The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Facebook's early secondary policy inadvertently caused employees to quit to sell stock
“Facebook got big, and it turned out that the company kind of couldn't buy all their shares that were, that people were selling, because the dollar amount just got so big, and the volume got so high, and they basically started telling people, like, if you sell …”
Justin Fishner Wolfson Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 19:46 SpaceX IPO: Inside the Firm That Owns 1% · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Barton: Meta GPU recommendation upgrades drove a 15% Instagram usage jump
“And if you look at Instagram time spent, basically it was flat for, I don't know, maybe 18 months to six months ago. And now, you know, you would spend 40 minutes a day, and now that's gone up like 15% in just the past six months, because they basically took t…”
Michael Barton Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 14:09 Inside Coatue: $70B Hedge Fund’s AI & Retail Strategy · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Peter Thiel won the early Facebook deal by accepting a 10% stake
“A lot of the reason that he originally did that deal was because most people wanted a much higher ownership percentage, and he was okay getting 10% of the company, which obviously was like clearly the right decision, and all you had to do is sort of adjust you…”
Justin Fishner Wolfson Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 23:49 SpaceX IPO: Inside the Firm That Owns 1% · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Fishner-Wolfson: Facebook went public primarily due to 500-shareholder reporting rule
“The major reason why Facebook ended up going public was this 500 shareholder count rule that basically required companies Once they hit a certain shareholder account to publicly report. So it was sort of all the negatives of being a public company with none of…”
Justin Fishner Wolfson Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 3:06 SpaceX IPO: Inside the Firm That Owns 1% · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Rangwalla: Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta multiples compressed as capex grew
“And so if you look at the multiples of Microsoft, of Amazon, of Meta, they've actually all compressed in the last couple of years because their capex is going up.”
Jaimin Rangwalla May 15, 2026 ▶ 38:47 Chips, Gigawatts, AI, & Agents: Coatue's Public Markets Update | CIO Jaimin Rangwalla · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Immerman: Meta, Salesforce, Deutsche Telekom, and Revolut build on ElevenLabs
“Fast forward to today, the enterprise business has customers like Meta and Salesforce and Deutsche Telekom. They announced Revolut last week. These are massive companies that are building agents on top of their platform.”
Alex Immerman Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 20:40 Inside a16z Growth: Waymo, Stripe, ElevenLabs, Revolut, Coinbase, Kalshi · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Agrawal: Meta Generates Double OpenAI's $40B Funding in Annual Operating Cash Flow
“To put that in perspective, OpenAI just raised this massive round, forty billion dollars, and Meta is producing more than twice that in a year.”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 43:31 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Tunguz: Microsoft, Google, and Meta each deploying $70B–$80B CapEx in 2025
“You have like Microsoft and Google and Meta each deploying something like 70 to eighty billion in capital expenditure, just buying GPUs and building data centers in just next year.”
Tomasz Tunguz Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 8:14 Inside Theory Ventures: Tomasz Tunguz’s $688M Thesis on Go-To-Market Disruption · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Mathew: Accel bought Facebook secondary shares around a $20B valuation
“We, so we initially invested in Facebook in 2005. We led the series A out of our early stage fund, and we created this growth vehicle in 2008. Miles and I joined in 2008 and 2009, and one of the first opportunities was to buy some Facebook secondary that came …”
Arun Mathew Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 3:52 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Barton: AI Infrastructure and Energy Stocks Outperform Mega-Cap AI Winners Like Microsoft and Meta
“AI infrastructure, right? Like the build out of AI, the data centers, the constellation energy, the nuclear, the power needed to, You know, power these GPUs. Those stocks are up, like, 50. And then you would say, you know, well, Microsoft's, like, probably an …”
Michael Barton Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 41:55 Inside Coatue: $70B Hedge Fund’s AI & Retail Strategy · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Vasavada: Vise scaled to around 150 employees before downsizing
“So we actually scaled the company to like a 150 people or something. It was way more than 70 people, but we hired a lot of managers, like senior executives, people that had come from companies like Meta or Dropbox or others where they'd been used to having 102…”
Samir Vasavada Jul 25, 2025 ▶ 46:28 How Vise Became a Unicorn With Just 40 Employees · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Rangwalla: Meta was the largest Mag Seven IPO at $100B
“So the biggest of the Mag-Seven was Meta in 2012, IPO'd around a hundred billion dollars. All of the predecessors had IPO'd in the nineties, you know, in the 10 to fifty billion dollar range, which for that time was very large.”
Jaimin Rangwalla May 15, 2026 ▶ 11:05 Chips, Gigawatts, AI, & Agents: Coatue's Public Markets Update | CIO Jaimin Rangwalla · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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