why aren't all 29 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Rabois: Opendoor should cut headcount from 1,400 to 200–300 max
“There's 1400 employees. There should be like more like 200 or 300 max”
Opinion
Nejatian: Opendoor lacked real culture because professional managers let it atrophy
“I don't think Open Door had much of a culture. Transparently, I think what happens to companies when they're run by, like, professional managers is, like, culture atrophies.”
Disclosure
Opendoor saw double-digit attrition after Nejatian instituted a seven-day RTO mandate
“On my first day at Opendoor, I said, hey, we're going back to the office. Everyone has seven days. And so a bunch of our colleagues decided not to join us on that journey and left the company because they didn't want to work for an in-person company. And we wi…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Opendoor paid a consulting firm $5M to advise cutting quality across operations
“The single largest expense on our income statement was millions of dollars paid to a well-known consulting firm whose advice can be approximated as the following. We paid him five million dollars for this. This voice was basically the following tweet. Do every…”
Assertion Contradicted
Opendoor's earnings livestream peaked at a record 55,000 viewers
“Our earnings was the most watched earnings in history. The last National Open House we did broke records for how many people watched it. No. Yeah, by a lot, but not by a lot. We should fact check this, but I think at one point we had 55,000 live viewers.”
Disclosure
Nejatian proposed to Keith Rabois taking Opendoor private together to fix it
“My wife's plan, literally, genuinely, honestly, was that we would, like, sell everything we owned, leverage ourselves as much as we could to take Opendoor private, so we could fix it. So I called Keith back in, I think, April, and he was, hey man, I'm thinking…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Opendoor replaced an 11-person manual home offer workflow entirely with AI
“So between the time, like you put your address in and you Got an offer. There'd be 11 human beings who touched that. That's insane. That's just an insane outcome. Like, today, zero human beings are in that loop in many of our flows. Like, AI does all of that.”
Disclosure
Opendoor's press email auto-replies telling journalists to DM Kaz Nejatian on X
“There's no, like, we don't have a PR department. Like, if you email press at opendoor.com, get an email back saying, we don't have a PR department. If you want to talk to someone, DM Kaz on X.”
Assertion Partly supported
Nejatian mandated a one-week return-to-office despite Opendoor lacking physical office space
“I showed up on a Monday, my first Monday at work and I said, Hey everyone, by next Monday, we're back in offices. At that point, we didn't have offices. Like we didn't know where people were gonna go. So we had to like the team had to go sign leases, open up o…”
What-if
Rabois: He and Eric Wu could have easily bought out Opendoor
“It would have been easy to buy out the company ourselves and just own the whole thing if we'd paid attention a month earlier which probably would have been a better thing to do, truthfully.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rabois: Opendoor's SG&A has been bloated and out of control since 2015
“And then the company at a kind of tactical level just has too much of a bloated GNA. It's always had too much of a GNA that was Way out of control since 2015.”
Opinion
Nejatian: Modern companies become too meek and afraid of themselves
“You know, I think, look I think the very real thing that happens is that, like, modern companies become, like, very, like, meek. They're afraid of themselves.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nejatian: Opendoor offshored customer support to Mexico on consulting advice
“Because of the advice we got from this consulting firm, we offshored customer support of Ovador to Mexico.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Opendoor has hired more YC founders than any other company under Nejatian
“If you look around, we have hired more YC founders into Opendoor since I started in any company.”
Disclosure
Nejatian: Opendoor's career page is designed to repel 99% of applicants
“My job is to actually describe the type of place this is, and lots of people will not want to work here. In fact, less than one in a hundred people will ever want to work here. That's fine. Like we have a very high bar, like our career page tries to do a very …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
External consultants billed Opendoor to create presentation decks for internal meetings
“There were consultants billing open door money to create presentations for internal open door meetings.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nejatian says Opendoor's balance sheet was a ticking time bomb upon joining
“When I got here, the company, the company's balance sheet had like a ticking time bomb on it. Like it wasn't obvious how the company was going to survive that ticking time bomb. Now, luckily we've cleaned it up. The balance sheet is incredibly healthy, but for…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
All Opendoor product managers are individual contributors reporting directly to Nejatian
“All the product managers at Opendoor report directly to me. They're all ICs, they all report to me.”
Insight
Rabois: Real estate tech must break even at 4M annual US transactions
“You need to be able to be profitable or break even in a market when only four million Americans transact.”
Disclosure
Rabois: Opendoor will operate as an in-person company
“Well, I'll leave that to the CEO, but the company will be in person.”
Opinion
Nejatian is highly bullish on Tailwind CSS for frontend development
“I am very bullish on Tailwind. Like Carly, I'm very bullish, like, I watch YouTube videos at night of people building websites with Tailwind. I'm very bullish on it.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nejatian: Opendoor is one of America's most broadly held public companies
“Opendoor is one of the most broadly held companies in America.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nejatian: Opendoor Built and Launched Mortgage Product in 10 Weeks
“It took us 10 weeks. What was the first line of code? January fifth. January fifth till February, whatever the fuck date today is.”
Disclosure
Nejatian takes a $1 salary and pays out-of-pocket for his benefits
“I get paid a salary of a dollar, but I have to pay for my benefits. So I paid a company, like, I pay open door money to work here.”
Insight
Nejatian: Product critiques should attack the work, never the creator
“I try very hard
To criticize things, not the people who created those things. I think it's kind of useless to hold your past self guilty. So if you see me in a product review, I frequently say this fucking sucks. I very rarely say you fucking suck. Like the wo…”
Assertion Supported
Opendoor was first non-Robinhood company to stream earnings on Robinhood
“Which we were the first company to actually stream our earnings on Robinhood, other than Robinhood themselves.”
Disclosure
Opendoor's beta mortgage product support calls route directly to Nejatian's cell phone
“If you call the phone number that appears on the page, it'll go to my cell phone.”
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Opendoor was first partner to livestream earnings inside Robinhood app
“So they became the first partner that we actually they not only live stream their earnings and took questions live, but they live streamed it in our app on Robin hood to their retail shareholders.”
Assertion Supported
Rabois: Opendoor Has Installed a New Leadership Team and CEO
“So the company, you know, has a new leadership team most importantly, a new CEO.”