raises $30M Series A Led by Forerunner · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Mansoor: Kalshi has raised nearly $110M from Sequoia, Schwab, and Kravis
“It's raised close to 110. We, I mean, the main investor, Sequoia, YC Schwab Kravis and I mean, a bunch of others.”
Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 14:36 How Kalshi Built a $2 Billion Prediction Market · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Disclosure
Mansoor: Kalshi was originally an on-chain crypto project during Y Combinator
“And actually people don't know, like, we, first two weeks of Calcio, we actually started on-chain. So it was really, yeah, it was like, yeah, people don't know this it was like it was crypto first, I remember, and like, that was when we were doing this, like, …”
Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 9:57 How Kalshi Built a $2 Billion Prediction Market · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Coinbase gave users a full Bitcoin for signing up during YC
“Actually Coinbase was in our batch. At YC and was giving anyone who signed up a full Bitcoin, which is insane. It was like five dollars back then. So it was like their signup reward.”
John Coogan Jul 24, 2024 ▶ 5:14 John Coogan, EIR at Founders Fund, Founder of Soylent & Lucy · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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