The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

3statements match

3resolved → 0open claims → 0supported → 3contradicted →

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted

Mansoor: Kalshi's federal regulation allows sports trading across all 50 states

“It's the first time that sports, like, trading on sports is actually legal in all 50 states. Because we are regulated by the, you know, by the feds, like, at the federal level, not state by state. And the federal regulation, like, the law actually supersedes s…”

Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 17:26 How Kalshi Built a $2 Billion Prediction Market · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Assertion Contradicted

Mansoor: Kalshi captured 7% of sports handle in its launch week

“I mean, I think we got like something like seven percent of the handle within seven days of launch which is huge. Like it's a testament to how big this could be. And I think we were fourth in handle.”

Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 18:15 How Kalshi Built a $2 Billion Prediction Market · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Assertion Contradicted

Mansoor: Ancillary prop markets drove 30% of Kalshi's Super Bowl volume

“There were all these markets that were like, not exactly about the outcome, but like, Related to... Around it. They're like, we're extremely, like, they ended up being something like, 30% of the whole, like, pie.”

Tarek Mansoor Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 22:04 How Kalshi Built a $2 Billion Prediction Market · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

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