The Calls

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Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

0held up → 1didn’t hold up → 0partly held up →

0%of resolved predictions held up

Everyone Dino Mavrookas (13)Keller Rinaudo Cliffton (4)Alex Immerman (4)Shaun Maguire (3)Pete Shadbolt (3)Doug Bernauer (3)David Ulevitch (3)Ben Lamm (3)Sir Peter Beck (2)Scott Nolan (2)Richard Socher (2)Pedro Franceschi (2)

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today 2026 OctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep 1 assessed early →

The record (1) every resolved claim →

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Lamm: Earth is forecasted to lose 50% of biodiversity within 25 years

“It's currently forecasted that we're going to lose up to 50% of all biodiversity in the next 25 years.”

Ben Lamm Aug 20, 2026 ▶ 26:39 Race to Save Humanity: Inside $12B Colossal Biosciences & $3.8B Astromech

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The Calls

The record (1) every resolved claim →

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