Prediction certainty 3/5 debate potential 3/5

Oltmann: Margin compression will hit public SaaS companies within three years

Xander Oltmann · Xander Oltmann, Commodity Capital: Downfall of SaaS & Uprising of Vertically Integrated Monopolies · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea · Feb 1, 2024 · at 8:56

Xander Oltmann, GP of Commodity Capital, discusses high churn rates and software commoditization impacting public SaaS companies.

0:00 / 0:15exact quote · 15.9s
▶ Watch the full episode on YouTube → 720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“In the span of two to three years, I think what we're really going to start to see is this narrative really catch up with publicly traded companies that already have these like massive user bases. so I think it'll be interesting to see what happens over the next two to three years with publicly traded SaaS companies.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Xander Oltmann

Assertion Supported
Oltmann: OpenAI is attempting to build its own chip factories
“OpenAI is currently out in the market now trying to actually build their own chip factories and develop their own chips internally, which is a total shift away from historically what software companies have done.”
Xander Oltmann Feb 1, 2024 ▶ 4:40 Xander Oltmann, Commodity Capital: Downfall of SaaS & Uprising of Vertically Integrated Monopolies · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Oltmann: Hadrian boasts 70% gross margins and top 3% SaaS growth
“Hadrian's got like 70% gross margins and they're growing in the top three percent of all SaaS companies”
Xander Oltmann Feb 1, 2024 ▶ 16:13 Xander Oltmann, Commodity Capital: Downfall of SaaS & Uprising of Vertically Integrated Monopolies · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Insight
Oltmann: Cheaper software is shifting tech from SaaS to vertical integration
“My thesis around the dropping cost of software and how that's leading towards a shift away from pure play SaaS and leading more towards vertically integrated companies.”
Xander Oltmann Feb 1, 2024 ▶ 1:40 Xander Oltmann, Commodity Capital: Downfall of SaaS & Uprising of Vertically Integrated Monopolies · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Oltmann: The spike in GPU prices and demand is temporary
“We might see GPU spike in demand, you know, Cause that to increase in price for the time being, but I think that's just a moment in time for right now.”
Xander Oltmann Feb 1, 2024 ▶ 6:00 Xander Oltmann, Commodity Capital: Downfall of SaaS & Uprising of Vertically Integrated Monopolies · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Insight
Oltmann: AI wave mirrors the predictive analytics boom from a decade ago
“What I'm actually seeing with this current flavor of AI is almost identical to what happened almost 10 years ago now, a little more than 10 years ago with predictive analytics.”
Xander Oltmann Feb 1, 2024 ▶ 10:05 Xander Oltmann, Commodity Capital: Downfall of SaaS & Uprising of Vertically Integrated Monopolies · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Oltmann: Startups relying on AI as their moat will struggle to IPO
“I doubt that most of these companies will go public. You could see that for any, you know, early stage startup, but I think the AI as the moat businesses are gonna have a really hard time.”
Xander Oltmann Feb 1, 2024 ▶ 11:18 Xander Oltmann, Commodity Capital: Downfall of SaaS & Uprising of Vertically Integrated Monopolies · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 160 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.